🩸 Liquidation is not an accident, but fuel The truth that top players keep silent about: the market is driven by liquidations First, let's hear a harsh truth: What you think is a rise and a crash is not controlled by the big players. Wrong. Behind every violent market movement stands a group of people being swept out: 👉 Stop-losses being hit, margin exhausted, forced liquidation orders triggering in succession. The true fuel of the market is someone else's liquidation order. And there's only one thing I do: Stand on the same side as the liquidation occurs, waiting for the pile of emotional corpses to grow. ⚙️ This is not metaphysics; it's mathematics. 90% of traders behave strangely consistently: Breakout → Crazy chasing long Breakdown → Panic chasing short Floating loss → Holding on till the end Liquidation → Market price liquidation This determines that: The liquidation point must be the extreme value of short-term liquidity. And the extreme value is naturally the best sniper position for reverse short-term trades. I'm not predicting the market, I'm waiting for others to lose control of their emotions. 🧠 The iron rule of the mindset of the reverse harvester Do not predict, just wait Do not get obsessed, do not hold positions Do not get emotional due to consecutive losses If one order is wrong, leave immediately You are not competing with candlesticks, You are hunting those who have lost their sanity. 📌 Conclusion of the explosive model Trends are a long journey prepared for believers; Reversals are moments prepared for the calm. The breakout big bullish candle you are desperately chasing, Perhaps it is just the last gasp before someone else's liquidation. The market never needs you to be very smart, It only needs you—— To be a little colder than most people $BTC $ETH #美联储降息 #中美贸易谈判
🧘 The Execution Rules of Position Rolling (Part 2)
Train Yourself to be a 'Probability Execution Machine'
True stable traders,
are not smarter,
but more like machines.
🧠 Mindset Training Process (Do This Every Day) ☀️ Morning Preparation (5 Minutes)
Read aloud 3 times: “I am a probability executor, not a market predictor.” Check important data times for the day Set maximum loss limit (e.g., total capital 2%) ⏸ Trading Break (Mandatory Rest) After completing 1 trade → Rest for 15 minutes Consecutive profits for 2 trades → Rest for 30 minutes Leave the screen, get up and move around
🌙 Closing Review (15 Minutes) Statistics on win rate, profit and loss ratio Check for any discipline violations Record 'Best Trade / Worst Trade' Plan key varieties and scenarios for tomorrow
🚨 Emergency Response Plan Scenario 1: Consecutive Losses of 3 Trades 👉 Stop trading immediately for ≥ 4 hours
Process: Close trading software Leave the computer, go outside Calmly review the three losing trades Determine: Has the market changed? Or has execution distorted?
Scenario 2: Extreme Unilateral Market Characteristics: Fluctuation > 5% within 15 minutes, almost no pullback
Response: ❌ Do not go against the trend ❌ Do not chase trades ⏳ Wait for the market to finish, confirm reversal signals If holding a trending position, consider taking profits in batches
Scenario 3: Platform Lag / Internet Disconnection Prevention: Always set cloud stop losses Keep mobile APP logged in Avoid public WiFi during critical periods
When it happens: 👉 Do not log in frequently, wait for recovery, avoid misoperation 🎯 Four Stages from Novice to Stability Stage 1 | Survival Period (1–2 Months) Goal: Drawdown < 10% Core: Just survive, don’t seek profit Stage 2 | Stability Period (3–6 Months) Goal: Monthly return 5–15% Core: Win rate stable at 55%+ Stage 3 | Replication Period (7–12 Months) Goal: Larger capital, annualized 50–100% Core: Capital management + batch scaling Stage 4 | System Period (1 Year+) Goal: Multiple strategies, stable cash flow Core: Hedging, cross-market, diversification
🌟 A True Statement for Those Who Have Stuck It Out Position Rolling is not a shortcut to wealth, but a long-term discipline practice.
When you achieve: Losses don’t frustrate you Profits don’t make you impatient Execution doesn’t require willpower At that moment,
🧠 Part Five|The Devil's Rolling Warehouse Technique is Not for You
First, let's state the conclusion:
This method is not suitable for 80% of people.
❌ Directly discourage:
Beginners
Those borrowing money to trade coins
Emotion-driven traders
People wanting to get rich overnight
✅ Only suitable for this type of person:
At least 2 years of experience in the crypto world
Have gone through a complete bull and bear market
Using spare money
Able to mechanically execute rules
The ultimate mindset for a roller: Assume the principal has already died Profit is just a number Loss is a cost Write a plan before trading Make no decisions during trading
The crypto world ultimately rewards only two types of people:
Those with extreme patience and those with extreme discipline.
