Bit-刘貝
专注于合约指导，中长线布局，公众号同名：Bit-刘貝，推特@btc1426
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Do not chase the rise at high positions, and do not become a接盘侠！
Bitcoin is testing the weekly resistance at 9450. If it does not break through, it is highly likely to test the support in the range of 9020-9100 next. This is the reason I've been saying not to chase the rise, as it is easy to get caught in the middle. The early morning target support has reached a space of 1000 points above 9400, so reduce positions and protect your capital while waiting for the U.S. stocks to settle.
Ethereum has the strongest selling pressure near 3250, and during the day it is in a high-level consolidation phase. There is also a space of 50 points in the short term. The four-hour K-line has continuously formed doji stars at the top, and the volume has been decreasing. There will definitely be a deep pullback, so hold steady at high positions!
$BTC #ETH巨鲸动向 $ETH
Bitcoin is testing the weekly resistance at 9450. If it does not break through, it is highly likely to test the support in the range of 9020-9100 next. This is the reason I've been saying not to chase the rise, as it is easy to get caught in the middle. The early morning target support has reached a space of 1000 points above 9400, so reduce positions and protect your capital while waiting for the U.S. stocks to settle.
Ethereum has the strongest selling pressure near 3250, and during the day it is in a high-level consolidation phase. There is also a space of 50 points in the short term. The four-hour K-line has continuously formed doji stars at the top, and the volume has been decreasing. There will definitely be a deep pullback, so hold steady at high positions!
$BTC #ETH巨鲸动向 $ETH
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January 6 BTC/ETH Strategy Analysis:
The new highs in the US stock market have ignited market enthusiasm, coupled with the escalation of geopolitical risks that have heightened global risk aversion, leading to a simultaneous influx of funds into both the cryptocurrency and precious metal sectors. In the morning, Bitcoin experienced a strong rebound, breaking through the weekly resistance level of $94,500 before triggering a pullback. The short-term bullish momentum is strong, and the market is looking at 100,000 again. There is strong selling pressure in the 9,450-9,600 range, and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rate cuts is still unclear. Only an effective breakthrough and a stable position in this range would allow for a possible trend reversal; otherwise, the current trend still falls within the category of a rebound.
BTC
Currently, the daily line shows a head-and-shoulders pattern, with the four-hour RSI at 79 indicating overbought conditions. There are signs of a top divergence on the hourly level, and the daily trend will inevitably undergo a technical correction. The support for the pullback is seen at 9,310-9,150. A pullback below 9,310 will indicate a stronger correction, and a break below 9,150 would signal the end of the four-hour rebound. The primary focus should be on the correction strength at these two positions to monitor the head-and-shoulders pattern.
Around the 9,410-9,460 range, the target for a break below is 9,310-9,150, looking down to 8,920.
ETH
Around the 3,231-3,253 range, the target for a break below is 3,172-3,130, looking down to 3,070.
Short-term trading is flexible and will depend on your actual position size! $BTC #ETH巨鲸动向 $ETH
The new highs in the US stock market have ignited market enthusiasm, coupled with the escalation of geopolitical risks that have heightened global risk aversion, leading to a simultaneous influx of funds into both the cryptocurrency and precious metal sectors. In the morning, Bitcoin experienced a strong rebound, breaking through the weekly resistance level of $94,500 before triggering a pullback. The short-term bullish momentum is strong, and the market is looking at 100,000 again. There is strong selling pressure in the 9,450-9,600 range, and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rate cuts is still unclear. Only an effective breakthrough and a stable position in this range would allow for a possible trend reversal; otherwise, the current trend still falls within the category of a rebound.
BTC
Currently, the daily line shows a head-and-shoulders pattern, with the four-hour RSI at 79 indicating overbought conditions. There are signs of a top divergence on the hourly level, and the daily trend will inevitably undergo a technical correction. The support for the pullback is seen at 9,310-9,150. A pullback below 9,310 will indicate a stronger correction, and a break below 9,150 would signal the end of the four-hour rebound. The primary focus should be on the correction strength at these two positions to monitor the head-and-shoulders pattern.
Around the 9,410-9,460 range, the target for a break below is 9,310-9,150, looking down to 8,920.
ETH
Around the 3,231-3,253 range, the target for a break below is 3,172-3,130, looking down to 3,070.
Short-term trading is flexible and will depend on your actual position size! $BTC #ETH巨鲸动向 $ETH
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January 5th BTC/ETH Analysis:
In the new week, the market has fully warmed up. Last week, I mentioned that the liquidity return this week should prompt everyone to pay attention to low dip positions. Today, the weekly line surged after a round of highs! This round of increase is mainly due to the contraction of the U.S. job market, with the unemployment rate rising to 5%, forcing the Federal Reserve to increase the rate of interest rate cuts. It is estimated that by the end of 2026, there will be five cuts of 25 basis points each, totaling 125 basis points to 2.25%. Institutions like BlackRock's IBIT have continuously flowed in $2 trillion, betting on the Federal Reserve's attitude towards interest rate cuts after this week's non-farm data!
