交易员汤龙

The Binance chat room is now open～
If friends want to communicate more conveniently on the platform, they can enter the chat room using the method below:

Reference for usage:
1. In the Binance App search bar, type "chat room" to find the corresponding entrance;
2. Click the ➕ in the upper right corner;0wmjo1l8i1
3. Enter the chat room ID:
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This is only a description of the communication channel, and everyone can choose whether to join based on their own needs.

Today's strategy has been successfully implemented.
Those who are observing are still observing;
Those who are worried are still worried;
Those who are afraid continue to be led by their emotions;
And those who executed well are already putting results in their pockets.

One year of standing still, one thought in an instant;
One year of continuous action, the situation is vastly different.
The market never neglects execution;
Those who hesitate miss out, while those who are decisive reap rewards.
#美国非农数据超预期
#巨鲸动向
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析

Many people loudly claim they want to turn their situation around, yet deep down they have already declared defeat—
"The funds are too small, it can't be done."
When you start to console yourself with these excuses, you have actually already retreated at the starting line.

The market has never been the exclusive domain of large funds.
On the contrary, small funds are lighter, faster, more flexible, have a higher margin for error, and can easily establish a rhythm.

Don't rush to achieve everything at once; stabilize your position and gradually roll with the trend.
As long as the direction is right and the rhythm is steady, small funds can also create unexpected space.
#美国非农数据超预期
#巨鲸动向
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
#美SEC推动加密创新监管

Morning high opening reminder: the big pancake is ready to eat meat, the shape has emerged, currently holding steady
#巨鲸动向
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察
#美联储降息
#美国非农数据超预期

BNB Market Trend Analysis

Yesterday early morning, BNB surged about 20 points before quickly retreating, and then formed a W-shaped oscillation structure. Currently, the price is oscillating around the 872 level for correction.

From the 4-hour level, the bullish signals are quite clear:
The large bullish candle effectively engulfs the previous bearish candle, and the price has stabilized above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, pushing the upper bands to diverge upwards simultaneously;
The MACD golden cross continues to expand, accompanied by increasing bullish trading volume, indicating that funds are re-entering, and the intentions of the main players are quite evident.

The overall structure presents a bullish rhythm of 'oscillation building a bottom → lower edge lifting → breakout with volume', with a short-term trend leaning towards strength. If the subsequent volume continues to cooperate, the upward momentum is still expected to continue.

Operational ideas reference:
Focus on pullback opportunities in the 862—854 area, with upward targets in the 875—890 range.
#巨鲸动向
#中美贸易谈判
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
$BNB
$SOL
$ETH

12.17｜SOL Market Analysis

The current SOL trend is mainly characterized by range fluctuations, with a relatively clear structure.
The support line at 123 has been confirmed by two consecutive retests, indicating a certain degree of buying strength in the short term; meanwhile, the pressure around 135 has faced multiple obstacles and has not been effectively broken, suggesting insufficient bullish momentum. Before new variables emerge, the price is likely to continue fluctuating around the 123—135 range.

Operational strategy reference:
If the price rebounds to the 130—134 area, consider gradually implementing a strategy for high-level pullbacks, initially targeting the 124—127 range;
If adopting a range trading strategy, focus on entering near the support at low levels and gradually reducing positions near the pressure.

Overall, respond with a fluctuation strategy, focusing on not chasing highs or panic selling, strictly executing risk control, and steadily engaging in the range.
#巨鲸动向
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察
#美联储降息

The rhythm of both long and short positions was quite simple in last night's market. In the absence of a one-sided move, the range is our best opportunity for profit. Bitcoin accumulated 10,000 oil, while the altcoin collected 3,800 oil.
The trend is clear; are you still directionless in front of the screen?
#巨鲸动向
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
#美国ADP数据超预期

From a 1-hour perspective, ZEC currently presents a relatively clear short-term rebound structure.

The price previously fell rapidly from a high of 476.40 to 378.71, with a cumulative drop of more than 20%, typical of short-term emotional over-reaction. During the sharp decline, bearish momentum was quickly released, and selling pressure significantly diminished, objectively creating conditions for a technical rebound.

After reaching the level of 378.71, the K-line showed a significant long lower shadow pattern, indicating active low-level buying support, and funds began to enter, with preliminary signs of a short-term bottom emerging; at the same time, the current price has a large deviation from both the MA7 and MA30 moving averages, indicating a technical need for regression and repair towards the moving averages.

From an emotional perspective, the previous continuous decline has fully digested the market's pessimistic expectations, and no further significant volume breakdown has occurred at low levels; instead, it has stabilized and rebounded, pushing market sentiment from panic gradually towards tentative replenishment, providing dual support of emotion and funds for a short-term rebound.

Operation Reference
Entry Range: 381 – 386
Stop Loss Position: 370
Rebound Target: 395 / 415 / 430

Overall, treat it as a technical rebound, focusing on changes in volume and structure during the rebound process, and strictly control risk.
#巨鲸动向
#加密市场观察
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#ETH走势分析
#美联储降息

12·17 Morning Market Alert: Weak Rebound, Bearish Advantage Gradually Emerging

Last night, the price quickly surged to the 88000 level but failed to sustain, with bullish momentum rapidly diminishing. Subsequently, the market showed a fluctuation and retracement structure, with the price center returning to around 87700. On the surface, it appears to be a fluctuation repair, but in reality, after a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, the bears have begun to regain control of the pace.

