#以太 Short selling volume is sufficient, continue to short on rebounds during the day
From a daily perspective, ETH price surged to the resistance area of EMA15 near 3050 and then fell back under pressure, with a daily high of 3030 and a low of 2832.
In terms of indicators, MACD is declining with decreasing volume, DIF and DEA have formed a death cross structure, KDJ's three lines are diverging downwards, and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands at 3060 constitutes strong pressure, while the lower band at 2800 forms support, indicating a clear bearish signal overall.
On the 4-hour level, after the price broke below the previous low of 2870, it consolidated horizontally near 2850, with EMA15 pressing down to around 2956, forming a rebound resistance.
Although MACD shows signs of bottom divergence, the volume is significantly insufficient, and the lower band of the Bollinger Bands at 2825 provides temporary support. The overall trend remains weak and volatile.
Operational strategy: $ETH wait for a rebound to around 2945 to lay out short positions, with a stop loss set above 2980, and target support levels to focus on below are 2780 and 2650.
In the short term, focus on high shorts during rebounds, act in accordance with the trend, and avoid blindly catching the bottom.
🔥Treating cryptocurrency trading as a job is the only way to truly make money.
$SOL The following are experiences I have learned from losing real money, which beginners should definitely save:
1. Make trades after 9 PM
$XRP During the day, there are many news updates and chaotic fluctuations, making the market uncontrollable like a fit. After 9 PM, most news has been digested, and the K-line trends are cleaner and clearer. At that time, your success rate will be much higher.
2. Take profits immediately
$BTC Never be greedy. If you make 1000U, withdraw 300U to a safe account, and continue to gamble with the rest.
Too many people think they can turn three times into five times, and then one correction takes back all their gains. The biggest fear in cryptocurrency trading is "not wanting to take profits"; securing your profits is the mindset of a winner.
3. Look at indicators, don’t rely on feelings
Feelings are the least reliable. Using good tools is the real skill.
I personally use TradingView and only look at three things:
MACD: Is there a golden cross/death cross?
RSI: Is it overbought/oversold?
Bollinger Bands: Is it squeezing/breaking out?
At least two of the three indicators should agree in direction before considering a trade. Rely on data, not emotions.
4. Always move your stop loss up dynamically
If the price goes up, raise your stop loss to protect profits. For example, if you enter at 1000 and it goes up to 1100, move your stop loss to 1050. This way, even if there is a correction, you can exit with a profit.
When you can’t watch the market, be sure to set a hard stop loss at 3% to prevent being caught by a sudden crash.
5. Plan to withdraw profits
Numbers in your account are not money; transferring to your bank account is real income.
I withdraw 30%-50% of my profits each time for savings or redistribution. Don’t fantasize about turning your entire position ten times; that is fantasy, not strategy.
6. Analyzing K-lines should be methodical, not random
For short-term trading, look at the 1-hour chart; if you see two consecutive bullish candles, you can look for buying opportunities;
If the market is volatile, look at the 4-hour chart and wait for the price to approach support before considering entry.
Don’t operate in ambiguous areas; wait for clear signals before taking action.
Cryptocurrency trading is not about becoming rich impulsively; it relies on executing strategies long-term, repeatedly, and steadily.
When you treat trading like a job—logging in on time every day, operating according to plan, shutting down at the right time, and resting well, you will find:
You don’t have to hustle; it’s actually easier to make money.
💥💥There is a very foolish method that can almost achieve a 100% profit rate! I relied on this foolish method to steadily grow a small amount of capital to 2 million!
1. When the market crashes, if the coins you hold only drop slightly, it indicates that there are market makers behind the scenes protecting the price from dropping easily. Such coins are worth holding firmly, and they often yield greater rewards in the future. #巨鲸动向
2. For beginners in trading, the simplest and most effective method is to watch the moving averages: for short-term, focus on the 5-day average; hold if the price is above the 5-day average, sell if it breaks below; for medium-term, look at the 20-day average; hold if above the 20-day average, decisively take profits or stop losses if it breaks below. Don't pursue complicated systems; the best method is the one that suits you, and the key is to execute it thoroughly. #ETH走势分析
3. When the coin price enters a main upward wave without significant volume increase, you should buy decisively. Continue to hold during volume increases, and you can also hold if there is a volume decrease but the trend remains intact; however, once there is a volume drop and it breaks the trend line, you must decisively reduce your position and exit. $ETH
4. After buying for the short term, if the coin price shows no movement within three days, you should exit if possible; if a drop occurs and losses reach 5%, you must stop losses unconditionally. Don't be afraid of being wrong; be afraid of dragging it out. $SOL
5. If a coin drops more than 50% from its peak and continues to fall for more than 8 days, it indicates that it has entered an oversold range, and a rebound may come at any time; consider gradually accumulating.
6. In trading, you must choose the leaders! Leaders rise the fastest and are the most resistant to declines. Don't be afraid because of large increases, and don't be greedy because of large decreases. Remember—when buying leaders, dare to get on board during strong trends and dare to take profits at higher levels.