BTC
Currently, the moving averages show a golden cross, and the candlestick pattern forms a bullish engulfing shape, indicating a clear upward trend. However, the weekly resistance at 9450 has not yet been broken with volume. If it fails to hold, it will likely pull back again. If you don’t have a low dip, there’s no need to chase it. During the day, the support is at 9150; as long as this position doesn’t break, the upward trend still has strength. Wait at this low dip position to aim for a rebound high.
Range around 9320-9360, target below 9150 looking at 9040-8950.
ETH
Range around 3205-3228, target below 3152 looking at 3110-3070.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes. The defense should be based on your actual position!
$BTC #比特币2026年价格预测 $ETH
In the new week, the market has fully warmed up. Last week, I mentioned that the liquidity return this week should prompt everyone to pay attention to low dip positions. Today, the weekly line surged after a round of highs! This round of increase is mainly due to the contraction of the U.S. job market, with the unemployment rate rising to 5%, forcing the Federal Reserve to increase the rate of interest rate cuts. It is estimated that by the end of 2026, there will be five cuts of 25 basis points each, totaling 125 basis points to 2.25%. Institutions like BlackRock's IBIT have continuously flowed in $2 trillion, betting on the Federal Reserve's attitude towards interest rate cuts after this week's non-farm data!
BTC
Currently, the moving averages show a golden cross, and the candlestick pattern forms a bullish engulfing shape, indicating a clear upward trend. However, the weekly resistance at 9450 has not yet been broken with volume. If it fails to hold, it will likely pull back again. If you don’t have a low dip, there’s no need to chase it. During the day, the support is at 9150; as long as this position doesn’t break, the upward trend still has strength. Wait at this low dip position to aim for a rebound high.
Range around 9320-9360, target below 9150 looking at 9040-8950.
ETH
Range around 3205-3228, target below 3152 looking at 3110-3070.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes. The defense should be based on your actual position!
$BTC #比特币2026年价格预测 $ETH
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January 3rd BTC/ETH Analysis:
U.S. stocks opened high for the new year, boosting market sentiment, with institutions like BlackRock continuing to buy in the spot market. Bitcoin spot ETF inflows reached $470 million, and Ethereum spot inflows were $170 million. This rise has been driven by spot trading. The U.S. stock market is closed on Saturday, so there will be minimal fluctuations; we will see how strong the pullback is!
BTC
After the U.S. market opened, the price rose, breaking through the daily pressure at 9050. Currently, the market is showing a consolidation at high levels, with a bearish engulfing pattern appearing on the K-line, indicating that the selling pressure above is too great, and a pullback is inevitable. Pay attention to the range around 9050, continuing the pullback to look for levels around 8960-8850. If it does not drop below 8960, the rebound will continue; only if it drops below 8850, the four-hour rebound will be considered over. Watch these two levels based on the situation.
ETH
The rebound just happened to reach the daily pressure zone and has begun to pull back. Over the weekend, traders might try small positions in the range of 3130-50. The small-level support is at 3070, and a four-hour close below 3070 will mark the end of the small-level rebound. A steady approach would be to watch around 3020.
Short-term trading is flexible and should be adjusted based on your actual position! $BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
U.S. stocks opened high for the new year, boosting market sentiment, with institutions like BlackRock continuing to buy in the spot market. Bitcoin spot ETF inflows reached $470 million, and Ethereum spot inflows were $170 million. This rise has been driven by spot trading. The U.S. stock market is closed on Saturday, so there will be minimal fluctuations; we will see how strong the pullback is!
BTC
After the U.S. market opened, the price rose, breaking through the daily pressure at 9050. Currently, the market is showing a consolidation at high levels, with a bearish engulfing pattern appearing on the K-line, indicating that the selling pressure above is too great, and a pullback is inevitable. Pay attention to the range around 9050, continuing the pullback to look for levels around 8960-8850. If it does not drop below 8960, the rebound will continue; only if it drops below 8850, the four-hour rebound will be considered over. Watch these two levels based on the situation.
ETH
The rebound just happened to reach the daily pressure zone and has begun to pull back. Over the weekend, traders might try small positions in the range of 3130-50. The small-level support is at 3070, and a four-hour close below 3070 will mark the end of the small-level rebound. A steady approach would be to watch around 3020.
Short-term trading is flexible and should be adjusted based on your actual position! $BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
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The rebound strength of the pancake is good
Did Ethereum just spike up to 3100?
On-chain data statistics: Ethereum broke through 3100, clearing short positions of 629 million. Isn't this a precise hit on the bears?
