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12月21日早盘分析：

本周比特币第四次向90000美元关键压力位发起冲击后再度承压回落，该价位俨然成为当前市场难以逾越的“天堑”，价格刚显露上攻态势便遭遇空头强力压制。

与此同时，美股市场表现强劲，纳斯达克指数已完全收复本周跌幅，形成显著的逆势修复行情。值得警惕的是，当前比特币的市场情绪仍高度依赖美股的联动效应——若美股后续出现回调，加密货币市场的承压程度或将进一步加剧。

从周线结构来看，本周大概率以阴线收官，整体延续震荡格局。技术面上，日线级别已出现TD8信号，若下周跌势延续触发TD9形态，需重点关注日线双针探底形态下的技术性反弹机会。

日线维度深度解析
本周比特币价格波幅收窄，整体呈现震荡下行走势。昨日日线收出流星线形态，价格向上插针测试压力后迅速回落，明确反映出上方抛压的强劲。

当前价格持续受制于布林带中轨与下跌通道上沿的双重压制，技术面逻辑清晰：只要日线布林带中轨压制有效，价格将大概率下探看跌旗型的起涨点，目标区间指向81000美元附近。

四小时周期多指标共振信号
四小时级别K线呈现极致横盘收缩态势，量能持续萎靡缺乏上攻支撑，EMA趋势指标同步进入收敛阶段，市场方向选择窗口临近。

后市大概率面临两种走势推演：其一，承压回落测试85000美元支撑区间；其二，突破90000美元压力位，打开上探94200美元的上行空间。

价格反弹至 88600美元 阻力位附近可择机布局空单，止损位上移至 89500美元 前高上方；若后续插针未突破该压制位，空头趋势延续，目标下看 85000美元 支撑区间。

#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

Chen Dong's Rolling Warehouse Operation 9: 10000 U - 350000 U

The true breakthrough in the cryptocurrency world has never been about the randomness of luck, but rather about refining a set of profit logic that has been validated by the market to perfection and executing it resolutely.

I have managed to stand firm in a volatile market precisely because of my deep commitment to a proprietary trading model: when signals are clear, I strike decisively; when trends are uncertain, I patiently wait. While most people are exhausted from chasing hot topics and engaging in news speculation, I always focus on market structure and strictly adhere to trading rules.

The process may seem tedious, but it can solidify the foundation of profit certainty; the pace may appear to slow down, but it is, in fact, a surefire way to traverse bull and bear markets.

#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

December 20 Morning Analysis:

I. Cycle Structure: Strength and Weakness Layering in High-Position Volatility

1. Weekly Dimension: Overall maintaining a high-level narrow convergence oscillation pattern, with a clear interval box outline, and no clear directional breakout signal has appeared yet, with the bullish and bearish game at a stalemate stage.
2. Daily Dimension: The price operation range has contracted to between the lower and middle bands of the Bollinger Bands. As the market continues to test the upper edge of the range, the current price has gradually approached the middle band position, presenting an overall oscillating strong operation tone.

II. Indicator Signals: Short-Term Bullish Support and Long-Term Bearish Pressure Coexist

1. MACD Indicator Multi-Period Divergence
- 4-Hour Level: At 04:00 on December 19, the MACD indicator completed the golden cross formation, with the red bar continuing to expand to 591.7, providing core support for price highs as short-term bullish momentum continues to strengthen.
- Daily Level: Although the MACD indicator has not escaped the dead cross range, signs of weakening bearish strength have emerged, with the green bar length narrowing to -66.5, indicating that bearish selling pressure is diminishing, suggesting a potential rebound repair demand at the daily level.
2. Moving Average System: Short-Term Golden Cross vs Long-Term Suppression
- 4-Hour Level: The EMA7 moving average successfully crossed above the EMA30 moving average, forming a short-term golden cross support structure, providing a technical basis for price upward movement.
- Daily Level: The price remains below all moving averages, with the EMA120 moving average above constituting a strong resistance level. Bulls need to overcome this critical suppression point for an upward breakout.

III. Bollinger Bands and Momentum Indicators: Clear Pressure Support, Caution Needed for High-Position Bullish Pursuit

1. 4-Hour Bollinger Band Signal: The three bands show a synchronous upward pattern, with the price operation rhythm being strong, but facing multiple pressure level tests—candlesticks are currently impacting the MA180 pressure level, while the upper Bollinger band is simultaneously challenging the intersection suppression range of the MA120 and MA60 moving averages. For support, short-term attention can be paid to the resonance support zone between the middle band and MA15, while the lower Bollinger band constitutes the last line of defense for bulls.
2. Oscillation Indicator Warning: The KDJ and RSI indicators are both nearing the overbought zone, with bullish momentum release approaching a phase threshold. There is a technical pullback demand for prices in the short term, and caution is needed for bullish pursuit at high positions due to potential pullback risks.

