Bit_Rase

Would You Chase $SOL at $81?
From $8 to $80, Solana took three years. From $80 back to $64, it took just three days. Now it's back around $80 again. Does that mean it's time to buy? Remember: the most expensive words in investing are, "This time is different."
1. Weak U.S. Jobs Data Sparked the Rally
The U.S. added only 57,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in June, well below expectations. That strengthened rate-cut expectations and lifted risk assets across the board.
Solana reacted even more aggressively than Bitcoin, gaining 13.7% over the past week after forming a V-shaped rebound from the $64 demand zone and reclaiming the $80 level.
2. ETF Demand and RWA Growth Are Adding Fuel
Several strong fundamental catalysts are supporting Solana:
Spot SOL ETFs recorded their largest net inflows of 2026 in May, with no daily outflows during the period.
Assets under management (AUM) have surpassed $1.1 billion.
Real-world asset (RWA) value on Solana has exceeded $2.8 billion.
Tokenized stock trading accounts for roughly 97% of the market.
Stablecoin supply remains elevated, while protocols like Jito and Raydium continue to see strong activity.
The upcoming Alpenglow upgrade and Firedancer client are expected to improve network speed, stability, and scalability.
3. Technical Structure Remains Constructive
The daily chart shows:
Strong rebound from the $64 demand zone
Break above the Ichimoku Cloud
Bullish Break of Structure (BOS)
Rising trading volume, confirming buyer participation
Weekly and monthly trends remain cautiously bullish, while RSI is not yet in overbought territory, suggesting further upside is still possible.
However, healthy bull markets often include sharp pullbacks before continuing higher.
Key Price Levels
Support:
$75–78 (recent consolidation zone)
$71.5 (EMA55)
$64–65 (major demand area)
Resistance:
$82–85 (immediate resistance)
A confirmed breakout could open the path toward $90–100+
Strategy
For Long-Term Investors
Consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) around $75–78 or $71.5.
Hold if price confirms above $85–90, targeting further gains driven by network upgrades and continued ETF inflows.
Reassess or reduce exposure if price loses $71 or $64.
For Swing Traders
Look for pullbacks into $75–78 with strong volume confirmation before entering.
Initial target: $82–85 with a minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
Momentum traders may consider buying a confirmed breakout above $82.5.
If price is rejected around $81–82, an aggressive short setup may be considered with a stop above $84 and a target back toward $75–78.
Risk Management
Keep leverage between 3x and 5x.
Limit SOL exposure to 25–35% of your total crypto portfolio, with Bitcoin remaining the core holding.
Monitor BTC price action, daily ETF flows, and on-chain activity, as they will likely determine whether this rally extends or fades.

$0.077 and $DOGE —you still dare to buy?
A “old friend” that countless people both love and hate—DOGE.
I know exactly how you feel right now. You open your account and see $0.077—compared with last year’s peak, it’s downright depressing. The group chat is silent. Everyone who used to shout “to the moon” on Twitter is gone. So… can this thing still rise?
First: when Musk stops talking, how much faith do you have left?
To be honest, the biggest problem with DOGE this round is that the narrative has gone cold.
In the past, a single Musk tweet could pull it up 20%. Now what? The SpaceX “next year to the moon” meme is still being recycled. Even the jokes about McDonald’s accepting DOGE get spun over and over—by now, the market just isn’t buying it.
Why? Because the “wolf is coming” has been cried too many times; the sheep don’t believe anymore.
Second: the technicals tell you a secret—history is repeating itself
The monthly RSI is in the deepest oversold zone in 13 years. What does that mean? The last time this kind of signal appeared, DOGE surged 8,000% in the following six months.
I didn’t mistype—it’s 8,000%.
The price bounced after forming a base around 0.070–0.072. Trading volume is gradually increasing, and small bullish candles start to appear. The 0.07 level has been tested three times and held—this isn’t coincidence.
Third: the only thing worth being optimistic about—macros finally help
The U.S. June employment data collapsed: new jobs were only 57,000, far below expectations.
What does that mean? Rate cuts are coming.
With interest rates held at 3.75% for so long, the July 29 meeting will likely soften. Once liquidity loosens, risk assets rise across the board. And DOGE, as a high-beta asset—when it goes up, it outpaces BTC, but when it goes down, it falls even worse.
Macro tailwind + extreme oversold + the 0.07 “iron floor” + a sentiment freeze = the rebound window is open
Key levels
Resistance: 0.080–0.085 → 0.10 (celebration zone)
Support: 0.070–0.072 → 0.060 → 0.055 (golden pit)
For short-term traders:
Go long with light size at 0.072–0.074, stop loss at 0.068, target 0.080–0.085.
If it breaks 0.085, chase it and look for 0.10.
For long-term believers:
If it dips below 0.070, do small, periodic buys—like a lottery. Keep position size within 10% of your total crypto holdings so it doesn’t affect your sleep. Take 30% at 0.10–0.12; sell more only if it reaches above 0.15.