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$ETH #Strategy增持比特币
Did Ethereum just spike up to 3100?
On-chain data statistics: Ethereum broke through 3100, clearing short positions of 629 million. Isn't this a precise hit on the bears?
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$ETH #Strategy增持比特币
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Flood warning ⚠️⚠️⚠️ Drawing the door again
Since the rebound does not continue, continue with the short positions at the top!
The current market is in a phase of oscillation and accumulation. The specific movements of the market should be considered based on the actual volume of spot and contracts. Overall, the bullish volume is insufficient to break through the pressure, so a pullback is inevitable!
Today's short positions again accurately caught the top, and the market fell as expected before the US market opened. Currently, Bitcoin has a space of 1500 points, and Ethereum has a space of 50 points. As it stands, the bearish momentum is still present. Bitcoin's pullback support is at 8820, and Ethereum at 2995. It needs to break below this position for the downward momentum to be significant. Be careful to reduce positions or take profits here!
Recently, the market has been oscillating back and forth, without establishing a definite direction. Do not be obsessed with the illusion of a unilateral trend. There are short-term opportunities for both long and short positions. Manage risks well, and do not exhaust your resources before the spring blooms and the market warms up!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
Since the rebound does not continue, continue with the short positions at the top!
The current market is in a phase of oscillation and accumulation. The specific movements of the market should be considered based on the actual volume of spot and contracts. Overall, the bullish volume is insufficient to break through the pressure, so a pullback is inevitable!
Today's short positions again accurately caught the top, and the market fell as expected before the US market opened. Currently, Bitcoin has a space of 1500 points, and Ethereum has a space of 50 points. As it stands, the bearish momentum is still present. Bitcoin's pullback support is at 8820, and Ethereum at 2995. It needs to break below this position for the downward momentum to be significant. Be careful to reduce positions or take profits here!
Recently, the market has been oscillating back and forth, without establishing a definite direction. Do not be obsessed with the illusion of a unilateral trend. There are short-term opportunities for both long and short positions. Manage risks well, and do not exhaust your resources before the spring blooms and the market warms up!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
January 2 BTC/ETH Analysis:
Next week, market liquidity is about to fully return!
The year-end market continues to fluctuate, with core liquidity severely depleted. The timeline for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts remains unclear, and most participants choose to take a year-end break and wait for clear signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts. Next week, the non-farm payroll report and ISM series surveys are set to arrive, which will break the current deadlock and drive both market volatility and liquidity to rise in tandem.
BTC
Overall, it is still in a fluctuating box range. The four-hour level shows a clear bullish trend, but a Evening Star pattern has appeared on the chart, and the MACD indicator shows a divergence between volume and price, limiting upward momentum. In the short term, it is difficult for the market to extend further. Do not chase high prices midway; before a clear one-sided trend emerges, set up short positions under the daily pressure above; pay attention to the 8820 level during the day. If this level breaks, the subsequent downward pressure will further amplify.
Target around the 9000-9050 range, aiming for a break below 8820 to look for 8750-8520.
ETH
Target around the 3052-3073 range, aiming for a break below 2996 to look for 2962-2888.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes; defense should be determined based on your actual position!
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
Next week, market liquidity is about to fully return!
The year-end market continues to fluctuate, with core liquidity severely depleted. The timeline for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts remains unclear, and most participants choose to take a year-end break and wait for clear signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts. Next week, the non-farm payroll report and ISM series surveys are set to arrive, which will break the current deadlock and drive both market volatility and liquidity to rise in tandem.
BTC
Overall, it is still in a fluctuating box range. The four-hour level shows a clear bullish trend, but a Evening Star pattern has appeared on the chart, and the MACD indicator shows a divergence between volume and price, limiting upward momentum. In the short term, it is difficult for the market to extend further. Do not chase high prices midway; before a clear one-sided trend emerges, set up short positions under the daily pressure above; pay attention to the 8820 level during the day. If this level breaks, the subsequent downward pressure will further amplify.
Target around the 9000-9050 range, aiming for a break below 8820 to look for 8750-8520.
ETH
Target around the 3052-3073 range, aiming for a break below 2996 to look for 2962-2888.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes; defense should be determined based on your actual position!
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
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January 2 BTC/ETH Analysis:
Next week, market liquidity is about to fully return!
The year-end market continues to fluctuate, with core liquidity severely depleted. The timeline for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts remains unclear, and most participants choose to take a year-end break and wait for clear signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts. Next week, the non-farm payroll report and ISM series surveys are set to arrive, which will break the current deadlock and drive both market volatility and liquidity to rise in tandem.
