烟嗓财神

Saturday Bitcoin Two Pancake Strategy Summary

Market Sentiment: Funding Rate 0.00730300% Neutral to Low, Long and Short Balance without Extreme Sentiment
Volume and Price: Key Levels Increase in Volume (Latest Transaction Volume 22121.318), Short-term Contracts + Spot Funds Net Inflow (Contract Approximately 160 Million USDT), 4H Contracts, 3D-7D Spot Net Outflow, Mid-term Divergence Significant
Operational Strategy

• Bitcoin Direction: Cautiously Long (Bullish Breakout)

• Entry: Break 88580 (BOLL Upper Band) and follow with Volume; or after retracement to 87600 stabilize with light positions to try Long

• Stop Loss: Entry Point 88580 → Stop Loss 85900; Entry Point 87600 → Stop Loss 85000 (Both 3% Stop Loss Margin)

• Targets: First Target 89276 (R3), Second Target 90000 (Psychological Level), Expected Return 5%-8% Two Pancake Entry: Current Price 2980 Light Position, or 2965-2970 Build Position in Batches
Stop Loss: 2945
Targets: 3020 (First), 3050 (Second) #美国非农数据超预期

Saturday News #加密市场观察

Pre-market Silk Road follows trends easily by a thousand points

Pancake Volume-Price Analysis Core Trading Strategy

1. Core Pattern: After a volume breakout, the price has tested support multiple times in the 86000-88000 range, currently oscillating near 88100 with reduced volume and strong market hesitation.

2. Trading Direction: Cautiously go long (can wait for a pullback to enter short positions at a high level).

3. Entry Range: 86500-87000 (MA20 + previous platform as dual support), suggested to build positions in batches.

4. Stop Loss Level: 85500 (stop loss approximately 3%, breaking key support).

5. Target Price Level: 89000-89500 (profit margin 4-5%).

【Bank of Japan raises interest rates by 25 basis points, believes monetary environment remains accommodative】December 19 news, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points, raising the short-term interest rate to 0.75%, in line with market expectations, and the decision was unanimously approved. The Bank of Japan expects real interest rates to remain at very low levels, and if economic and price trends meet expectations, it will continue to raise policy rates as the economy and prices improve. Even after the interest rate changes, the monetary environment remains accommodative, supporting the economy. The Bank of Japan maintains its assessment of the Japanese economy, stating that despite some weakness, the Japanese economy has moderately recovered, and core inflation is expected to continue to rise moderately. The market is up around 875, how to layout subsequently ↑🚗 claim #加密市场观察

Operational Suggestions

• Mainly Observing: Given that the market is about to face the significant event of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting, and is overall in a phase of fluctuation and consolidation, it is recommended to maintain a wait-and-see approach to avoid blind operations in a highly uncertain situation.

• Pay Attention to Support Levels: Closely monitor the support levels between 80,000 and 82,000. If prices stabilize within this range, there may be a rebound opportunity; however, if there is a significant drop below this range, further downward risks should be cautioned.

• Be Aware of Liquidity: As Christmas and New Year approaches, market liquidity may be relatively low, so be cautious of slippage and liquidity risks when trading. #加密市场观察

US November CPI growth unexpectedly slowed! The frontrunner for the next Federal Reserve Chair claims there is still significant room for interest rate cuts; the EU sanctions Russia's shadow fleet, and a company under Trump surged over 40% overnight... What major events occurred globally yesterday and this morning? #加密市场观察

Perfect interpretation requires no explanation, easily grasped by thousand U sails.