From a technical structure perspective, risk signals are gradually emerging:
In the 4-hour timeframe, the price has consistently operated below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with all three bands overall turning downward, and significant resistance above;
MACD is below the zero line forming a death cross, with a bearish momentum structure, and both the strength and sustainability of the rebound are insufficient;
The current pullback appears more like a technical repair rather than a trend reversal, and caution is warranted for further weakening after the rebound.

Operational Thoughts: Rebound under pressure, leaning bearish

BTC: Pay attention to the resistance performance in the 88000—88200 area; if upward momentum is insufficient, monitor the support at 87000—86500 below, and further observe the 85000 line after a breach.

ETH: Focus on the pressure in the 2980—3000 area, with particular attention to the support feedback in the 2900—2850 range below.

Overall, the focus is on adapting to the structure and controlling the pace, and it is not advisable to engage in aggressive operations before the trend is clear. #巨鲸动向
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
#山寨季将至？
#美联储降息

Bitcoin faces a crucial test, standing in the eye of the storm of global central banks this week

This week is destined to be anything but calm.
Tonight's non-farm payroll data, Thursday's US CPI, and Friday's Bank of Japan policy meeting are three major events happening in a very rare time window.

Why is this week particularly important?
Because starting next week, the US market will gradually enter the rhythm of the Christmas holiday, leading to a decrease in trading activity and a noticeable reduction in the density of news. In other words, this week is likely to be the most intense in terms of news and emotional fluctuations before the end of the year, and many medium-term directions will be set in this phase.

The current market is in a state of "calm on the surface, with undercurrents surging"; it appears to be stagnant, but is actually waiting for a catalyst.
Non-farm payrolls affect interest rate cut expectations, CPI determines the inflation narrative, and if Japan signals a policy change, global liquidity will be influenced—three forces acting simultaneously, ultimately reflecting on the same K-line.

In summary:
This is the calm before the storm, as well as the last brewing period before direction selection.

Every next step is worth paying close attention to.
Don't be misled by the surface calm, as real fluctuations often appear at such times. #巨鲸动向
#美联储降息
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察
#美联储FOMC会议

Being caught in a position is a compulsory lesson that most traders will experience; no one can avoid it. The real discomfort comes not from the paper losses but from losing control and being led by the market, which repeatedly exhausts one's mentality.

I want to say to friends who are under pressure: being caught is never the end, and it certainly does not equal failure. Short-term price fluctuations are essentially just the back-and-forth pull of market emotions, and the paper losses in your account are merely a temporary performance that does not represent the final outcome. As long as your position is still there, you are still in the market; as long as you haven't lost your chips, you still have the right to choose.

At this time, what's most important is not to rush to recover losses, but to stabilize your rhythm first. The market will not always be sluggish; the turning point often comes just a few K lines later. As long as you are not led by emotions, waiting for the structure to unfold, relieving your position or even reversing is just a matter of time.

Remember this: the market will repeatedly give opportunities, but the premise is that you are still in the game and can remain calm to act. Stabilizing means preparing for the next rise. #巨鲸动向
#美联储降息
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
#美联储FOMC会议

The non-farm payrolls are set to be released tonight, with bears still dominating the rhythm.

Today is still a day where the bears have the upper hand, and seasoned followers understand this feeling.
It is worth noting that the Nikkei has begun to show significant reactions as December 19 approaches, a potential policy node for the central bank. The pressure from consecutive adjustments is gradually being released, and further volatility cannot be ruled out.

Returning to tonight's focus — the non-farm payroll data.
Since Powell's last speech, the market's expectations for this data have noticeably turned optimistic, and this data will directly affect the sentiment pricing for future rate cut expectations, its importance is self-evident and must be closely monitored.

In my personal judgment, referencing previous rhythms, this non-farm payroll data is likely not to be too bad, and may even continue to look “good.” It is precisely this “looking good” data that is more likely to add fuel to a market that is already under pressure.

The U.S. stock market has begun to show signs of fatigue, with structural weakening indications. Now that it has reached this position, it is just one trigger point away.
When the water will pour down is hard to say, but the risks are already out in the open.
#巨鲸动向
#美联储降息
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
#中美贸易谈判

Last night, the thought was actually made very clear - the market is too weak, and a rebound is just an empty promise!
Now looking back, the rhythm is completely following expectations.

The big pancake is plummeting all the way down.
With a steady direction, profits will naturally follow.

Remember, the market never waits for anyone -
Hesitation will lead to missing out, and missing out means you can only watch helplessly!
Going with the trend is the only truth for making money. #巨鲸动向
#美联储降息
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察
#美联储FOMC会议

Yesterday, the overall volatility of the pancake was not large during the day, and the market once gave the illusion of "calm winds and clear skies," but the evening market suddenly changed face, plunging from 89800 all the way down to a low of 85000 before showing a slight rebound. The unilateral decline was close to 5000 points, and the current price is fluctuating around 86000.
Friends who followed the short position strategy in advance have already firmly captured this wave of decline, and the market has once again confirmed expectations.