BTC
Overall, it is still in a fluctuating box range. The four-hour level shows a clear bullish trend, but a Evening Star pattern has appeared on the chart, and the MACD indicator shows a divergence between volume and price, limiting upward momentum. In the short term, it is difficult for the market to extend further. Do not chase high prices midway; before a clear one-sided trend emerges, set up short positions under the daily pressure above; pay attention to the 8820 level during the day. If this level breaks, the subsequent downward pressure will further amplify.
Target around the 9000-9050 range, aiming for a break below 8820 to look for 8750-8520.
ETH
Target around the 3052-3073 range, aiming for a break below 2996 to look for 2962-2888.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes; defense should be determined based on your actual position!
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
Next week, market liquidity is about to fully return!
The year-end market continues to fluctuate, with core liquidity severely depleted. The timeline for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts remains unclear, and most participants choose to take a year-end break and wait for clear signals from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts. Next week, the non-farm payroll report and ISM series surveys are set to arrive, which will break the current deadlock and drive both market volatility and liquidity to rise in tandem.
BTC
Overall, it is still in a fluctuating box range. The four-hour level shows a clear bullish trend, but a Evening Star pattern has appeared on the chart, and the MACD indicator shows a divergence between volume and price, limiting upward momentum. In the short term, it is difficult for the market to extend further. Do not chase high prices midway; before a clear one-sided trend emerges, set up short positions under the daily pressure above; pay attention to the 8820 level during the day. If this level breaks, the subsequent downward pressure will further amplify.
Target around the 9000-9050 range, aiming for a break below 8820 to look for 8750-8520.
ETH
Target around the 3052-3073 range, aiming for a break below 2996 to look for 2962-2888.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes; defense should be determined based on your actual position!
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
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$LIGHT
Shanzhai is really fun
Directly fast forward through the family segment!
Really brutal, the empty bed was swept away causing many to board the death train, it was directly smashed through!
I will play again next time, really a brute!
Shanzhai is really fun
Directly fast forward through the family segment!
Really brutal, the empty bed was swept away causing many to board the death train, it was directly smashed through!
I will play again next time, really a brute!
See original
First of all, I wish everyone a Happy New Year!
Secondly, it's all secondary!
Have all the short positions entered after the beautiful market? The first target support level has been reached, just take the profit directly if you want to. If you want to adjust your position, just ensure it’s at breakeven and look for a decline. If the first target support level does not break, there will still be a continuation of small-level rebounds. There are only a few hours left until the monthly line closes, and 2025 will be over. Prevent any shady moves by the market makers and try not to leave any positions crossing into the new year!
Good night, my friend!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
Secondly, it's all secondary!
Have all the short positions entered after the beautiful market? The first target support level has been reached, just take the profit directly if you want to. If you want to adjust your position, just ensure it’s at breakeven and look for a decline. If the first target support level does not break, there will still be a continuation of small-level rebounds. There are only a few hours left until the monthly line closes, and 2025 will be over. Prevent any shady moves by the market makers and try not to leave any positions crossing into the new year!
Good night, my friend!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
December 31 BTC/ETH Analysis:
The final chapter of the year, a conclusion to the past year, this day marks the end of the previous year and the beginning of a new one.
On the last day of 2025, last night's Federal Reserve meeting again was indecisive, failing to break the sideways trend. On the contrary, there was a significant outflow of funds on-chain, with BTC continuing to flow out by 3,451 coins in 24 hours. The already weakening market has faced even more challenges, and as the month closes, everyone should protect their positions!
BTC
Currently, the short-term moving averages are entangled, and the trend is flattening. There is a certain demand for a small rebound in the market, but the shrinking trading volume limits the upward momentum. As long as it does not drop below 8,780 during the daytime pullback, it will likely see another small rebound. Pay attention to this. The daily line is showing a long shadow and continuously lowering highs, indicating a fluctuating market that has both primary and secondary trends, with long positions and short positions!
Focus around the 8,930-8,980 range, with a target of 8,780 breaking down to look for 8,660-8,520.
ETH
The trend is basically the same. Watch for a pullback support at 2,950. If it doesn't drop below this level, the small rebound will continue. At this point, wait with a light position.
Focus around the 2,995-3,018 range, with a target of 2,950 breaking down to look for 2,920-2,886.
Short-term trading is flexible, and defense should depend on your actual position situation! $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
The final chapter of the year, a conclusion to the past year, this day marks the end of the previous year and the beginning of a new one.
On the last day of 2025, last night's Federal Reserve meeting again was indecisive, failing to break the sideways trend. On the contrary, there was a significant outflow of funds on-chain, with BTC continuing to flow out by 3,451 coins in 24 hours. The already weakening market has faced even more challenges, and as the month closes, everyone should protect their positions!
BTC
Currently, the short-term moving averages are entangled, and the trend is flattening. There is a certain demand for a small rebound in the market, but the shrinking trading volume limits the upward momentum. As long as it does not drop below 8,780 during the daytime pullback, it will likely see another small rebound. Pay attention to this. The daily line is showing a long shadow and continuously lowering highs, indicating a fluctuating market that has both primary and secondary trends, with long positions and short positions!