Short-Term Operation Suggestions:
Big Cake: Short around 88700-89300, Target: around 87000-86500
Second Cake: Short around 3000-3020, Target: around 2940-2920

#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

The article clearly analyzes the macro reasons and various market sentiments. Good news being fully priced in means bad news is ahead, so wait for significant fluctuations. The short position suggested in the evening session has been initially validated, and now we are just waiting for the position to take profit.

#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs #加密市场观察 #隐私叙事回归 $BTC $ETH

December 19 Follow-up Analysis and Operation Ideas:

1. Macro Drivers and Bitcoin Market Trends

Today, the Bank of Japan announced an interest rate hike of 25 basis points, raising the rate to 0.75%, the highest level in nearly 30 years for the country. Due to this macroeconomic negative impact, Bitcoin dipped to around $84400 during the early hours, but the market quickly digested the short-term bearish sentiment, and the daytime price started a strong rebound, closing with a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, indicating a high probability of reaching a new local high during the US trading session.

From the resistance distribution perspective, there is significant selling pressure in the $89500-$90500 range, which is the core pressure area for this round of rebound.

2. Bitcoin Daily Level

Previously, the daily chart recorded an upper shadow bearish candlestick. After the price received effective support in the lower range, it immediately started to rebound at the opening.

- The Bollinger Bands show a slight opening trend, and the short-term moving averages are turning upward, providing momentum for the rebound;
- The MACD fast and slow lines crossed upwards but the volume bars are in a contraction state, the sustainability of the rebound remains to be observed;
- The KDJ indicator is also turning upwards, and the VR indicator is horizontally consolidating around 80, with no significant increase in market activity yet.

Four-Hour Level:

After the rebound encountered resistance in the early hours, the price plunged briefly below the Bollinger lower band, followed by a three consecutive bullish candlestick rebound trend, currently the Bollinger Bands are flat.

- The short-term moving averages show signs of turning upwards, with bullish strength gradually warming up;
- The MACD fast and slow lines are extending upwards, and the volume bars are also increasing, indicating a strengthening of the rebound;
- The KDJ indicator is crossing upwards, caution is needed regarding the overbought resistance near the 100 value;
- The VR indicator is consolidating around the 120 value, and market trading sentiment is relatively stable.

3. Market Structure Judgment and Operation Strategy

The current cryptocurrency market is overall in a wide-ranging volatile market, with significant characteristics of price fluctuations, and blindly chasing highs and cutting losses can easily lead to a passive position.

From an operational perspective, it is recommended to abandon the trend-following approach and rely on support and resistance zones for high-selling and low-buying. The short-term price is currently testing the upper resistance zone, a conservative strategy can wait for a confirmation pullback to establish long positions.

Short-term trading suggestions for the early hours:
Big Coin: Short near $89000-$89500, target: around $87000-$86000
Second Coin: Short near $2990-$3010, target: around $2930-$2900

Market Macro Assessment: The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike is finalized, and negative news has been fully released while we await the initiation of a new mainline

Dear colleagues, today the Bank of Japan announced an interest rate hike as expected. This operation, which aligns with market expectations, still poses a substantial negative impact on the cryptocurrency market against the backdrop of tightening global liquidity.

From the perspective of macro liquidity, this interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan is essentially a continuation of the tightening monetary policy cycle of major global economies. This move will further exacerbate the market liquidity siphoning effect. In the short term, the cryptocurrency market, as a representative of high-risk assets, is likely to bear the pressure brought by the diversion of funds.

Looking back at recent market dynamics, multiple negative factors have been densely released and are gradually being digested. From geopolitical disturbances at the macro level to the implementation of regulatory policies within the industry, market sentiment is already at a relatively low range. According to the financial market logic of “when negative news is fully released, it becomes positive,” the current market is at a critical turning point between the end of risk release and the brewing of new momentum.

As negative factors gradually clear, market valuations will return to rational ranges, and expectations for marginal improvement in funding will also gradually warm up. We judge that a new round of bullish trends in the cryptocurrency market has entered the countdown stage, and now is the strategic window period to accumulate at low levels and await a trend reversal.