From a technical perspective, the bearish structure remains clear:
On the 4-hour level, the price has effectively broken below the lower Bollinger Band, and the rebound after breaking through has been weak, always under pressure from the lower band, with the overall Bollinger Band opening downwards, showing a clear bearish trend;
The MACD dead cross continues, and the green momentum bars are continuously expanding, indicating that the bears are still dominating the rhythm;
Although the KDJ is in the oversold area, it has not yet given a clear rebound signal. Even if there is a short-term rebound, the strength is likely to be limited, and further downside needs to be guarded against.

The strategy remains unchanged: continue to short on rebounds.
It is recommended to pay attention to the 87200—87700 area for shorting,
First target 85000, if broken, further look down to 83700.

At the current stage, there is no rush to bottom fish; going with the trend is the most prudent choice.
#巨鲸动向
#美联储降息
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察
#美联储FOMC会议

December 15 BTC / ETH Market Analysis and Strategy

BTC has recently pushed up to the critical resistance level of 94588 before clearly falling back under pressure, with bullish momentum rapidly diminishing. The price has consecutively broken below the support of the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, hitting a low of 87500 in the early morning.
The current price is operating between the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, with clear resistance above and weak support below. The overall Bollinger Bands have shown signs of a downward turn. If subsequent rebounds cannot stabilize above the middle band, the market is likely to continue its oscillating downward trend.

ETH's performance is highly correlated with BTC, weakening in sync and remaining in an overall downward oscillating structure, making it difficult to break out into an independent strong trend in the short term.

Operational Strategy:
BTC: Short in the rebound area of 90200—90800,
first target 89000, second target 87500.

ETH: Short in the rebound area of 3180—3220,
first target 3100, second target 3050.

The overall strategy is mainly to short on rebounds, and until the trend changes, do not engage in counter-trend speculation. #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

A new day, brief market observation on Friday

The short-term market is still mainly characterized by range-bound fluctuations, and the willingness to break through is currently not strong. The news has already been largely reflected in advance, and before any new catalysts appear, the chances of a significant upward or downward extension are relatively limited.

It is expected that the subsequent trend may continue to fluctuate around the 93,700—89,500 area, and reference can be made based on the performance of the upper and lower edges of the range, paying attention to the reaction of high-level pressure and low-level support.

ETH Section
Ethereum's highs show signs of gradually moving down, and the short-term rhythm leans towards range consolidation. During the day, it is important to pay attention to structural changes around the 3,060—3,230 range.

Overall, the main idea remains range-bound, patiently observing the gains and losses at key points before making further judgments.
#ETH走势分析
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#美联储重启降息步伐
#加密市场观察
#特朗普取消农产品关税 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

Wednesday | Afternoon Market Observation and Reference Ideas

The current market maintains a steady upward oscillation structure, with BTC and ETH showing a strong overall rhythm and good continuity.

From a technical perspective, the Bollinger Bands are expanding outward, with prices running between the middle and upper bands, indicating that the upward momentum is still accumulating. In the afternoon, the K-line is predominantly arranged with strong bullish candles, indicating that bullish forces are dominant. Although there have been pullbacks during the session, the extent has been limited, and the middle band has not been effectively broken, showing a strong willingness to support from below, and the overall trend remains healthy.

Reference Ideas
BTC: If the price finds support around 93,000, pay attention to its upward potential and watch the performance in the pressure area around 95,000.
ETH: If it pulls back to the 3,040 area and stabilizes, observe its strength and continuity in trying to reach the 3,120 area.

Overall, the oscillating upward structure has not yet been broken, and the short-term focus remains on following the trend, with the key being to observe the performance of support and resistance levels as well as changes in volume.
#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美国ADP数据超预期 #特朗普加密新政 $BTC $ETH $BNB

The morning waterfall came suddenly and fiercely, so I directly cut in for a slice.
Big cake 90800 short, 87300 without hesitation secured the profit, 3500 points space steadily consumed!
One order in place, the account directly earned 38,000 oil!

The market is fierce, and I am even fiercer.
Grasping the direction accurately, profits will come on their own.
#加密市场反弹
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
#ETH巨鲸增持

The high-altitude strategy given by SOL last Friday can only be described in one sentence: the accuracy is terrifying.

The high position short at 143 hit the top without deviation, and the weekend consolidation felt more like a buildup—resulting not only in following the route we planned but even directly exceeding expectations with an accelerated drop, going straight from 143 to 125, with a space that is ridiculously large and the momentum decisively explosive.

This is the difference made by seeing through the structure in advance and catching the turning point early.
When the direction is right, the market will work for you.
With the correct mindset, the market will naturally deliver profits honestly.

Steady, precise, and fierce, that's how it is.
#加密市场反弹
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察
#ETH巨鲸增持 $SOL
$BNB
$ETH