Focus around the 8,930-8,980 range, with a target of 8,780 breaking down to look for 8,660-8,520.
ETH
The trend is basically the same. Watch for a pullback support at 2,950. If it doesn't drop below this level, the small rebound will continue. At this point, wait with a light position.
Focus around the 2,995-3,018 range, with a target of 2,950 breaking down to look for 2,920-2,886.
Short-term trading is flexible, and defense should depend on your actual position situation! $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
See original
In the year of the Snake (2025), like a snake slithering, we will accumulate strength in the ups and downs.
As the year of the Horse (2026) approaches, like a warhorse raising its hooves, we will seek breakthroughs in sideways markets.
As the Snake and Horse converge, let’s hold our positions well for the last leg of 2025, as the new replaces the old, wishing everyone green in their positions and profits at the right time!
The past year has seen fluctuating markets, with critical points accurately predicted in advance: on April 22, we positioned long-term buy orders at the bottom, with a peak target reaching 126K; on October 11, the black swan crash was also timely warned for exit. Bears always tread on the panic of retail investors; though I cannot claim to have perfectly timed the bottom and top for ample gains, I have at least helped many avoid the wrong path and losses!
Every day, real-time trading ideas are synchronized. I am not an infallible master; I cannot achieve a 100% win rate and will also calmly cut losses. Using a small cost to maximize returns, exchanging controllable risks for excess returns, this is the responsibility and commitment of a qualified KOL!
The true essence of trading has never been to greedily chase every market wave, but to accurately grasp the timing of securing profits before the turning point of the trend arrives.
Focusing on Liu Bei's stable trading system, exchanging small risks for periodic profits, steadfast execution will surely lead to one's harvest period!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
As the year of the Horse (2026) approaches, like a warhorse raising its hooves, we will seek breakthroughs in sideways markets.
As the Snake and Horse converge, let’s hold our positions well for the last leg of 2025, as the new replaces the old, wishing everyone green in their positions and profits at the right time!
The past year has seen fluctuating markets, with critical points accurately predicted in advance: on April 22, we positioned long-term buy orders at the bottom, with a peak target reaching 126K; on October 11, the black swan crash was also timely warned for exit. Bears always tread on the panic of retail investors; though I cannot claim to have perfectly timed the bottom and top for ample gains, I have at least helped many avoid the wrong path and losses!
Every day, real-time trading ideas are synchronized. I am not an infallible master; I cannot achieve a 100% win rate and will also calmly cut losses. Using a small cost to maximize returns, exchanging controllable risks for excess returns, this is the responsibility and commitment of a qualified KOL!
The true essence of trading has never been to greedily chase every market wave, but to accurately grasp the timing of securing profits before the turning point of the trend arrives.
Focusing on Liu Bei's stable trading system, exchanging small risks for periodic profits, steadfast execution will surely lead to one's harvest period!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
See original
Happy New Year, everyone!
BTC88888, this is the unique romance of the cryptocurrency world!
Wishing everyone a year of prosperity, with every position glowing green!
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#Strategy增持比特币
BTC88888, this is the unique romance of the cryptocurrency world!
Wishing everyone a year of prosperity, with every position glowing green!
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#Strategy增持比特币
See original
December 31 BTC/ETH Analysis:
The final chapter of the year, a conclusion to the past year, this day marks the end of the previous year and the beginning of a new one.
On the last day of 2025, last night's Federal Reserve meeting again was indecisive, failing to break the sideways trend. On the contrary, there was a significant outflow of funds on-chain, with BTC continuing to flow out by 3,451 coins in 24 hours. The already weakening market has faced even more challenges, and as the month closes, everyone should protect their positions!
BTC
Currently, the short-term moving averages are entangled, and the trend is flattening. There is a certain demand for a small rebound in the market, but the shrinking trading volume limits the upward momentum. As long as it does not drop below 8,780 during the daytime pullback, it will likely see another small rebound. Pay attention to this. The daily line is showing a long shadow and continuously lowering highs, indicating a fluctuating market that has both primary and secondary trends, with long positions and short positions!
Focus around the 8,930-8,980 range, with a target of 8,780 breaking down to look for 8,660-8,520.
ETH
The trend is basically the same. Watch for a pullback support at 2,950. If it doesn't drop below this level, the small rebound will continue. At this point, wait with a light position.
Focus around the 2,995-3,018 range, with a target of 2,950 breaking down to look for 2,920-2,886.
Short-term trading is flexible, and defense should depend on your actual position situation! $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
The final chapter of the year, a conclusion to the past year, this day marks the end of the previous year and the beginning of a new one.