#美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析 #SOL上涨潜力 $ETH $BTC

Under the changing landscape of global macro policies, the Bank of Japan is set to implement a new round of monetary policy adjustments on December 19, with the market expecting a rate hike of 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark interest rate to a nearly 30-year high of 0.75%. This move marks the continued exit of Japan from a long-term ultra-loose monetary era and may have significant transmission effects on global risk assets, especially in the cryptocurrency market. Historically, since 2024, the Bank of Japan's three rate hikes have triggered deep corrections in Bitcoin prices, establishing a strong correlation: after the rate hike in March 2024, Bitcoin fell by 24%, and the rate hike in July of the same year pushed the decline to 30%, with the drop further climbing to 32% after the rate hike in January 2025, showing a clear transmission path of 'rate hike - price pressure.' The core logic is that Japan's long-term low-interest-rate environment has spawned yen arbitrage trading exceeding one trillion dollars. International capital borrows yen at low costs and invests in high-yield risk assets like Bitcoin, while rate hikes directly increase yen financing costs and strengthen expectations of yen appreciation, forcing arbitrage funds to close positions and leading to tightened liquidity and asset sell-off pressures in the cryptocurrency market. Currently, the market's pricing probability for this rate hike has reached as high as 98%. Coupled with Bitcoin recently breaking below the critical support level of $90,000 and the already sluggish year-end market liquidity, the short-term risk of a correction cannot be overlooked. However, attention should be paid to variable factors: the Federal Reserve's concurrent rate-cutting policy may partially hedge the liquidity shock from yen tightening, and the market's expectations for rate hikes have already been partially digested, which may weaken the intensity of short-term panic selling. Overall, this rate hike is essentially a key node in the reconstruction of the global liquidity environment. Bitcoin, as a highly liquid sensitive asset, may continue the historical correction inertia in the short term, but the long-term trend will depend on the comprehensive effects of global policy combinations, the scale of arbitrage trading closures, and the intrinsic value support of the cryptocurrency market. Investors should pay close attention to core indicators such as the USD/JPY exchange rate and Japanese government bond yields, prudently managing leverage positions and risk exposure.

#美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

December 19 Morning Analysis:

From the daily technical perspective, Bitcoin has shown signs of a rebound in stages, but the upward momentum has evidently exhibited signs of exhaustion. Multiple attempts to break through key resistance zones have failed, and the K-line chart shows a dense arrangement of upper shadows, intuitively confirming that selling pressure above is at a high level. The buying strength in the market continues to weaken, and market liquidity is tightening simultaneously, with bearish forces still dominating the overall market direction; Ethereum's rebound momentum has similarly shown significant decay, with the K-line pattern consistently recording long upper shadows, clearly reflecting heavy pressure above, insufficient willingness from buyers to follow up, and market trading activity remaining low, with the bearish-dominated market pattern yet to see a substantive reversal.

Observing the four-hour cycle, Bitcoin's price has broken below the lower Bollinger Band and has returned to operate within the channel. The KDJ indicator's three lines have formed a death cross and continue to diverge downward, while the MACD indicator's bullish momentum has completely dissipated, and bearish momentum shows a continuous expansion trend, with short-term technical pressure gradually accumulating.

Short-term trading suggestions:
Big Pie: Short near 85800-86500, target: near 84000-83500
Second Pie: Short near 2840-2860, target: near 2790-2760

#美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH

November 26 Thanksgiving is approaching. Will the market repeat itself? Subsequent market analysis and operational suggestions

BTC Technical Analysis

- Daily Level: Recently, the price has closed in the red around $87,300, with concentrated selling pressure between $88,500 and $89,000. Multiple attempts to break through have failed; currently, it is in a consolidation range between $86,000 and $88,500, with key support at $86,000-$86,500.

- 4-Hour Level: The candlestick shows a long upper shadow, and the MACD indicator shows diminishing momentum above the zero line, with the distance between DIF and DEA narrowing, indicating weakening bullish strength; although the short-term moving average system has not broken down, profit-taking pressure and the divergence between bulls and bears have intensified.
​
- Trend Outlook: A breakout with volume above the $88,500-$89,000 resistance may open up upward space to $91,500-$93,000; a drop below the $86,000 support may lead to a retest of the bottom around $84,000.