7. Going with the trend is key. Buying is not about the low price but about the trend being upward. Don't guess the bottom, and don't cling to weak coins; the market always rewards those who go with the trend.
8. Don't let temporary profits cloud your judgment; true experts rely on sustained and stable profits. Learn to review your trades and distinguish between luck and skill. Only by establishing your own trading system can you navigate through bull and bear markets.
9. If you are uncertain, don't force yourself to act; staying in cash is also a strategy. The first consideration in trading should be capital preservation, not frequent operations. What counts in the crypto space is not the number of trades, but the success rate of your trades. $ZEC
The way of the crypto world: One tree alone cannot form a boat, and a lone sail cannot sail far; don't blindly go it alone. Those willing to communicate can seize the great opportunities of the times! @阿黎的翻仓计划
🔥🔥A man trading cryptocurrencies, how does he return to normal life?
$PTB To be honest, it's very difficult.
$PIPPIN I have a friend who initially just wanted to dip his toes in, he took 1500U to play with contracts.
$BEAT In two days, he went from 1500 to 40,000.
At that moment, he felt he had found the key to wealth and became the Buffett of the crypto world.
Making money was too easy, it was simply addictive.
But later, due to heavy positions, all-in, and resisting single trades, 40,000 turned back into a few hundred.
But he was already "hooked".
Every day without sleeping or eating, staring at the market all day, cursing "contract dogs",
but as long as there was a chance, he charged in faster than anyone.
Contracts, to put it simply, are just one word—fast.
Once you open dozens of times leverage, if you bet right on a wave of market movement, your account skyrockets; if you bet wrong, it’s instantly wiped out.
Faster than stock trading, even more thrilling than gambling.
In stocks, a 10% rise or fall is already sealed, but it’s not unusual for the crypto world to fluctuate 100% in a day.
The most terrifying part is, after you taste the sweetness once, the only thought left in your mind is:
"I can still turn it around."
But the reality is,
the vast majority of people, before they can turn things around, have already been drained of their capital and exhausted their mental strength by the market.
Those who play contracts find it hard to turn back.
Not because of greed,
but because of that speed, that thrill, that illusion of "dreams coming true"—
🔥Unemployment rate hits a historic high, is the Federal Reserve's turning point approaching?
Last night, the non-farm data was released: the U.S. unemployment rate surged to 4.6%, far exceeding market expectations; although job growth slightly exceeded expectations, the sell-off intensified rapidly.
Why is the "unemployment rate" often a leading indicator of liquidity?
Because it is not just an economic data point, but also a "pressure valve" for policy shifts.
When the labor market clearly weakens, the Federal Reserve's primary task will shift from "controlling inflation" to "stabilizing growth and preventing recession."
Looking back at every cycle since 2008, as long as the unemployment rate breaks the trend line, the Federal Reserve almost always takes three steps in succession:
1. Cut interest rates — injecting credit liquidity into the market;
$PIPPIN Strong rise within a few days, bring fans a wave of snacks, this kind of coin should not be greedy. Exit when making a profit. #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs
🔥Japan is raising interest rates, Bitcoin is in danger!
On the 19th, the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, which is a significant matter. Japan's interest rates have been nearly zero for many years, and everyone has been playing the "Yen carry trade": borrowing cheap yen to exchange for dollars to buy high-risk assets like Bitcoin and US stocks.
However, once interest rates are raised, the cost of borrowing increases, making arbitrage less profitable. Institutions will have to sell assets, exchange back to yen, and pay off their debts. This is called "carry trade unwinding", resulting in tightening global liquidity, with high-leverage, high-volatility assets like Bitcoin being the first to suffer.
Over the past year, every time the BOJ raised interest rates, BTC plummeted:
March 2024, interest rate hike → BTC down 23%;
July 2024, interest rate hike → BTC down 26%;
January 2025, interest rate hike → BTC down nearly 30%.
This time, the market is almost certain that the rate will rise to 0.75%, so Bitcoin has already "fallen in advance" as a precaution. In the short term, it may continue to fluctuate downward, even testing $70,000.
But don't panic, such declines are often due to anticipated reactions, and once the news is confirmed, the market may actually "buy the fact" and rebound.
In summary:
Japan's interest rate hike = global liquidity withdrawal = Bitcoin takes the hit first.
Be cautious in the short term, but it remains an opportunity in the long term.
In the next few days, fasten your seatbelts, watch the yen, watch the stock market, and don’t rush in.
$ZEC The short position was successfully taken, after several hours finally breaking out of the downtrend. For the short term, take profit on a rebound and continue to look for entry positions.
The position adjustment plan is ongoing, interested friends can come to #聊天室领奖
Currently, $ZEC has positioned short near 400, and the overall judgment remains bearish.
From a sectoral perspective, the short-term enthusiasm for the privacy track has clearly cooled down, with weakened capital inflows, while on-chain data shows:
Small funds continue to attempt bottom fishing; large funds, however, are continuously reducing their positions. This indicates that the dominant force in the market is still withdrawing, making it difficult for a rebound to form an effective continuation.