On the last day of 2025, last night's Federal Reserve meeting again was indecisive, failing to break the sideways trend. On the contrary, there was a significant outflow of funds on-chain, with BTC continuing to flow out by 3,451 coins in 24 hours. The already weakening market has faced even more challenges, and as the month closes, everyone should protect their positions!
BTC
Currently, the short-term moving averages are entangled, and the trend is flattening. There is a certain demand for a small rebound in the market, but the shrinking trading volume limits the upward momentum. As long as it does not drop below 8,780 during the daytime pullback, it will likely see another small rebound. Pay attention to this. The daily line is showing a long shadow and continuously lowering highs, indicating a fluctuating market that has both primary and secondary trends, with long positions and short positions!
Focus around the 8,930-8,980 range, with a target of 8,780 breaking down to look for 8,660-8,520.
ETH
The trend is basically the same. Watch for a pullback support at 2,950. If it doesn't drop below this level, the small rebound will continue. At this point, wait with a light position.
Focus around the 2,995-3,018 range, with a target of 2,950 breaking down to look for 2,920-2,886.
Short-term trading is flexible, and defense should depend on your actual position situation! $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
See original
Federal Reserve meeting minutes released in three points
The December rate cut saw three dissenting votes, making the market outlook even more uncertain. Those holding positions should wait for the meeting announcement and be prepared to protect themselves from being stopped out!
From the market perspective, it is still an overall oscillating box structure, with longs and shorts washing back and forth. With just over twenty hours left in the year, we are about to close the monthly line. Bitcoin's rebound has not broken through the previous high that was marked, and the four-hour long upper shadow indicates insufficient buying confidence. As long as the night rebound does not break through the 8930 high, minor pullbacks will continue. The daytime short positions are currently in floating profit, with pullbacks finding support at 8780-8660.
Ethereum's rebound high keeps lowering, pay attention to the pullback support at the 2957 level. As long as a pullback can break below this level, the strength of the pullback will increase. Depending on the situation, consider reducing positions here or taking profit, while continuing to look for pullback support at 2920-2886.
Wishing everyone a happy New Year in advance!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
The December rate cut saw three dissenting votes, making the market outlook even more uncertain. Those holding positions should wait for the meeting announcement and be prepared to protect themselves from being stopped out!
From the market perspective, it is still an overall oscillating box structure, with longs and shorts washing back and forth. With just over twenty hours left in the year, we are about to close the monthly line. Bitcoin's rebound has not broken through the previous high that was marked, and the four-hour long upper shadow indicates insufficient buying confidence. As long as the night rebound does not break through the 8930 high, minor pullbacks will continue. The daytime short positions are currently in floating profit, with pullbacks finding support at 8780-8660.
Ethereum's rebound high keeps lowering, pay attention to the pullback support at the 2957 level. As long as a pullback can break below this level, the strength of the pullback will increase. Depending on the situation, consider reducing positions here or taking profit, while continuing to look for pullback support at 2920-2886.
Wishing everyone a happy New Year in advance!
$BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
See original
$ETH
Mainstream is stagnant, while the knockoffs are gaining strength!
It's really the knockoffs making easy money.
F*** V!
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$ZBT
#Strategy增持比特币
Mainstream is stagnant, while the knockoffs are gaining strength!
It's really the knockoffs making easy money.
F*** V!
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$ZBT
#Strategy增持比特币
See original
$PLAY
Is there a chance to get 0.048 for this coin?
Is there a chance to get 0.048 for this coin?
$PlAY
0.62 position opened and closed quickly, 0.59 short opened again!
I bet the dealer has no bullets in the gun, let's draw a door and look at 0.50
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#加密市场观察
0.62 position opened and closed quickly, 0.59 short opened again!
I bet the dealer has no bullets in the gun, let's draw a door and look at 0.50
…
…
…
#加密市场观察
See original
December 30 BTC/ETH Analysis:
The Federal Reserve added $16 billion in liquidity for cryptocurrencies this morning, which is the second largest liquidity supplement to Bank of America via repurchase after the pandemic. Don't think this is a sign of market recovery; this is not a buying opportunity, just a time when institutions take a break for the Christmas holiday, and trading volume has drastically shrunk. Only those in dire situations need a quick fix!
BTC
Yesterday's market rhythm was clear, with a rapid surge during the Asian session, until the U.S. session saw a typical spike and drop pattern, a classic trap for bulls, ultimately reaching our second support target at 8660, where it found support. From the current market perspective, the rebound momentum is extremely lacking, and trading volume shows a significant decrease. The BOLL channel is tightening in sync, and short-term upward movements are consistently suppressed by the middle band, making breakthroughs difficult. The overall weak pattern is clear, and we will definitely see a second downward probe, with operations primarily focusing on high points.
Around the 8780-8830 range, aim for a break below 8660 to look for 8520-8440.