ETH Technical Multi-Dimensional Interpretation

- Daily Level: A doji bullish candlestick has formed, with $2,950 becoming a key short-term resistance, which has been tested multiple times without breaking; bullish momentum is insufficient; the support at $2,850 is relatively strong, and it is currently in a narrow consolidation pattern.

- 4-Hour Level: Significant divergence in bullish and bearish signals, with the MACD and KDJ indicators showing an upward trend. The MA5 and MA10 daily moving averages provide resonant support, showing weak rebound momentum in the short term; however, the BOLL indicator is moving downwards, and the MA30 daily moving average has not turned; it is still in an adjustment framework in the medium term.
​
- Trend Outlook: A breakout above $2,950 with volume may lead to a target range of $3,030-$3,150; losing the $2,850 support may trigger a risk of a pullback to $2,750.

Short-Term Operational Suggestions: (Not investment advice)

BTC: Short near $87,500-$88,000, target: around $85,000-$84,500

ETH: Short near $2,950-$2,970, target: around $2,870-$2,850

#加密市场反弹 #美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #香港稳定币新规
#ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH

November 25 Morning Analysis:

From the daily cycle perspective, the Bitcoin Alligator indicator has shown a clear upward turning momentum, and the bullish trend structure is in the early stages of construction; the Williams indicator continues to converge from the oversold area towards the 70 central range, effectively releasing the excessive selling pressure in the market, and the oversold pattern is gradually being repaired; the MACD indicator's bearish energy bars are showing a continuous shrinking trend, with the fast and slow lines approaching at a faster pace, and the probability of a golden cross formation is steadily increasing. At the same time, the Bitcoin Alligator's three tracks are gradually converging and tightening, and the short-term market's long-short game has entered a critical window. If the price can break through the upper resistance of the Alligator line with strong volume and stabilize, it will effectively open up upward space, and the subsequent trend of rising momentum is expected to continue further; on the contrary, if the upward movement fails to break through the resistance level, the price is likely to fall back to the Alligator's middle track area for energy accumulation, waiting for the next breakthrough opportunity.

Ethereum's daily Bollinger Bands maintain a downward divergent pattern, with no obvious turning signals yet, but the price has successfully broken above the MA7 short-term moving average resistance, currently operating in the resistance area where EMA10 and the middle track of the Bollinger Bands resonate, and the market is at a key node for directional choice; the MACD indicator is still operating below the 0 axis, with volume continuously shrinking. Although the fast and slow lines are showing an upward trend at a low position, an effective golden cross has not yet formed, and the bearish pattern has not been completely reversed; the KDJ and RSI indicators are maintaining a synchronous upward trend below the 50 axis, with short-term bullish momentum gradually accumulating. From the perspective of indicator resonance logic, the probability of Ethereum breaking through the middle track resistance of the Bollinger Bands is relatively high. If it can successfully break through and stabilize, it is expected to break the current weak pattern and initiate a phase of rebound market.

Big Pie: 87500-87000 nearby long, target: 89000-90000 nearby
Second Pie: 2920-2900 nearby long, target: 2980-3000 nearby

The analysis provided in the evening session for $SOL is also perfectly executed, with the evening session SOL showing a considerable increase, directly rising by ten points. The target space provided is quite large, overall, today's SOL trend is indeed impressive.

#加密市场回调 #美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH巨鲸增持 $BTC $ETH

The market moves this quickly, I don't want to say much more, brothers. Today's Northbound profits are abundant. This market is worth staying up for, the take-profit target given is too small. Adjusted the take-profit point midway, exceeding the completely expected target.

#加密市场回调 #美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #ETH巨鲸增持 #香港稳定币新规 $BTC $ETH

Steady operations focus on the mainstream, making big gains from small investments in altcoins. Today's altcoin suggestion: $SOL

SOL has recently presented a typical oscillation and consolidation pattern, with prices continuing to hover around the 128 mark in a narrow range. The market sentiment is heavily cautious from both bulls and bears, lacking clear trend guidance, and overall has fallen into a "grinding" phase of speculation. The current price barely holds at the middle Bollinger Band (around 128.8), but the upper band at 133.5 forms strong resistance, and in the short term, it remains confined within the 124-133 range, with no effective breakout signal yet.

1. Core Bullish and Bearish Anchor Points

- Resistance Area: The key resistance focus is on the 133-134 range; this area is both the upper Bollinger Band resistance level and the upper boundary of the recent oscillation range, while also overlapping with the short-term dividing line of bullish and bearish sentiment. A breakout needs to be confirmed with increased volume;
- Support Area: The lower support system is anchored in the 122-125.5 range, with 125.5 being the recent lower boundary of the consolidation, and 122 being a key psychological level and technical support resonance point in the short term. If broken, it will further test the integer level of 120 for support.

