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In the medium to long term, gold has upward support, but short-term bearish signals are clear; don't be fooled by short-term fluctuations! In terms of news, rumors of Russia-Ukraine talks have lowered safe-haven demand; the upcoming U.S. CPI data will be crucial—if the data is good, expectations for interest rate cuts may weaken, putting pressure on gold prices. From a technical perspective, London gold is stuck below the resistance level around 4350, and the 4-hour indicators show a need for a pullback from high levels. Additionally, with gold prices at historical highs, many profit-taking positions may lead to concentrated selling, triggering a sharp short-term decline. Trading suggestion: Short in the range of 4330-4340 USD, with a stop-loss set at 4350 USD. #美国非农数据超预期 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储降息 #特朗普取消农产品关税 #美股2026预测
The evening non-farm and retail sales data has not been released yet, and funds are on the sidelines, limiting the volatility of gold prices during the European session. After the Federal Reserve's third interest rate cut, the expectation for rate cuts in 2026 remains unchanged, and the dollar has fallen to 98.29, which supports gold in the medium to long term. However, there are internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding the pace of rate cuts, coupled with global central banks still buying gold, and silver hitting historic highs, which stabilizes the support for gold, making a significant drop unlikely.
During the day, the Asian session fluctuated around 4288-4300, with resistance at 4320-4330, which was the breakout point from last Friday. If the European session cannot break through, the fluctuation will continue. The resistance at 4320-4330 is evident, while support at 4285 is strong. Before the non-farm data, the market is unlikely to show a clear directional breakout. If there are sudden new developments regarding the Russia-Ukraine situation or unusual movements in the dollar index, there may be a brief breakout, but the overall fluctuation pattern is hard to change.
Gold may be seen around 4275-4265 to the north. The target is to see around 4285-4295, with a breakthrough expected at 4315, 4320.
The Nikkei has started to react, and as we get closer to the rate hike on December 19, it may drop even more sharply! The non-farm payroll data is about to be released, and since Powell's last speech, the market has been optimistic about this data, which will affect everyone's expectations for interest rate cuts moving forward—definitely something to pay close attention to.
In my personal view, based on previous situations, this data will not be bad; it will only get better. The U.S. stock market is showing signs of collapse, and now it just needs that final push.
For today's trading rhythm, I've mentioned before that the Nikkei and cryptocurrency have a strong correlation. With it hovering below 87000 overnight, we can take light short positions during the Asian and European sessions, and then increase positions on rebounds, targeting around 83000.
As for the second cryptocurrency, it has already fallen below 3000, and it will quickly reach 2650; just short it accordingly.
Yesterday, the short position made a big profit, and today we chase the victory!
Before the Federal Reserve's decision on the 19th, the policy outlook is cautious, and the market is skeptical about interest rate cuts in 2026; initial consensus was reached in U.S.-Ukraine negotiations, and geopolitical risks have cooled, leading to a narrowing of the risk premium.
From a technical perspective, strong resistance is encountered at $4340-$4350, with a MACD dead cross expanding on the hourly level, and RSI showing signs of overbought retreat, indicating a clear demand for a pullback. On the funding side, SPDR holdings have decreased, and the sentiment for profit-taking among institutions is rising.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to short in batches at $4315-$4330, with a stop loss at $4340, a target of $4280-$4265, and if it breaks below, look for $4250-$4235, #巨鲸动向 #美联储降息 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储FOMC会议 #特朗普取消农产品关税
12-15 Gold Trading Strategy: Pullbacks Stabilize Without Changing the Bullish Pattern, Reliably Layout Based on Key Support
International gold prices showed a clear bullish trend last week, recording four consecutive daily gains, with prices peaking at 4350 USD on Friday; although there was a sell-off in the early hours, dropping to a low of 4257 USD, this position coincidentally aligns with the daily moving average support levels of MA5/MA10, followed by a quick rebound, currently returning to around 4300 USD.
From the trend structure, the bullish upward channel remains intact—despite the prior adjustment from the historical high of 4380 USD to 3900 USD, it has not broken below the upward channel trend line; the monthly level has also not breached the low of the previous month, maintaining a general direction of a bullish upward pattern, with further potential to challenge the historical high range of 4380-4400 USD. The core operation this week remains unchanged, sticking to a one-sided long position while ensuring proper stop-loss settings and position management.
Short-term 4-hour chart signals
After a significant bearish candle on Friday, swiftly turning bullish, signs of stabilization and upward movement are evident, necessitating focus on two key support levels: the early session low of 4294 USD and the low of the previous K-line at 4288 USD. As long as the support at 4288 USD holds, the gold price is likely to continue rising today (Monday), with the primary resistance to monitor above at the 4330-4340 USD range. It is important to note that if the gold price successfully reaches this resistance zone, caution is advised when chasing long positions, and one should consider taking profits on the day’s bullish gains as appropriate.
Specific Operational Suggestions for Gold During the Day
Entry Points: Gradually layout long positions in the range of 4295-4305
Yesterday's strategy clearly targeted 4240, and under the catalyst of data, it successfully moved upward, completely aligning with previous judgments, and the market's positive momentum continues.