ETH
Around the 2952-2976 range, aim for a break below 2910 to look for 2886-2790.
Short-term trading is flexible, and defensive strategies should be based on your actual position! $BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
The Federal Reserve added $16 billion in liquidity for cryptocurrencies this morning, which is the second largest liquidity supplement to Bank of America via repurchase after the pandemic. Don't think this is a sign of market recovery; this is not a buying opportunity, just a time when institutions take a break for the Christmas holiday, and trading volume has drastically shrunk. Only those in dire situations need a quick fix!
BTC
Yesterday's market rhythm was clear, with a rapid surge during the Asian session, until the U.S. session saw a typical spike and drop pattern, a classic trap for bulls, ultimately reaching our second support target at 8660, where it found support. From the current market perspective, the rebound momentum is extremely lacking, and trading volume shows a significant decrease. The BOLL channel is tightening in sync, and short-term upward movements are consistently suppressed by the middle band, making breakthroughs difficult. The overall weak pattern is clear, and we will definitely see a second downward probe, with operations primarily focusing on high points.
Around the 8780-8830 range, aim for a break below 8660 to look for 8520-8440.
ETH
Around the 2952-2976 range, aim for a break below 2910 to look for 2886-2790.
Short-term trading is flexible, and defensive strategies should be based on your actual position! $BTC #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH
See original
The ultimate rebound is just a rebound
The market experienced a waterfall wash before the US session, with a small-scale rebound in the early session that gave the bulls hope. Rising is not necessarily an increase; it is an illusion to lure the bulls!
The larger bearish trend remains, and a door has returned to the starting point, proceeding exactly as expected. The long cycle is weakening, leading to wide fluctuations to accumulate positions. Still, the saying goes: be cautious with rebounds; without a clear bullish signal, long on shorts and short on longs!
Today's short positions have reached the second target support level, with Bitcoin at 3600 points, and Ethereum slightly weaker, probing down to the third target at 150 points. Next, we are just waiting for a small-scale rebound repair in the US stock market.
BTC cannot break through and stabilize above 8780; the market will continue to correct. Pay attention to the support below at 8660-8440.
ETH's rebound cannot break through and stabilize at 2960, indicating that the rebound lacks strength and will probe down again, continuing to correct to 2887-2772.
Trading requires patience; be as still as a virgin and as swift as a hare. Be accurate in your judgment, be patient, hold on, and go with the trend, as that is the right path!
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
The market experienced a waterfall wash before the US session, with a small-scale rebound in the early session that gave the bulls hope. Rising is not necessarily an increase; it is an illusion to lure the bulls!
The larger bearish trend remains, and a door has returned to the starting point, proceeding exactly as expected. The long cycle is weakening, leading to wide fluctuations to accumulate positions. Still, the saying goes: be cautious with rebounds; without a clear bullish signal, long on shorts and short on longs!
Today's short positions have reached the second target support level, with Bitcoin at 3600 points, and Ethereum slightly weaker, probing down to the third target at 150 points. Next, we are just waiting for a small-scale rebound repair in the US stock market.
BTC cannot break through and stabilize above 8780; the market will continue to correct. Pay attention to the support below at 8660-8440.
ETH's rebound cannot break through and stabilize at 2960, indicating that the rebound lacks strength and will probe down again, continuing to correct to 2887-2772.
Trading requires patience; be as still as a virgin and as swift as a hare. Be accurate in your judgment, be patient, hold on, and go with the trend, as that is the right path!
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
December 29 BTC/ETH Analysis:
Asian session market surged, is the opportunity for a breakout coming?
In fact, the current market is similar to the bear market of 2022, with a sharp drop of 30% starting to consolidate and accumulate positions. A breakout pattern will follow, then it will quickly reverse to liquidate the breakout. The belief in the breakout is based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Whether they will cut rates is uncertain, but the anticipation of rate cuts will first wash out the breakout's burden, at least before the interest rate meeting on January 27 📉 once!
BTC
The early session surge just reached the daily resistance level around 9050. From the overall structure, it is a replenishment of the upper gap of the weekly chart. The price around 9050 still offers a high cost-performance ratio. After the surge, we will observe the strength of the pullback; if it falls below 8900, the market will remain in a consolidation zone. Conversely, if the daily close is above 90K, it indicates that the daily chart has turned bullish, looking at the top of the consolidation zone at 9450, so pay attention to this.
Consolidating around the 9050-9100 range, target 8920; if broken, look down at 8750-8660.
ETH
Consolidating around the 3052-3077 range, target 3000; if broken, look down at 2968-2910.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes; the defense should be based on your actual position situation! $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
Asian session market surged, is the opportunity for a breakout coming?
