BTC is at 85 500 $ (-3.3% in 24h) and testing key levels. Here’s what the data says:
🔍 Technical:
· RSI(6) at 36.4 → close to oversold, but bearish trend. · Price below EMA 7, 25 and 99 → bearish structure in the short term. · Major support: 80,000$–82 000$ (large buy orders).
💰 Cash flow:
· Large wallets are selling (-304 BTC net in 24h). · Retail is buying (82% of buy orders). · Distribution of long-term holders: ~300B of BTC re-entering circulation.
📈 Bullish catalysts:
· US inflation at 2.7% → possible rate cuts. · Clearer regulation (Fed lifts its restrictions 2023). · Bitwise forecasts ATHs in 2026.
⚠️ Immediate risks:
· Bank of Japan could raise its rates → liquidity tightening. · Selling pressure from LTH + smart money taking profits.
🎯 My scenarios:
1. Short term: Test 80k–82k if BoJ tightens. 2. Consolidation: Range 80k–90k until January. 3. Q1 2025 rebound: Return towards 95k+ on ETF influx.
💡 My strategy:
· I accumulate in stages below 85k. · Stop-loss below 79,800$. · 6-month horizon: target 130k+ still valid.
👇 And you?
· Are you buying, selling, or waiting? · What is your ideal entry price?
🔄 Like & RT if the analysis helps you! 🔔 Follow for more technical insights.
· 6.7M BTC held at a loss → strong resistance around 90k–95k · Reduced liquidity (holiday period) → increased volatility · Purchases driven by derivatives, not by long-term spot accumulation
📉 The “top” indicators are still far off : Only 2/8 overbought indicators are activated. The MVRV, the Puell Multiple and others are still halfway → we are far from the historical top.
💡 My reading : The Golden Cross is a medium-term signal, not immediate. Expect a consolidation phase (80k–90k) before the next bullish impulse.
🕒 Probable timeline : Stability in December → resumption of accumulation in January → potential breakout towards 100k+ in Q1 2025.
🔁 Share your opinion : Are you more of a bull, bear or range trader on BTC right now ?
🔐 Quantum Computer vs Bitcoin: Real Threat or Fiction?
A debate that often resurfaces: could a quantum computer break Bitcoin by hacking Satoshi's wallet?
✅ Theoretically possible:
· Shor's algorithm could crack certain private keys (old/reused wallets).
⚠️ But in practice?
· Not for decades (requires thousands of stable qubits). · Modern addresses (Taproot) + post-quantum cryptography are already on the way. · Satoshi has never revealed his public key → difficult to attack.
💡 The real risk is not technical, but of trust. Bitcoin has always managed to adapt. The community is vigilant.
🛡️ Advice: Use modern addresses, do not reuse your addresses.
According to the screenshots you shared, this is a fairly classic debate in the crypto community: the theoretical threat of quantum computers on Bitcoin.
Nadine Babel xUDq
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A stranger posted this image of Bitcoin and asked: Is it possible for this to happen! Another person replied to him: Yes. If an effective quantum computer is built, it could use Shor's algorithm to decrypt the early Bitcoin wallets. This would reveal the private keys of Satoshi Nakamoto's fortune, which could lead to the collapse of the market and the destruction of trust in the entire system. What do you think??$BTC
AAVE analysis complete for long-term investment the current price is 19466 USDT with a decrease of 436 over the day the technical indicators show a mixed situation the 7-day exponential moving average is at 19435 the price is just above neutral sign the 25-day average is at 19071 which constitutes an important immediate support the price being above is a positive point in the short term however the 99-day average is at 22139 well above the current price this confirms a bearish long-term trend the RSI indicator at 6 periods is at 533 it is neither in overbought nor in oversold territory it is neutral with a slight bullish inclination the MACD shows a positive histogram at 222 with the DIF line at 131 above the DEA line at 091 this indicates a very short-term bullish momentum the price levels to watch are the nearby resistance at 21227 and the supports at 18314 then 16601 and finally 14713 the capital flows are concerning over the last five days there have been significant net outflows of 4372472 AAVE and over the last twenty-four hours the outflows continue with negative figures ranging between 1398027 and 1975245 AAVE this suggests that large holders are withdrawing their assets from exchange platforms perhaps out of caution or in preparation for a sale the short-term sentiment is therefore negative the order book reveals a strong concentration of buy orders between 180 and 190 USDT with a significant volume at 180 notably 13729288 AAVE pending purchase the buyer-seller ratio on this platform is 7445 to 2555 which shows a strong immediate demand at these levels however the overall performance remains poor over a year with a loss of 4677 and over six months of 2846 the long-term trend #BinancehodlerSOMI #ETHBreaksATH #ETHBreaksATH #FOMCWatch #BinanceHODLerMorpho
The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy The psychology of the market: If investors get scared and start believing that Strategy Inc. will have to sell its Bitcoins, they will anticipate the price drop. · They will therefore sell their own Bitcoins before Strategy does, to avoid incurring losses. This anticipation accelerates and amplifies the decline. 3. The Modern "Bank Run" If confidence in Strategy's ability to pay its dividends without selling BTC collapses, shareholders will want to sell their shares. · To honor the stock buybacks, Strategy may be forced to sell Bitcoin, thereby confirming investors' fears and triggering a vicious cycle. The Crucial Nuance: Temporary Drop vs. Permanent Failure The announcement makes a clear distinction: Bitcoin itself would survive: The Bitcoin protocol would continue to operate. A price drop, even severe, has already occurred (such as the 80% drop in 2018 or the 77% drop in 2022). The network continues. · It is Strategy Inc.'s business model that could come to an end: The experience of financing dividends in dollars with capital raises, relying on a volatile asset like Bitcoin, could collapse.