2. Trading Strategy Reference

- Bullish Layout: When the price pulls back to the 126 range and shows signs of stabilization, one may consider entering long positions;
- Risk Control: Strict stop-loss set below 120 to avoid the risk of continued pullback after support break;
- Target Planning: If breaking through the 133-135 resistance zone with increased volume, one may aim for an upward target extension of 136-142.

November 24th market rebounds from overselling, followed by market analysis and operational suggestions

Bitcoin

- Daily level: Closed near 86800, with the body breaking through the key resistance at 86500 but with moderate strength, and the volume did not increase simultaneously, caution is needed for short-term pullback risks. Core resistance at 87500, support anchored at 84500; if it stabilizes above 87500 and the volume increases, look for 90000-92000; if it falls below 84500 and the volume shrinks, it is likely to drop to 82000-80000.
​
- 4-hour level: Oscillating upward structure, steadily rising relying on short-term moving averages, with no obvious divergence signals. Resistance focuses on 87500 (previous oscillation upper edge + bullish-bearish watershed), after breaking through with volume, look for 89000-92500 (pay attention to 88500 in between); support at 85000-84000, with 84500 as the key pullback confirmation point, if it does not break and the volume shrinks, it's a healthy adjustment, effective breaking down will lead to 83000-82000.

Ethereum

- Daily level: Closed near the 2800 mark, with intensified range trading and balanced bullish-bearish momentum, no clear breakout signals formed. Resistance at 2820-2850 (previous platform upper edge + MA20/MA30 convergence), after a volume-based breakthrough, look for 2950; support at 2760 (oscillation lower edge + MA60 resonance), effective breaking down will lead to 2660 (previous low + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement).
​
- 4-hour level: In resonance with BTC, constrained by the 7-day moving average, the upward pace is slow. Resistance at 2850-2880 (previous platform + emotional watershed), after breaking through the 7-day moving average with volume and stabilizing at 2880, look for 2980-3030; support at 2760-2680 (oscillation lower edge + short-term moving average + Fibonacci retracement), if it falls below and the volume shrinks, adjustments will be exacerbated.

Short-term operational suggestions:

Bitcoin: Buy near 85500-85000, target: around 87800-88800

Ethereum: Buy near 2790-2770, target: around 2950-2970

#加密市场回调 #美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH

November 24th Morning Analysis:

Bitcoin has experienced a continuous downward adjustment, and the weekend market has entered a consolidation and repair phase. After confirming support with a pullback during the day, a rebound has been triggered, and the current price is solidly operating above the $86,000 area. The daily chart shows a sustained sideways oscillation pattern, with a recent inclusion of a doji candlestick pattern. The struggle between bulls and bears has become stuck, and the trend direction remains unclear. Attention should be paid to whether the daily line can form a medium bullish or medium bearish candlestick to complete trend confirmation; from the perspective of volume performance, bullish volume is gradually shrinking, and the Bollinger Bands maintain a parallel running state, with significant characteristics of short-term range oscillation.

On the 4-hour level, after the previous one-sided downward market, a short-term bottom structure has been completed. The current price has successfully stabilized in the strong area above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. After continuous accumulation of bullish momentum, a key resistance level has been broken, effectively breaking through the previous downward trend pressure and opening up space for short-term upward movement; at the same time, a small bearish candlestick with reduced volume has formed during the pullback, fully reflecting that the supporting force below is sufficient and the selling pressure is relatively limited, which is a positive confirmation of the effectiveness of the middle track support. On the indicator level, the KDJ indicator is currently in the overbought zone, and caution should be exercised against the risk of a high-level reversal, while the RSI three-line retains upward space, and the short-term bullish momentum has not yet been fully released.

Big Cake: Near 86000-85500 bullish, target around 87500-88500.
Second Cake: Near 2760-2740 bullish, target: around 2820-2840.

#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #香港稳定币新规 #鲍威尔发言 $BTC $ETH

The many armies will not be enslaved, sounding the horn of victory. Today's large space long position has completely exited, and the losses from the previous days have been compensated. You all know how the market should move; what about the dog dealer's sickle? Today's analysis shows two consecutive wins, and the defensive take profit has been provided. All I can say is just keep it up.