In fact, the current market is similar to the bear market of 2022, with a sharp drop of 30% starting to consolidate and accumulate positions. A breakout pattern will follow, then it will quickly reverse to liquidate the breakout. The belief in the breakout is based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Whether they will cut rates is uncertain, but the anticipation of rate cuts will first wash out the breakout's burden, at least before the interest rate meeting on January 27 📉 once!
BTC
The early session surge just reached the daily resistance level around 9050. From the overall structure, it is a replenishment of the upper gap of the weekly chart. The price around 9050 still offers a high cost-performance ratio. After the surge, we will observe the strength of the pullback; if it falls below 8900, the market will remain in a consolidation zone. Conversely, if the daily close is above 90K, it indicates that the daily chart has turned bullish, looking at the top of the consolidation zone at 9450, so pay attention to this.
Consolidating around the 9050-9100 range, target 8920; if broken, look down at 8750-8660.
ETH
Consolidating around the 3052-3077 range, target 3000; if broken, look down at 2968-2910.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes; the defense should be based on your actual position situation! $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
See original
The drop is incredibly smooth
Bitcoin 8900 and Ethereum 3000 easily broke down
Where does the volume-less rise come from and will it return to the starting point? Are the afternoon short positions holding? 2000 points for Bitcoin and 100 points for Ethereum are not so easy!
Trading must have a complete system, do not chase highs and sell lows. The wrong path will not lead to the destination; how can incorrect thinking yield expected results?
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
Bitcoin 8900 and Ethereum 3000 easily broke down
Where does the volume-less rise come from and will it return to the starting point? Are the afternoon short positions holding? 2000 points for Bitcoin and 100 points for Ethereum are not so easy!
Trading must have a complete system, do not chase highs and sell lows. The wrong path will not lead to the destination; how can incorrect thinking yield expected results?
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
See original
$PlAY
0.62 position opened and closed quickly, 0.59 short opened again!
I bet the dealer has no bullets in the gun, let's draw a door and look at 0.50
…
…
…
#加密市场观察
0.62 position opened and closed quickly, 0.59 short opened again!
I bet the dealer has no bullets in the gun, let's draw a door and look at 0.50
…
…
…
#加密市场观察
See original
Is a slight rebound worth chasing?
The bullish surge hasn't broken through; a pullback is the destination!
Buckle up, there's still space below, this rhythm is very familiar, Asian session surges, European session oscillates, waiting for the American session to drop again!
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$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
The bullish surge hasn't broken through; a pullback is the destination!
Buckle up, there's still space below, this rhythm is very familiar, Asian session surges, European session oscillates, waiting for the American session to drop again!
…
…
…
$BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
December 29 BTC/ETH Analysis:
Asian session market surged, is the opportunity for a breakout coming?
In fact, the current market is similar to the bear market of 2022, with a sharp drop of 30% starting to consolidate and accumulate positions. A breakout pattern will follow, then it will quickly reverse to liquidate the breakout. The belief in the breakout is based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Whether they will cut rates is uncertain, but the anticipation of rate cuts will first wash out the breakout's burden, at least before the interest rate meeting on January 27 📉 once!
BTC
The early session surge just reached the daily resistance level around 9050. From the overall structure, it is a replenishment of the upper gap of the weekly chart. The price around 9050 still offers a high cost-performance ratio. After the surge, we will observe the strength of the pullback; if it falls below 8900, the market will remain in a consolidation zone. Conversely, if the daily close is above 90K, it indicates that the daily chart has turned bullish, looking at the top of the consolidation zone at 9450, so pay attention to this.
Consolidating around the 9050-9100 range, target 8920; if broken, look down at 8750-8660.
ETH
Consolidating around the 3052-3077 range, target 3000; if broken, look down at 2968-2910.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes; the defense should be based on your actual position situation! $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
Asian session market surged, is the opportunity for a breakout coming?
In fact, the current market is similar to the bear market of 2022, with a sharp drop of 30% starting to consolidate and accumulate positions. A breakout pattern will follow, then it will quickly reverse to liquidate the breakout. The belief in the breakout is based on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Whether they will cut rates is uncertain, but the anticipation of rate cuts will first wash out the breakout's burden, at least before the interest rate meeting on January 27 📉 once!
BTC
The early session surge just reached the daily resistance level around 9050. From the overall structure, it is a replenishment of the upper gap of the weekly chart. The price around 9050 still offers a high cost-performance ratio. After the surge, we will observe the strength of the pullback; if it falls below 8900, the market will remain in a consolidation zone. Conversely, if the daily close is above 90K, it indicates that the daily chart has turned bullish, looking at the top of the consolidation zone at 9450, so pay attention to this.
Consolidating around the 9050-9100 range, target 8920; if broken, look down at 8750-8660.
ETH
Consolidating around the 3052-3077 range, target 3000; if broken, look down at 2968-2910.
Short-term trading is flexible and changes; the defense should be based on your actual position situation! $BTC #加密市场观察 $ETH
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