In summary:
A drop in Bitcoin is possible, not due to an intrinsic fault of Bitcoin, but due to a design flaw in the business model of a major player holding too large a share of the supply. If this player is forced to liquidate its assets under the pressure of its debts and obligations, it may drag the entire market down with it.
This is a classic scenario of liquidity crisis and crisis of confidence, applied to cryptocurrency. The next 90 days will indeed be very instructive to observe whether this catastrophic scenario materializes.
This ad is a captivating storytelling, but it must be taken with a great deal of caution. Bitcoin is a high-risk asset, not an inevitable mathematical destiny.
TheProfitsPILOT
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#READ THIS CAREFULLY… THIS POST WILL SHAKE THE WHOLE #CRYPTO WORLD 🔥 What happened on 21 November 2025 wasn’t “a dip”… it was the moment Bitcoin’s destiny flipped forever.
#Bitcoin didn’t collapse because of fear — it collapsed because the math snapped in half. Just $200M of REAL selling detonated $2 BILLION in liquidations. For every actual dollar? TEN borrowed dollars evaporated. This wasn’t a dump… it was a leverage extinction event.
Here’s the part nobody is brave enough to say: 90% of Bitcoin’s market is leverage. Only 10% is real cash. Your “$1.6T crypto market”? Supported by barely $160B in real capital. One twitch → the whole illusion cracks.
And then comes the plot twist — Owen Gunden. Bought $BTC under $10 in 2011. Rode it all the way to $1.3B. And he sold before the crash… not because he panicked, but because he saw the macro bomb coming. The signal wasn’t in crypto. It started in Tokyo.
Japan’s massive stimulus collapsed their bond market → Yields spiked → Global leverage snapped → $20 TRILLION in borrowed money trembled… and Bitcoin fell with it.
On the same day: BTC: -10.9% S&P: -1.6% Nasdaq: -2.2% Same hour. Same cause. Same contagion.
This was the day Bitcoin proved it’s no longer the outsider… It’s now part of the global financial machine. When Japan breaks, Bitcoin breaks. When the Fed pumps, Bitcoin pumps. The dream of isolation is dead.
And what’s coming next is even wilder: The volatility era is ending. Every crash removes leverage. Every recovery adds government buyers who NEVER sell. Slowly… silently… Bitcoin is becoming the world’s next reserve asset — but that comes with a price.
El Salvador buying $100M on the crash? Not a meme. A preview of the future. Countries will accumulate. You either adapt… or get left behind.
Most holders don’t even realize it yet. They think they own a rebellion. In reality, they own something central banks now protect — because it’s too systemically important to fail. Buy Now 👇 {spot}(BTCUSDT) {spot}(ETHUSDT) {spot}(ZECUSDT)
On January 21, the Bitcoin spot ETF had a total net inflow of $802 million, which continued for 4 consecutive days. The inflow of BlackRockETF IBIT was $662 million. The current total net asset value of the Bitcoin spot ETF is $123.59 billion
also the total net inflow of Ethereum spot ETF was 74.4275million, and the net inflow continued for 5 days. The inflow of BlackRock ETF ETHA was 56.3138million, and the inflow of Grayscale ETF ETH was 12.4943million. The current total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETF is 12.0
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