The market shows that support levels are gradually rising, from 4180 and 4220 to around 4250, with a clear upward rhythm; the K-line and moving average patterns continue to release strong signals, and the previously critical resistance level of 4250 has transformed into a core support area, solidifying the foundation for upward movement.
1. Support level 4250: Stabilization allows for long positions
2. Stop-loss level 4237: Immediate exit and wait if it breaks
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1. Zero trading fees, all earnings are pure profits, no hidden fees to trap you 2. Quick market response, short payback period, super flexible capital turnover 3. Free professional guidance, beginners can easily get started; 4. The threshold is much lower than in the cryptocurrency world, even small investments can be steadily arranged The trend has arrived, new opportunities in gold, inviting you to earn together #币安区块链周 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美股2026预测 #美联储取消创新活动监管计划 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Golden afternoon spot price order, 4195 bottomed out and turned to rise to enter long, currently has 19 points, can freely take off #币安区块链周 #ETH走势分析 #ETH巨鲸增持 #加密市场观察 #特朗普加密新政 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The support below the concubine focuses on three points: 2750—2700—2630. If there is a rebound to these levels, pay attention to the intraday rebound pressure, first looking at 2930—2980. It is necessary to break through these two levels for the rebound strength to increase significantly. If these two pressures cannot be broken, the daily line will continue to break down, initiating the second wave of decline #币安HODLer空投AT #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The SOL will have a slight rebound, but selling pressure has already formed. Everyone's panic sentiment is still there, and the overhead selling pressure hasn't disappeared. If it rebounds to 136, then short it, first looking at 125. If it breaks below 125, then continue to see 110 #加密市场反弹 #币安HODLer空投AT #香港稳定币新规 #加密市场观察 #ETH巨鲸增持 $BTC $ETH $SOL
BNB has fallen for two consecutive times in 4 hours, and the bulls are completely exhausted. In the short term, it is definitely weak, and the 1-hour chart shows the same trend. After reaching 900, it couldn't rise further, and the rebound lacks strength. In the future, it will still face pressure. Wait for the rebound to short between 830-840, with a target of 800-790 #币安HODLer空投AT #美联储重启降息步伐 #香港稳定币新规 #ETH巨鲸增持 #特朗普加密新政 $BTC $ETH $SOL
December's crypto market has gone crazy! 3 nuclear bomb days will wash the market clean, can your position hold up?
Family! The last month of this year is directly turning the "stimulation" up to the max—crypto is about to be rubbed into the ground by traditional finance!
Look at this devilish schedule, each one can make the market explode: 12/11 Federal Reserve's interest rate decision! Powell personally comes out to fire, one sentence can make crypto prices soar and plummet 12/16 Non-farm payroll data arrives! The job market determines life and death, interest rate cut expectations directly ignite a battle between bulls and bears 12/20 Triple witching day arrives! The largest options expiration in history, the house plays tricks to harvest, both bulls and bears are killed until they are full
This is not a financial calendar? Clearly it’s the crypto "disaster escape list"! All nuclear bombs are packed in the middle of the month, it’s strange if the big players don’t take the opportunity to wash out! Those stubbornly holding one-sided positions, fully invested brothers—here’s a piece of advice: quickly reduce your positions to save your life! Don’t wait until you’re forcibly closed and crying for regret medicine!
1. Spot: Plummeting = picking up money! The more it falls, the more you invest regularly, lie flat and wait for takeoff 2. Contracts: Light position! Light position! Light position! Don’t blame me for not reminding you if you get forcibly closed 3. Key dates to watch: 12/11 (Powell's firing day) + 12/20 (options massacre), don’t make random moves on these two days!
Remember: once traditional finance fires its shot, crypto either goes to the sky or follows in burial! December is not about who earns more, it’s about who lives longer! #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH巨鲸增持 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The weekend is still volatile. Bitcoin surged to 91900 at night but then plummeted straight down. Several attempts to break through 92000 were thwarted. The bulls are struggling to overcome the key resistance level, and the downward trend has not changed. There are plenty of signals indicating it won't rise in the short term.
Don't be fooled by small rebounds; now is not the time to buy the dip. It's a great opportunity to short.
Short around 91700-92000, with the initial target at 90000, then down to 88000 and 84000.
This week's market thinking: focus on precision No random guessing of ups and downs, no blindly following trends, just grasp the essence of the trend—points are clearly stated, and the rhythm is precise Follow my thoughts closely, and making money will naturally come easy! The next wave of the market will continue to be precise; let's make money together #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 #香港稳定币新规 $BTC $BNB $ETH
Saturday's market is fluctuating, both high and low positions can be taken Bitcoin surged to 93080 overnight and then fell. This upper shadow indicates a short-term difficulty in breaking through, likely moving back and forth. Today's range is locked between 89600-91800. Going long above 90000 can earn 900-1200 points before exiting. If hitting the top at 91600, directly reverse to short, following the fluctuation rhythm. Ethereum is simpler, with not much volatility. There is support at 2975 below, just go long upwards. There is resistance at 3080 above, earn 40-60 points before taking profit, managing the range ensures profit. #币安HODLer空投AT #加密市场反弹 #ETH巨鲸增持 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 $BTC $ETH $SOL