The golden September and silver October is already halfway through, we have captured the first round of dividends, and October will be a turning point for the second half of the year! Looking back at September, as long as we grasp one direction each week, we can easily manage it. In the first week, we had an 80% success rate, fully turning around; in the second week, the success rate reached as high as 88.88%, fully turning around at a minimum of 2; in the third week, we had an 85% success rate, with the highest turning around at 4; in the fourth week, the success rate peaked at 89.47%, fully turning around at a minimum of 4. All the above data comes from actual observations, with strategies + actual observations Y profit charts as evidence, welcome to review!
October, as a key turning point for the second half of the year, has made it a definite decision to grasp the single-sided large space! We will continue to adhere to the principle of "quality over quantity", strictly controlling risks, seeking to obtain typical results, with 1V1 throughout the process, synchronized entry and exit reminders, with a limit of 3 per batch, requiring strong execution ability, starting from 10000, with a minimum turnaround of 2. #加密ETF十月决战
October navigation showed a rollercoaster trend: after a peak of 126000, it entered a volatile downward channel, plunging to a low of 101500 in the early hours of the 11th
In terms of operations, the first half of the month did not blindly chase after a trending big market, but focused on segment opportunities, capturing nearly 50% of the fluctuation space, with 1v1 students achieving basically 2 times the returns; in the second half of the month, navigation entered a volatile phase between 116000-106000, shifting to a short-term strategy, which not only avoided the pressure of long-term positions but also improved operational flexibility, with students achieving an average return of 3 times
Core Arrangements for November Teaching
Two weekly slots for 5000 oil and above, ensuring refined teaching; Plus 1 exclusive slot for less oil support, balancing assistance needs, with fewer people monitoring for more precision, avoiding distraction that affects operational efficiency.
New Batch of Teaching Recruitment Requirements
Core priority on stability, rejecting aggressive operations, pursuing steady returns! Execution must be in place, synchronized entry and exit positions, no unauthorized adjustments! Threshold: starting from 5000 oil, aiming for 2 times returns within the target cycle Three slots per week, quality over quantity $BTC #加密市场回调 $ETH
Although the daytime Bitcoin has not yet broken through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, during the pullback, it has not broken the recent upward trend line, with the low gradually rising from 87000 to around 87500, forming an upward rhythm. The hourly MACD has formed a secondary golden cross above the zero axis, the red energy bars are expanding, and the RSI (14) is at 58.3, within a neutral to strong range, not yet entering the overbought area, still has room for upward movement.
Support focuses around 86900, resistance focuses around 90000, and breaking through will open further upward space.
Evening Operation Strategy Bitcoin pullback to the range of 86500-87000, target 88500, looking at 90000
Altcoin pullback to the range of 2930-2950, target 3000, looking at 3080
Tuesday Daytime Big Coin Two Coin Strategy Yesterday, the Big Coin surged and then fell back, forming a long upper shadow. The daily mid-range near 89000 has clear resistance, and it has not effectively stabilized. The current price is fluctuating around 88500.
The 4-hour MA5 moving average provides short-term support, with the RSI (14) at 58.3, which is in a neutral to strong zone, not overbought and still has room for rebound.
The hourly MACD is contracting and recovering, with a slight expansion of the red energy bar. There is a technical rebound demand in the short term, but the strength is limited.
Daytime Operation Strategy
Big Coin rebounds to the range of 89500-90000, target 88000, looking down to 86500. Two Coin rebounds to the range of 3020-3050, target 2980, looking down to 2920.
Currently, BTC shows a "weak rebound + strong resistance" oscillation pattern. The daily chart has three consecutive bullish candles but has not reversed the previous downtrend channel, consolidating around the EMA15 (88700). In terms of trend, the 4-hour EMA indicator has contracted and multiple attempts to rise have been unsuccessful. During the rebound, short-sellers have always exerted pressure, and the short-term resistance zone formed by the 20-period and 50-period moving averages has not been broken. The integrity of the downtrend structure remains intact.
Daytime Operation Direction Big Cake rebounds to the range of 89000-89800, targeting 87000 and looking down to 85500. Small Cake rebounds to the range of 3050-3080, targeting 3000 and looking down to 2920.
Friday Daytime Big Cake Second Cake Strategy The big cake has rebounded after a pullback from the previous low point, continuously forming a step-like upward structure. The Bollinger Bands have shown a narrowing followed by a gradual opening trend. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross near the zero axis, with the red bars continuing to expand in volume. Combined with the KDJ three lines diverging upwards and not entering the overbought zone, bullish momentum is in a healthy accumulation phase. The volume shows a mild expansion characteristic, confirming the effectiveness of the current upward trend. If it can stabilize around the middle track at 87000, it will open up the potential for a push towards the 88000-89000 range; conversely, if it loses the middle track and falls below the support zone of 84500-84000, it may trigger a phased pullback to around 82000. The hourly candlestick level is steadily climbing with small upward candles, forming a clear upward channel. The short-term moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, the MACD golden cross continues to diverge, and the RSI indicator has rebounded from a low position to above 50 in a strong zone. The three major indicators form a bullish resonance signal, and the short-term upward structure is solid, with no obvious pullback pressure at present.