📰 Cryptocurrency News Update|Three External Variables to Focus On
Current trends in the cryptocurrency market remain primarily driven by technical factors and internal liquidity, but several key upcoming events could act as amplifiers for short-term volatility, necessitating preemptive measures.
📌 1️⃣ U.S. November CPI (Inflation Data)
🕒 Time: December 18th evening, Beijing time
Directly affects market expectations of the Federal Reserve's subsequent policies
Is the most important catalyst for short-term volatility
Before and after the data release, the market may experience rapid volume and stop-loss sweeps
👉 Whether the CPI is good or bad determines the direction of short-term risk appetite.
🏦 2️⃣ Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision
🕒 Time: Around December 19th, Beijing time
The market generally expects the Bank of Japan to possibly raise interest rates
May affect yen carry trades, disrupting global liquidity
Poses potential pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies
👉 The impact may not be immediate, but should not be overlooked.
🌍 3️⃣ Middle East Situation (Fragile Ceasefire in Gaza)
Geopolitical risks remain
Currently more of a macro background variable
Has not yet become the core factor driving cryptocurrency market trends
🔭 Market Outlook & Operational Tips
The market is still in a bottoming phase
Short-term structure: Bearish consolidation
Key observation levels:
$95,000 — Important boundary line between bulls and bears
Operational advice:
Be cautious during data window periods: Prevent amplification of volatility and risk transmission
Continue to focus on U.S. stocks, especially tech stock performance
📍 One-Sentence Summary
Now is not the stage for prediction,
But rather the time for risk control, patience, and execution. $ETH $BTC #ETH走势分析 #巨鲸动向
⚡ BTC Short-term Trading Tips|Long / Short Logic First, a general principle in one sentence: Only trade in the "market-confirmed direction", do not make subjective judgments.
🟢 Short-term Long Logic (Rebound trades, not trend longs) ✅ Necessary conditions for long positions to be established Must be satisfied simultaneously: 1️⃣ Price stops falling near the key support area below 2️⃣ 5 / 15 minute level - Formation of a stop-loss structure (double bottom, long lower shadow) 3️⃣ Volume is significantly increased - ≥ 1.5 times the average of the previous 5 bars 4️⃣ Appearance of the first effective reverse candlestick - Not a long-legged candlestick
🎯 Long Position Trading Ideas Nature: Technical rebound Positioning: Light position / Gradual position Targets: First target: Previous round small rebound high Second target: Downward continuation area
Stop loss: Place below the just-formed stop-loss structure Breakout means exit immediately, do not hold
⚠️ Note: Long positions are only for quick in and out If the rebound has no volume, immediately reduce position or close
🔴 Short-term Short Logic ✅ Core conditions for short positions to be established Meeting any one of these is key to focus on: Scenario A|Rebound blocked Price rebounds to: Previous high / Lower High Key moving average resistance level Volume is not increased or significantly diminished
Appearance of Upper shadow False breakout
Scenario B|Support broken Volume breaks below previous low / key support Pullback is weak, volume continues to shrink
🎯 Short Position Trading Ideas
Nature: Trend-following short Positioning: Can be slightly higher than long positions
Targets: First target: Previous low Second target: Lower liquidity area Stop loss: Above false breakout high point Or if the Lower High structure is broken, then stop loss
⚠️ Three Red Lines for Short-term Trading (Must follow)
❌ Do not trade in the middle of consolidation
❌ Do not chase longs in low-volume rebounds
❌ Do not increase positions when emotions are high
🧠 Which side is more favored now?
Before the Lower High is effectively broken:
✅ Short position logic > Long position logic
🟢 Long positions are only considered as rebounds, not trends
If the market does not provide a trend, do not force a trend.
📌 Practical Execution Mantra
Have structure, then act Have volume, then follow up Write the stop loss beforehand, then confirm
🎯 A phrase strategy for traders No volume, do not chase; no structure, do not gamble; do not clear when emotions are high, do not bottom fish. Before the market provides a clear opportunity, please completely hand over your position to disciplined management. #BinanceABCs #美国非农数据超预期 $ETH $BTC
🕳 Cryptocurrency Archaeology|LUNA Crash: $40 Billion, A Week to Zero Illusion
May 2022 Not a spike, not a pullback, but a systemic interrogation of the entire crypto world.
