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The Crypto Jack

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Verified Creator
Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
4.1 Years
Trading Bits since 2019. (X: @cryptojack4u)
29 Following
43.5K+ Followers
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Portfolio
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Bearish
The Crypto Jack
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Bearish
SOL

Forming a perfect head and shoulder on weekly.

Swing short with the target of 32$.

This gonna play out in march.

Enjoy.

#TrumpTariffs #TrumpTariffs #WriteToEarnUpgrade #USJobsData #BTCVSGOLD

$BTC $ETH $BNB ZEC PIPPIN XRP
What happened last two times Japan rised Rates? August 2024 Crash📉 January 2025 Crash📉 #btc #bitcoin #crypto Japan keeps interest rates extremely low (near 0% for decades). Investors borrow cheap yen. They use that money to invest in higher-yield assets: US stocks emerging markets crypto bonds real estate 📌 They borrow yen because it’s cheap → invest in something that pays more → profit from the difference. This is called a carry trade. Why is this dangerous when Japan raises rates? When Japan increases rates, the carry trade becomes risky: 1️⃣ Borrowing yen becomes more expensive Investors suddenly have to pay more to service the loans they used to buy other assets. 2️⃣ They unwind positions People who borrowed yen now need to: sell their investments (stocks, crypto, bonds) buy back yen repay the loans This causes: ✔ selling pressure globally ✔ yen strengthens ✔ liquidity drains from risky assets like BTC BTC is one of the most “risk-on” assets. When big funds unwind carry trades: They sell Bitcoin to free cash Liquidity dries up Volatility increases Leverage gets liquidated This causes fast, sharp drops, like what happened in: August 2024 December 2024 Why does the yen carry trade matter so much? Because it’s HUGE. It’s estimated that hundreds of billions of dollars (some analysts say even $1 trillion+) are tied to yen-funded positions. When Japan suddenly changes policy, the effects hit: global stocks bonds currencies crypto emerging markets
What happened last two times Japan rised Rates?

August 2024 Crash📉
January 2025 Crash📉
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
Japan keeps interest rates extremely low (near 0% for decades).

Investors borrow cheap yen.

They use that money to invest in higher-yield assets:

US stocks

emerging markets

crypto

bonds

real estate

📌 They borrow yen because it’s cheap → invest in something that pays more → profit from the difference.

This is called a carry trade.

Why is this dangerous when Japan raises rates?

When Japan increases rates, the carry trade becomes risky:

1️⃣ Borrowing yen becomes more expensive

Investors suddenly have to pay more to service the loans they used to buy other assets.

2️⃣ They unwind positions

People who borrowed yen now need to:

sell their investments (stocks, crypto, bonds)

buy back yen

repay the loans

This causes:

✔ selling pressure globally
✔ yen strengthens
✔ liquidity drains from risky assets like BTC

BTC is one of the most “risk-on” assets.
When big funds unwind carry trades:

They sell Bitcoin to free cash

Liquidity dries up

Volatility increases

Leverage gets liquidated

This causes fast, sharp drops, like what happened in:

August 2024

December 2024

Why does the yen carry trade matter so much?

Because it’s HUGE.

It’s estimated that hundreds of billions of dollars (some analysts say even $1 trillion+) are tied to yen-funded positions.

When Japan suddenly changes policy, the effects hit:

global stocks

bonds

currencies

crypto

emerging markets
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Bullish
Perp trading is high risk. 4 days ago, whale 0x76AB sold 1,654 $ETH($5.49M) in spot and switched to high-leverage $ETH longs. He has made 3 trades, 2 of them losing, racking up over $3.3M in losses in just 4 days.
Perp trading is high risk.

4 days ago, whale 0x76AB sold 1,654 $ETH($5.49M) in spot and switched to high-leverage $ETH longs.

He has made 3 trades, 2 of them losing, racking up over $3.3M in losses in just 4 days.
THE CRYPTO MARKET ISN’T UNDERPERFORMING DUE TO LACK OF LIQUIDITY. It’s underperformance because no one knows what comes next. - Liquidity is improving; QT is over. - The Fed has started adding liquidity again. - The US Treasury is pushing cash back into markets through buybacks and TGA flows. - China and Canada are easing. - Global liquidity is moving back toward ATH And yet, Bitcoin isn't moving. Altcoins are performing even worse. This shows the problem isn’t liquidity; it’s uncertainty, and the market hates uncertainty. In past cycles, crypto performed well even during tightening, as long as the macro path was clear. In 2020-2021, the Fed’s stance was simple: Ongoing easing. Liquidity was coming, and everyone knew it. Bitcoin pumped hard. In 2023, the Fed was hiking rates, yet BTC rallied. Why? Because the path was clear. Rates would rise until inflation cooled. But now the situation is different. The Fed itself is divided. Some members want more cuts. Some want to pause. Some believe inflation is finished. Others think its full impact hasn’t even shown up yet. Global policy is also unclear. Markets don’t know how far or how fast the Bank of Japan may tighten. Apart from that, trade war and geopolitical war situations are adding more uncertainty. Because there's no clear macro direction about what is coming next, risk-on assets like BTC and alts are struggling to perform. This is also a reason why every Bitcoin pump often retraces quickly and altcoins underperform even when liquidity data looks positive. IMO, this uncertainty phase likely lasts until around Q2 2026, when a new Fed Chair appointed by Trump is expected to take over, alongside more aligned leadership. Once that happens, the policy becomes clearer: when to cut, how much to cut, and how much liquidity to inject. This is when I'll probably start allocating heavily back into the markets again.
THE CRYPTO MARKET ISN’T UNDERPERFORMING DUE TO LACK OF LIQUIDITY.