Daytime Operations The big cake pulls back to the range of 86000-86500, targeting 88000 looking up to 89500. The second cake pulls back to the range of 2850-2900, targeting 2950, looking up to 3020.
The big pie daily line is still in the descending channel since the high point in October, suppressed by multiple moving averages. The MACD death cross continues to diverge downwards. After a high of 90336 yesterday, it "plunged from a high platform," closing with a long upper shadow bearish candlestick, highlighting the pressure at the 90000 level.
The strong support area is between 85000 and 85500, which is not only the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near yesterday's low of 85278 but also supported by on-chain buying. The hourly RSI has quickly rebounded from the oversold area, indicating a technical repair demand. The short-term resistance is focused on the 88000-89000 range, which is both a previous intermediate pressure point during the fluctuations and is under pressure from the 4-hour moving average death cross. A volume-less rebound is difficult to break through.
Evening Operation Strategy The big pie pulls back to the 85500-86000 range, target 87500, looking up to 89000.
The second pie pulls back to the 2780-2800 range, target looking at 2900, looking up to 2980.
Thursday Daytime Big Coin Secondary Coin Strategy Current Big Coin is oscillating around 86500, with strong resistance at the 90000 integer level (after hitting a high of 90336 yesterday, it quickly fell back, leaving a long upper shadow to validate the effectiveness of the resistance). The key support area is between 84000-85000.
MACD is below the zero axis, with the histogram gradually shortening. Bearish momentum is weakening but has not completed the reversal; the RSI indicator is currently around 53.9 in the neutral zone, showing neither overbought nor oversold signals. Coupled with a 24-hour trading volume drop of 18.8%, it reflects that both bulls and bears are temporarily in a stalemate, lacking trend momentum. It is difficult to form a one-sided market in the short term; oscillation and consolidation remain the main tone.
If the Big Coin effectively breaks below the 84000 support area, it will break the oscillation structure and start a one-sided downward trend.
Daytime Operation Space Big Coin retraces to the 85000-86000 range, target 87500, looking up to 90000. Secondary Coin retraces to the 2760-2800 range, target 2850, looking up to 3000.
If the Big Coin retraces and breaks below 84000, then it is necessary to pay attention to the adjustment direction and timely stop loss. Personal suggestion for reference only, not an investment recommendation.
Wednesday Evening Big Cake and Second Cake Strategy From a daily perspective, the Big Cake continues to operate below the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, with the moving average system forming a clear death cross, firmly locking in the rebound space. The Bollinger Bands show a downward opening posture, with prices weakly running near the lower track. On the four-hour level, the previous upward trend line has been effectively broken, failing to recover above, establishing a short-term bearish pattern. The MACD indicator maintains a death cross state; although the green bars have slightly contracted, there is no clear turning signal. The RSI indicator hovers below 40, remaining in a weak area without forming oversold rebound momentum. On the hourly level, a weak cycle of "rebound-fall" is presented, with each upward probe near 87000 encountering significant selling pressure. The K-line repeatedly tests the lower track support, with a complete downward structure and strong continuity of momentum. The current key resistance focuses on the 87500-88000 range, with lower support at 86000 for short-term defense and 85000 as core support. If broken, it will further point to the previous low of 83800.
Evening Operation Strategy Big Cake rebounds to the 87200-88000 range, Target 86000 down to 83800
Second Cake rebounds to the 2950-2970 range, target 2900 down to 2820
If the Big Cake breaks through the 88000 key resistance, the direction can be adjusted in a timely manner. Personal suggestion for reference only, not to be considered as investment advice.
The daily EMA system for Bitcoin is in a bearish arrangement, the MACD green bars continue to expand, and the KDJ maintains a dead cross moving downward. The technical formation completely aligns with the logic of a C-wave decline. It briefly dropped below 86000, creating a new low in two weeks. Although there was weak support in the 85000-85226 range (Fibonacci retracement level + early session low), the bullish rebound strength is weak.
Regarding support and resistance, the short-term primary support focuses on 85000. Losing this level will open downwards space to 82000-83200. Short-term resistance is seen at 88000.
Operation direction: Bitcoin rebounds to the 87000-87500 range, target 85500, looking down at 84000. Ethereum rebounds to the 2950-2980 range, target 2900, looking down at 2850.
The Big Pie initially oscillated upwards, then a solid bearish candle broke through the short-term moving average, reaching the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, it has stopped falling and stabilized near the support level, with the candlestick showing a contraction and consolidation pattern.
Currently, a stabilization structure is forming near 86000, the RSI indicator has entered the oversold range and continues to hover, and the market's short-term oversold sentiment is accumulating, leading to an increasing demand for technical recovery and rebound.
The short-term moving averages are temporarily diverging downwards, but the medium to long-term moving averages still maintain a bullish arrangement. The price is in a consolidation phase within an upward channel, and this pullback to the lower band + key support area is building strength for the subsequent upward attack.