LUNA / UST crash, recognized as—— the most thorough collapse of faith in cryptocurrency history.
🧩 What is LUNA? How glorious was it back then? 🔹 LUNA: The core token of the Terra ecosystem 🔹 UST: Algorithmic stablecoin, pegged to $1 🔹 Mechanism slogan: No need for dollar reserves, can stabilize 1:1
📈 Peak moment: LUNA market cap ~ $40 billion UST became 👉 The third largest stablecoin in the market
📌 The consensus at that time was: "This is the ultimate form of stablecoins."
🔥 How did the crash happen? 1️⃣ Stablecoins began to "depeg" Large funds withdrew from Anchor UST fell below $1
2️⃣ Death spiral initiated UST drops → Minting LUNA to stabilize LUNA surges → Price plummets Plummets → More LUNA needed 👉 Infinite inflation + Confidence collapse
3️⃣ Market panic amplifier Arbitrageurs frantically sell off Retail investors frantically flee Algorithm fails in the face of panic
📉 The result is only one: UST collapsed, LUNA infinite issuance, price went to zero.
💣 How brutal is the data? LUNA from $80+ → $0.0000…
Total ecosystem market cap 👉 Over $40 billion evaporated Millions of investors 👉 Cleared overnight Countless families, funds, institutions 👉 Suffered devastating blows
📌 This is not a "pullback" but a complete disappearance.
🧠 Four bloody lessons left by LUNA ① High returns must correspond to high risks 20% stable return Essentially "supports old money with new money"
② Algorithms cannot fight human nature Model validity ≠ Confidence validity Once confidence collapses 👉 No matter how perfect the algorithm, it becomes worthless
③ The essence of stablecoins is "credit" Without real collateral It can only rely on consensus to hold on
④ Do not treat "systemic risk" as a low probability Black swans are not accidents But a settlement day that will come sooner or later
🕯 A note to future generations 312 is leverage liquidation 519 is bubble burst, LUNA is a mechanism-level collapse.
It is not defeated by the market, but by the arrogance of "nothing can go wrong."
🕳 This article is dedicated to remembering LUNA.$BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
💣 The dirtiest secret in the crypto world: What really can roll is never the full position, but the incremental position
Let me put it this way: 99% of those who teach you to roll positions have never rolled successfully themselves.
Why? Because they are using - the fantasy of full positions and the reality of incremental positions. 🔥 A formula that crushes all the fluff Return = Leverage × Price Change This is elementary school math, but 90% of people have never actually used it. If it goes up 1%, with 100 times leverage, theoretical return is 100% Don't rush to refute, I'm talking about - the incremental model.
⚔️ Full position rolling looks fierce, but it's all bugs
The mainstream teaching methods on the market: 👉 Full position + floating profit adding Where's the problem? Breakthrough → Want to add position Retracement → Floating profit is gone Forced to add → Explosion risk increases exponentially
The fatal bug of full positions: Floating profit is not your money, when the retracement comes, you are nothing. You think you are rolling positions, you are actually betting on a trend that does not retrace.
🧨 The real devil's play: Incremental rolling different coins
I only talk logic, not motivational talk. Assuming you only have 10U. 👇 The operation is extreme but clean: Incremental High multiples (e.g., 50–100 times) Risk-reward ratio 1:1 Set take profit and stop loss in advance
👇 Math violence begins: 10U → Profit 100% = 20U 20U → Do it again = 40U 40U → 80U 80U → 160U
You haven't added positions, you haven't held onto positions, you don't even care about direction.
You only care about one thing: 👉 Can this move make 1%?
⚡ Why I use "incremental + chasing highs / chasing lows" Many people get upset when they hear about chasing highs and chasing lows.
But I want to tell you a truth In trending markets, 1% is the easiest to give. Inertia after a breakthrough Panic selling after a pullback Liquidation chain reactions triggered by long and short positions These, are all the fuel that high multiples love in incremental positions.
🧠 The brutal truth of this model
I must make it clear: ❌ Not suitable for: Poor mindset Not setting stop losses Wanting to eat one wave in one order Looking down on 1% fluctuations
✅ Only suitable for: Accepting high-frequency failures Strict 1:1 risk-reward ratio Treating each order as "bullets" Understanding this is a probability game You are not winning one order, but a whole series of correct repetitions.
📌 One last sentence Full position rolling is rolling faith. Incremental rolling, is rolling math.
The crypto world never rewards faith, it only rewards - those who are absolutely cold-blooded about probability. $BTC $ETH #BinanceABCs