It’s underperformance because no one knows what comes next.

- Liquidity is improving; QT is over.
- The Fed has started adding liquidity again.
- The US Treasury is pushing cash back into markets through buybacks and TGA flows.
- China and Canada are easing.
- Global liquidity is moving back toward ATH

And yet, Bitcoin isn't moving.
Altcoins are performing even worse.

This shows the problem isn’t liquidity; it’s uncertainty, and the market hates uncertainty.

In past cycles, crypto performed well even during tightening, as long as the macro path was clear.

In 2020-2021, the Fed’s stance was simple: Ongoing easing.
Liquidity was coming, and everyone knew it.
Bitcoin pumped hard.

In 2023, the Fed was hiking rates, yet BTC rallied.

Why?

Because the path was clear.
Rates would rise until inflation cooled.

But now the situation is different.

The Fed itself is divided.
Some members want more cuts.
Some want to pause.
Some believe inflation is finished.
Others think its full impact hasn’t even shown up yet.

Global policy is also unclear.
Markets don’t know how far or how fast the Bank of Japan may tighten.
Apart from that, trade war and geopolitical war situations are adding more uncertainty.

Because there's no clear macro direction about what is coming next, risk-on assets like BTC and alts are struggling to perform.

This is also a reason why every Bitcoin pump often retraces quickly and altcoins underperform even when liquidity data looks positive.

IMO, this uncertainty phase likely lasts until around Q2 2026, when a new Fed Chair appointed by Trump is expected to take over, alongside more aligned leadership.

Once that happens, the policy becomes clearer:
when to cut, how much to cut, and how much liquidity to inject.

This is when I'll probably start allocating heavily back into the markets again.
Japan is expected to do a rate hike this month. Since 2024, BOJ has raised the interest rates thrice. March 2024: This marked the local top for Bitcoin July 2024: This dumped Bitcoin below $50K Jan 2025: This marked the local top for Bitcoin. Right now, BTC is already down 30%+ from its ATH. I'm expecting something like the July 2024 scenario, if BOJ cut rates. Maybe a sharp correction below $80K to capitulate.
Japan is expected to do a rate hike this month.

Since 2024, BOJ has raised the interest rates thrice.

March 2024: This marked the local top for Bitcoin

July 2024: This dumped Bitcoin below $50K

Jan 2025: This marked the local top for Bitcoin.

Right now, BTC is already down 30%+ from its ATH.

I'm expecting something like the July 2024 scenario, if BOJ cut rates.

Maybe a sharp correction below $80K to capitulate.
🚨 BREAKING: JAPAN WILL CRASH $BTC Bank of Japan is set to hike rates +25 bps on Dec 19. Japan = largest holder of US government debt 🇯🇵 📉 Look at the $BTC chart: Every BoJ rate hike → Bitcoin dumps over 20%+👇 • March 2024 → -23% • July 2024 → -26% • January 2025 → -31% And now… another one loading. Is $70K coming next? 👀 . . #USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTCVSGOLD #TrumpTariffs #CPIWatch $BTC $ETH BNB ZEC PIPPIN TRADOOR
🚨 BREAKING: JAPAN WILL CRASH $BTC

Bank of Japan is set to hike rates +25 bps on Dec 19. Japan = largest holder of US government debt 🇯🇵

📉 Look at the $BTC chart:

Every BoJ rate hike → Bitcoin dumps over 20%+👇

• March 2024 → -23%
• July 2024 → -26%
• January 2025 → -31%

And now… another one loading.

Is $70K coming next? 👀

.

.

#USJobsData #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTCVSGOLD #TrumpTariffs #CPIWatch

$BTC $ETH BNB ZEC PIPPIN TRADOOR
JUST IN: $140,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 60 minutes.
JUST IN: $140,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 60 minutes.
4$ till Feb
4$ till Feb
Crypto PM
--
Bullish
$IO
{future}(IOUSDT)
SPOT BUY + SWING LONG SETUP ✅

ENTRY -: 0.1737 - 0.1650

Leverage -: 3-5x

Targets -:

0.17
0.18
0.19
0.20
0.22
0.24

SL -: 0.1586

#IO
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