In the short-term structure, ZEC's rebound is mainly a technical correction, and it is recommended to take a short position as the main strategy during the rebound.
Reference: Attempt to short lightly near the rebound to the 400-410 range, with the first target at 360, and further looking towards 320-300.
In the medium to long term, if the privacy narrative continues to retreat and market liquidity weakens, ZEC still has the potential for a significant pullback,
with long-term support expected around 100 USD.
For spot holders, it is recommended to take partial profits or cut losses and exit,
waiting for the market to enter a new round of bear market bottom before considering medium to long-term positioning.
Brothers, is there still anyone who thinks that PIPPIN, this altcoin, has no potential? The bottom keeps rising, and every pullback is for a better upward move. Who dares to short it???
Currently, the fees are negative, but the funds for shorting are decreasing, and the market has been unable to drop further, indicating that retail investors do not have chips. The chips are mostly in the hands of the big players, who continuously lure short positions to attract retail investors to short as fuel. There are no signs of capital withdrawal on the chain, so for subsequent operations, try to focus on going long during pullbacks.
Follow Ali, continuously positioning to make profits.
This time, CZ is waging a war against the bears with real money.
The position $ASTER was very clearly accepted by him. CZ has personally confirmed that the increase in ASTER is far more than 2 million US dollars, and the buying is still ongoing. The market is also voting with prices, stabilizing in the key consensus area, and against the backdrop of 'unlocking negative news', the more it falls, the more it looks like an accumulation area. This is not a collapse; it's a standard golden pit.
The signals on the market are equally clear: a decline with reduced volume, selling pressure exhausted, and the main forces are firmly holding their ground in the cost area, while large funds quietly sweep up amidst emotional panic. When the technical golden pit overlaps with the founder's clear support, this is no longer just a simple short-term rise and fall, but a typical cognitive differential opportunity.
The logic of ASTER is no longer just a token; it carries the core narrative of CZ's later-stage career and ecological layout. The greater the divergence and the more noise, the more it tests whether you can understand the funds and behaviors, or if you're being led by emotions.
There’s only one question left: do you think CZ's clear commitment to increasing positions this time will create a historical bottom above 0.75, or is it just a short-term market protection?
$ETH : Last night, the overall market adjusted as it followed the U.S. stock market decline, with a focus on narrow fluctuations during the day, resulting in minimal overall volatility. The daily trend has been weakening continuously in recent days, with limited rebound strength. If it breaks down again, caution is needed regarding the risk of a retest of weekly support levels.
After concentration liquidation by the bulls last night, the current trends of BTC, ETH, and SOL are structurally bearish.
In terms of institutional funds:
BTC net outflow of 313 million USD, ETH net outflow of 72.7 million USD, SOL net inflow of 39.8 million USD. Institutional short-term risk appetite has decreased, but there is still relative optimism towards SOL.
The overall sentiment is bearish, suitable for short-term or swing trades to sell at highs, avoiding chasing prices or bottom-fishing, with a focus on tonight's non-farm payroll data.
BTC: Short near 86500, rebound can target 88500, take profit at 84000
ETH: Short near 3000, rebound can target 3100, take profit at 2850
SOL: Short near 128, rebound can target 132, take profit at 122
For those who can't manage stop-loss or take-profit, you can pay attention to @阿黎的翻仓计划 one hand, #聊天室领奖
💥That incident has been a while ago, but I still can't forget it.
$ZEC One day, an old fan sent me a voice message, and their voice was trembling:
$SOL "Sister Li, please help me... I trusted my friend and took a loan to buy 100,000 U of a counterfeit currency. At first, it rose rapidly, and I thought I was going to get rich.
$FHE But in the middle of the night, the market crashed. If I hadn't gotten up to check the market and shorted it at the last minute, I might not even be alive now."
As he spoke towards the end, he was almost choked up.
"Sister, my wife doesn’t know about this. I love her very much, but I can’t tell her. She would forgive me, but she would definitely be heartbroken."
Hearing this, I was also silent.
I used to look down on people like this—taking loans, being impulsive, gambling with their lives.
But at that moment, I understood that he wasn't bad; he was just confused by the market.
I told him, "Consider yourself lucky to have woken up before completely falling off the cliff. You still have 3,000 U, and that's enough. The market is still there; as long as you stay steady, opportunities will always come."
Later, he really steadied himself.
No more all-in, no more betting on direction, he started to operate according to plan and position.
Half a year later, he not only paid off his debts but also grew his account to over 400,000 U.
In the crypto world, it has never been simply 'who profits and who loses.'
What it tests is whether you can keep your composure in the darkest night.
Too many people get liquidated, not because of losing in the market, but because they lose to their emotions.
Loans, heavy positions, blind rushes—I've seen too many of these pitfalls.
If you are still confused, losing, and panicking right now,
Please stop for a moment,
Learn to save your life first before talking about turning things around.
The crypto world never lacks opportunities; what it lacks are those who can remain calm in despair.