Operational Strategy The Big Pie is around 85000, target 86500, looking up to 88000 The Two Pie is around 2900, target 2950, looking up to 3080
If the Big Pie breaks below 85000, timely stop-loss is required, and wait for a lower point to enter.
Big Coin recently surged to the key resistance level of 94588 before starting a retracement. The short-term bullish momentum is rapidly diminishing, as it not only broke below the middle support of the Bollinger Bands but also dipped to a stage low of 87500 in the early morning. From the indicators, it is currently running between the middle and lower bands, with the upper band creating significant resistance. The lower band temporarily provides support but with limited strength. The Bollinger Bands show a downward turning shape; if the rebound fails to stabilize at the middle band, it is likely to continue the downward trend.
Trading Suggestions Big Coin is trading in the range of 90500-91000, with a target of 88000 and a lower target of 86500. Second Coin is trading in the range of 3180-3220, with a target of 3100 and a lower target of 3050.
On Monday, Bitcoin's price急跌至87500, hitting the lower Bollinger Band support on the daily level, forming a long lower shadow pattern. RSI is close to the oversold area (around 34) but hasn't broken down, and the MACD green bars are shrinking, indicating a weakening of bearish strength. Support levels focus on 87500-88000, while resistance above is at 91000.
Operation suggestions Bitcoin retraces to the 88000-88500 range, target 90000, with an upside at 91500. Altcoin retraces to the 3050-3080 range, target 3150, with an upside at 3220.
Friday Daytime Bitcoin Strategy Yesterday, Bitcoin rebounded and formed a K-line pattern with a long upper shadow, reaching the key resistance level of 93547 before retreating, indicating concentrated selling pressure in the 93500-94000 range.
Although the four-hour chart shows a consecutive bullish rebound, the price remains constrained by the middle track of the Bollinger Bands and the upper edge of the box (94200), failing to achieve an effective breakout. The MACD indicator shows signs of forming a death cross near the zero axis, suggesting a short-term trend leaning towards consolidation and retreat.
Core resistance 93500-94000, primary support 90000, strong support in the 88000-89000 range.
Operation Direction Bitcoin rebounds to the 93000-93500 range, targeting 91000 down to 89000. Altcoin rebounds to the 3280-3320 range, targeting 3200 down to 3120.
Thursday Evening Bitcoin Strategy Bitcoin currently shows a clear 4H rising wedge pattern, with high and low points gradually moving up but forming a converging pattern in the range of 88000-89000, which has not effectively broken down On the indicator level, the 4H MACD maintains green bars below the zero axis, with DIF and DEA diverging downward, and RSI quickly retreating from the overbought zone to around 40. If the short-term trend breaks below the support line, downward space will open up
Operation Strategy Bitcoin rebounds to the range of 91000-92000, target 89500, looking down to 88000 Ethereum rebounds to the range of 3240-3280, target 3150, looking down to 3080
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is forming a 'W'-shaped bottom at the hourly level, with effective support around 89500 in the previous period, and the daily MACD indicator still maintains upward divergence, indicating that the medium-term bullish trend has not fundamentally changed. In terms of key support levels, look at 88000-89000, while resistance is concentrated at 94000-94500. A breakout will open up upward space towards 95000-97000.
Operation Direction Bitcoin pulls back to the 88500-89000 range, targeting 90500 and looking towards 92500. Two Pancakes pull back to the 3100-3150 range, targeting 3250 and looking towards 3320.
Bitcoin is currently experiencing a rebound after a high-level consolidation, with daily moving averages in a bullish arrangement. MA20 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands provide strong support, and the medium-term upward framework remains intact; the 4-hour MACD's red bars are shortening, indicating weakening bullish momentum. KDJ and RSI are overbought, suggesting a short-term need for a pullback, but there are no clear signals of a weakening trend.
Resistance above Bitcoin is focused on 94500, with support at 89000.
Operation Direction Bitcoin is fluctuating in the 93200-94000 range, targeting 91000, with a downside look at 89000. Ethereum is fluctuating in the 3370-3400 range, targeting 3300, with a downside look at 3250.
Tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision is a core variable. If Bitcoin breaks through the 94500 resistance, adjustments in direction and timely stop-loss measures are needed, waiting to enter at a high point.
Personal advice is for reference only and does not constitute investment or financial recommendations.
Big Coin has a high opening and a pullback in the 4-hour chart but is running with reduced volume, which is a healthy washout in a bullish trend, not damaging the bullish arrangement of moving averages.
The daily chart has been continuously closing in the green, showing a strong upward trend. The 4-hour chart maintains the characteristics of an ascending channel with "higher lows and higher highs"; the current core support area focuses on 91500-92000, and key resistance above is concentrated at 94500-95000. A breakthrough could open up space above 96000.
Daytime operational direction: primarily low buys on pullbacks.
Big Coin pullback to the 91800-92000 range, target 93200, looking at 94500. Two Coin pullback to the 3280-3300 range, target 3350, looking at 3420.