Early Morning Pancake Short Selling Strategy (Including Capital Flow + Risk Warning)

1. Capital Flow Signal
Continuous capital outflow across multiple cycles, clear signal of institutional withdrawal:

◦ 1H Contract Net Outflow: -480,931,982.87 USDT

◦ 4H Contract Net Outflow: -383,283,526.20 USDT

◦ 24H Spot Net Outflow: -319,230,011.95 USDT
Large outflow in the 30m-4H cycle serves as core bearish evidence

2. Trading Strategy

◦ Entry: Short at the high in the range of 87500-88000 (BOLL middle track + MA10 resistance); can chase the short if it directly breaks below the support at 85261

◦ Stop Loss: 88500-89000 (risk about 3%, covering BOLL upper track + intraday high resistance)

◦ Targets: First target 84500-85000 (profit about 3%), second target 83000-83500 (profit about 5%); breaking below the support at 85261 will expand the downside space

3. Risk Warning

◦ ATR value 727.16, market volatility is high, position must be strictly controlled

◦ When the price stabilizes at 87500 and breaks through 88500 with volume, the short strategy needs to be reassessed

Regardless of short-term or long-term, remember the "iron rules"

• Operate with light positions, never full positions: The market is never short of opportunities. Being fully invested will make you lose flexibility in your operations; if the direction is wrong, it can easily lead to irreparable losses.

• Stay away from high leverage: For beginners or conservative investors, try to avoid using high leverage. High leverage amplifies profits but also greatly increases risks, and it can easily lead to liquidation due to slight fluctuations.

• Only invest spare money: Never invest money that you cannot afford to lose, such as living expenses or emergency funds. There are risks in investing, and one must be cautious when entering the market.

• Think independently, do not blindly follow the crowd: Learn more basic knowledge and establish your own judgment logic. #BinanceABCs

今晚大数据📊跟着趋势千点轻松拿捏#巨鲸动向

Trump looks ahead to next year's governance: will introduce the most radical housing reform plan in history and the largest tax cut results

Tonight's CPI may trigger the biggest market movement of the year! #美SEC推动加密创新监管

News Flash

Thursday Big Pie Strategy 1. Contract: 24H net inflow 141 million, 4H inflow 163 million (short-term rebound speculation); 7D net outflow 3.014 billion, large holders reducing positions in the long term

2. Spot: 24H/7D net outflow 178 million/1.188 billion, market lacks buying power, long-term bearish

II. Trading Strategy

1. Direction: Cautiously short

2. Entry: Rebound to around 86662.64, hour K-line shows stagnation signal

3. Stop loss: 89200 or ATR range 900-1000

4. Target: First target 85502.93, break below looks at 84802.26

5. Return: 5x leverage corresponds to 6.5%-12.5%

No complex thoughts, just follow the steps and handle it easily

The threshold for interest rate cuts will be raised again in January next year #美国非农数据超预期

Technical Analysis: Short-term bullish, medium-term under pressure

• Moving Averages: Short-term trend is upward, but prices are suppressed by long-term moving averages; medium-term still faces pressure.

• MACD: The indicator shows that bullish strength is increasing.

• BOLL: Prices are in an upward channel but are approaching the upper band, which may face resistance.

• RSI: The indicator is neutral to bullish, and market sentiment is decent.

• KDJ: The indicator shows a short-term adjustment signal, and the upward momentum may temporarily slow down.

• Entry: 86500-87000 to build positions in batches, increase positions if it breaks 87800.

• Stop Loss: 85500 (approximately -2%)

• Target: First target 88500 (approximately +1.5%), second target 89500 (approximately +2.5%)

In the last 24 hours, the total amount of Bitcoin-related liquidations reached 61.706 million (with a total global liquidation amount of 260 million), affecting over 100,000 people; among them, the liquidation amount for short positions far exceeded that for long positions, with short position liquidations exceeding 21 million in 12 hours, and the largest single liquidation value approaching 7 million.

The overall market shows a strong bearish trend, but short-term technical indicators (RSI, KDJ) indicate overselling, creating a demand for a rebound. Short-sell on highs "re-enter when rebounding to resistance levels".
Main coin direction: Cautiously short-sell Entry timing: It is recommended to short-sell on highs when rebounding to the 86500-86800 resistance range, or to pursue short-sell after the price breaks below the 85500 support Stop-loss setting: 3%-4% (approximately in the 88000-89000 range) Target price: 84000-83000 (expected return rate 5%-8%)
• Secondary coin direction: Short-sell.
• Entry: Light position near the current price of 2956, or increase position near the rebound to 2975.
• Stop-loss: 3020 (approximately 2.2% range).
• Target: First target 2914, second target 2883 (expected return 3-5%). #美联储FOMC会议