#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美股2026预测 #特朗普取消农产品关税 #美国加征关税 $BTC $ETH

The given strategy shouldn't be too aggressive; with everyone bearish, don't you know the tricks of the manipulators yet? Technically, there will definitely be a round of recovery and rise. The defense and take-profit levels have already been provided. The first round of long positions has already been validated, the market rises and then quickly retraces. Continue to lay out long positions for entry, perfectly achieving results.

#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性 #美股2026预测 #特朗普取消农产品关税 #币安合约实盘 $BTC $ETH

On November 21, the market overall fell nearly 10,000 points, followed by market analysis and operational suggestions.

Last night, the market experienced violent fluctuations, with Bitcoin plunging nearly 7,700 points before rebounding from the 86,000 mark to the 88,200 area (a rebound of 2,200 points); Ethereum fell nearly 260 points before recovering from 2,790 to the 2,900 range (a rebound of about 110 points). In the early morning session, the market weakened again, with Bitcoin dropping from 87,400 to 85,300 (a sharp drop of 2,100 points), and Ethereum retreating from 2,885 to 2,770 (a drop of 115 points). In the midday session, panic sentiment was released, triggering a waterfall decline, with Bitcoin plummeting from 85,500 to 81,200 (a total daily drop of over 4,300 points), and Ethereum falling from 2,810 to 2,640 (a drop of 170 points).

2. In-depth analysis of Bitcoin's technical aspects (from the perspective of wave theory)

1. Key levels and Fibonacci reference

- The core focus is on the 0.318 Fibonacci level at 83,611 points, which is a key reference for trend judgment.
- Short-term key support: the 77,000 area (near the ultimate target level); immediate support: the 83,000 line; short-term rebound resistance: below 88,000.

2. Wave structure and stop-loss conditions

- Currently presenting a double zigzag adjustment wave pattern, with strong downward momentum; only after breaking the 94,479 pressure level will there be a clear stop-loss signal.
- The large-scale target level is approaching, with short-term lows and target levels deviating or showing pin-like fluctuations, and space for correction is limited; a stop in the U.S. stock market will trigger a phase of market oscillation and consolidation.

3. Four-hour cycle indicator resonance

- The Bollinger Bands are expanding downward, with prices breaking below the lower track, and short-term moving averages in a bearish arrangement; after a MACD death cross, it accelerated downward, with green energy bars increasing, and bearish momentum continuing to be released.
- KDJ shows a weak turning point that has not formed an effective stop-loss, while the VR indicator is consolidating at a low position around 40, with sluggish trading; indicator resonance shows extremely weak market conditions, and it is expected to experience an accelerated decline to complete the final drop, realizing the clearing of bulls.

Short-term operational suggestions:

Bitcoin: Buy near 82,000-81,500, target: around 85,000-86,000 (stop loss at 1:0.5)

Ethereum: Buy near 2,660-2,630, target: around 2,750-2,780 (stop loss at 1:0.5)

#比特币波动性 #美股2026预测 #特朗普取消农产品关税 #山寨币市场回暖 #主流币轮动上涨 $BTC $ETH

Market hotspots are emerging, anchoring trends for strategic layout; when the market performance is below expectations and lacks clear logic, decisively cut losses and exit, refusing hesitation and internal friction. There is no absolute bottom in the market, risk management is the core of trading, using position management and stop-loss mechanisms to lock in potential risks.

Trading without regrets, deeply cultivating the cryptocurrency track means not having to be entangled in a single operation—every decision is a practice of market understanding, accumulating review experience is far more valuable than dwelling on mistakes. Replacing emotional friction with rational iteration enables continuous advancement amidst fluctuations.

#比特币波动性 #美股2026预测 #特朗普取消农产品关税 #加密市场观察 #香港稳定币新规 $BTC $ETH

$BTC Wave Theory Analysis of Market Trends

1. Key Point Analysis

In the analysis of the Fibonacci sequence throughout the entire cycle, the red line at 83611 is at the 0.318 key position. This position has significant reference value for determining market trends and should be given special attention.

2. Adjustment Wave and Stop Loss Judgment

The current market presents a double sawtooth adjustment wave pattern, which often has significant downward momentum. Only when the price successfully breaks through the white line at 94479 pressure level can we consider the possibility of a market bottoming out.

Special Reminder: This article is solely based on wave theory for a technical discussion of BTC market trends and does not constitute any investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and carries significant risks. Investors should fully assess their risk tolerance and make rational investment decisions.

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