$7—those $ETC , what are you afraid of?
Bro, I know you see ETC and want to just swipe it away.
“ETC? That antique forked thing? A piece of junk that dropped from 160 to 7?”
Yes, that’s it.
It’s down for 6 years—down until everyone forgot it, until everyone was cursing that it’s dead.
But in every previous bull cycle, the one that rises the hardest is often not the prettiest one—it’s the unwanted “zombie coin.”
First thing: It’s down 95%, but it hasn’t died
ETC is at $7.3 now, with a market cap of $1.1B and ranking #52.
Down 57% in 1 year, down 42% in 6 months, down 37% YTD.
It looks like it’s about to go to zero, right?
But look closely:
Recently it’s bounced off the lows, trading volume is modestly expanding, and around $7.0 there are people consistently picking up the bids.
The hammer candle shows up, and bottoming characteristics are starting to appear.
When everyone is bashing an asset, it’s often exactly when it should be bought.
Second thing: In 2026, ETC has two “nuclear bombs”
Most people don’t even know this—ETC has two major catalysts this year:
First: Fifthening (the fifth halving)
From July to October 2026, block rewards drop by 20%.
This is ETC’s fifth halving in history, tightening supply further.
Second: Olympia upgrade (late 2026)
Introduces EIP-1559 dynamic gas fees—some fees get burned, and some go into the DAO treasury.
This is the core pain point of ETC’s development funding shortage—solved in one shot.
After the upgrade, ETC gains sustainable incentives for developers, a deflationary mechanism, and DAO governance.
Third thing: The macro environment is quietly turning
In June, non-farm payrolls grew by only 57k positions, unemployment rate 4.2%.
Weak data = rate-cut expectations heat up = risk assets bounce.
The market as a whole has rebounded from the late-June low. As a small-cap asset, ETC has much more upside volatility than BTC or ETH.
If the big market rises 1%, it might rise 3–5%.
If the big market drops 1%, it drops even more—but the key is where you enter.
For ETC at $7, how far can it fall—$5?
How about the upside? 20? 50? 100?
Key levels
Resistance above: 7.5–8.0 → 8.5–10 → long-term, 26+
Support below: 7.0 → 6.5–7.0
Conservative / long-term holders:
Add in batches via DCA in the 6.8–7.2 range, hold the core position.
Set your stop loss below 6.5.
The focus is Q3–Q4’s Olympia + Fifthening—this is the real breakout catalyst.
Swing traders:
Enter after a pullback to the 7.0 support and volume-confirmation.
Target: 7.8–8.5. Add more on a break above 8.0.
When the big market is strong, ETC’s elasticity is bigger—don’t be scared.

At $62,500, would you dare to chase $BTC ?
First, look at the surface: bad news is flooding in, but the price is not falling
Over the past week, it rose 4%, rebounding in a V-shape from the $58,000 low. But over the past 6 months, it has fallen 31%, and is now half of its all-time high of 126,198. The 200-week moving average (62,652) is right overhead, and a MACD golden cross has just appeared: a breakout may be imminent, don’t get shaken out
First thing: ETFs are selling, but the price is already refusing to go down
In June, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a record $4.5 billion in outflows, the largest monthly outflow in history. BlackRock’s IBIT alone accounted for $3.55 billion, with 11 consecutive trading days of net outflows totaling more than $2.2 billion.
But BTC did not collapse; instead, it bounced from $58,000 to $62,500
On July 2, ETFs finally stopped the 10-day outflow streak, recording a single-day net inflow of $221.7 million
Second thing: what are the whales doing? Aggressively buying the dip
Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin whales have cumulatively added more than 270,000 BTC — about $16.7 billion. This is the largest single accumulation peak ever recorded on-chain
ETFs are selling, whales are buying. Institutions are leaving, big players are accumulating
This divergence has historical cycle characteristics — while institutional capital exits, long-term holders continue absorbing supply, similar to the capital redistribution structure often seen near previous cycle bottoms
Third thing: a nuclear-level macro catalyst has emerged
On July 2, the U.S. June nonfarm payrolls report came out — only 57,000 jobs were added, far below the expected 113,000. April and May figures were revised down by a combined 74,000
After the data was released, the market’s bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes contracted instantly. Traders pushed expectations for a hike from October to December
Cooling rate-hike expectations = a weaker dollar = risk assets taking off
Key levels
Upper resistance: 63,000-64,000 → 67,100 → 70,000+
Lower support: 61,000 → 59,200-59,300 → 58,000
For those already holding:
If your cost basis is high, wait for a rebound to 63,000-64,000 and sell half, keeping a core position to look for 70,000. If your cost basis is low, hold steady and don’t move; set the stop loss at 58,000
For those in cash / light positions:
A pullback to 59,000-59,500 is the entry point
Enter in 2-3 batches, with total position size no more than 10-15% of total capital. Stop loss at 58,000, exit if broken. Target 63,000-64,000 to take profits on half first, add more on a breakout
For futures traders:
Long-term believers:
The on-chain sell-side risk ratio has entered a historical accumulation zone — every time it enters this area, it is followed by a strong rebound. The target by the end of 2026 is 82,000-133,000. But there will still be countless pullbacks in between; can you hold on?