WangLoc

This chart suggests a #bitcoin cycle low around ~$25,000 in 2026 👀
If this plays out, it wouldn’t be shocking. Deep bear markets historically compress sentiment to extremes long after the majority believes the pain is already over.
The real question isn’t whether $25k is possible it’s how prepared people are to buy when narratives are dead, volume is gone, and conviction is at its lowest.
Markets don’t bottom when hope exists.
They bottom when everyone stops caring.
If this model is even partially right, 2026 could be where long-term wealth is quietly built not chased.
#CPIWatch #WriteToEarnUpgrade $BTC $XRP $ETH

We’re almost there. If $BTC drops below $76,000, MicroStrategy officially enters unrealized loss territory.
That level isn’t just psychological it’s structural. What makes this moment even more tense?
💥 Massive liquidations have already shaken the market
💥 Weak hands are gone
💥 Longs are exhausted, shorts are confident
💥 Liquidity is thin
Yet… price is still holding.
Meanwhile, a lot of sidelined capital can’t even act yet. Cash is parked in traditional markets, tied up chasing bond yields, waiting for the next trading session. All that money can do right now is watch.
This is how inflection points are formed.
Markets don’t reverse when everyone is ready.
They reverse when no one can react.
If $BTC holds this zone, today’s fear will be remembered as fuel.
If it breaks, the pain accelerates but so does the opportunity.
Either way, this is not a random dip.
This is a moment the market will talk about later.
Question is simple:
Are you watching… or positioning?
#Bitcoin #BTC #TrendingTopic

When noise dominates the lower timeframes, the Weekly (1W) chart of BTC/USDT is where real context lives. This is the timeframe that reflects cycle structure, long-term capital flow, and institutional behavior not short-term emotion.
A Familiar Cyclical Structure
If we step back, Bitcoin’s current structure looks remarkably similar to previous early-cycle phases.
In both 2020 and 2024, BTC followed the same sequence:
A relatively brief consolidation phaseA clean breakout above key resistanceSustained support above the Weekly MA50Followed by an impulsive upside expansion
The 2020 instance led into the full 2020–2021 bull market. The current setup mirrors that behavior closely, suggesting Bitcoin is not at the end of a cycle, but more likely in the early-to-mid stages of a new one.
MA50 Weekly: The Backbone of the Trend
Historically, Bitcoin’s macro trend has been simple:
Below MA50 Weekly → Bear market conditionsAbove MA50 Weekly → Bull market regime
Despite the recent correction, BTC continues to hold above the MA50 Weekly. Every downside move so far has behaved like a pullback, not a structural breakdown. This strongly supports a bull market continuation thesis.
Fibonacci Confirms a Healthy Pullback
Comparing this correction to the 2021–2022 cycle is revealing.
In the prior bear market, BTC dropped deep into Fib 1.618–2.0, confirming a macro trend reversal.The current pullback has only reached around Fib 1.0 (~$78k).Deeper Fib levels sit near $58k–$50k, which have not been tested.
In bull markets, corrections typically resolve between 0.5–1.618 Fib. From that perspective, the current move remains well within normal bull market behavior.
Key Levels to Watch
~$78k: Critical confluence support (Fib 1.0 + horizontal structure)Holding → bullish continuation remains intactLosing decisively → opens room for a deeper pullback, but not an automatic bear market
Cycle Expectations
Based on historical structure, Fibonacci extensions, and price behavior, a reasonable cycle target sits in the $110k–$125k range.
Importantly, bull markets are never linear. 20–30% corrections are common and often represent accumulation zones for larger players, not distribution tops.
Final Takeaway
The current chart does not signal a bear marketThis price action aligns with a bull market pullback, not a cycle topWeekly structure, MA50, and Fibonacci all support a bullish macro bias
Patience and capital management matter more than prediction here. Favor DCA and support-based entries, and avoid emotional shorts while the higher-timeframe trend remains constructive.
$BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #FedHoldsRates $ETH

One of the most historically reliable macro charts in crypto is the Bitcoin / Gold ratio.
This ratio has consistently marked the birth of every major Bitcoin bull cycle not the top, but the beginning.
Key historical moments:
2017 – BTC outperformed Gold → first major parabolic run2021 – Ratio broke up again → cycle expansion2024 – Price is once again pressing against the same long-term structure
Right now, the BTC/Gold ratio is sitting directly on a multi-year support/resistance trendline that has defined past regime shifts.
From a technical perspective:
The ratio has compressed into a critical decision zoneMomentum is flattening after a prolonged resetA confirmed upward rotation would signal capital rotation away from defensive assets and back into risk
This is not a short-term trading signal. It’s a macro environment indicator.
If Bitcoin begins to outperform Gold again, history suggests:
Risk appetite is returningLiquidity conditions are improvingLong-term accumulation phases are likely transitioning into expansion
However, confirmation matters. Until the ratio clearly breaks and holds above the trend, patience and risk management remain essential.
Markets don’t move on hope they move on confirmation.
Are you watching BTC/Gold as a macro signal this cycle?
What do you think happens next for $BTC if this ratio turns up again?
#Bitcoin #crypto #BTCVSGOLD $XAU

Let the data speak.
Liquidations by major crash events:
October 10th crash: $19.1B COVID crash (March 2020): $1.2BFTX collapse: $1.6BToday: $2.51B
This places today’s move as the 10th largest liquidation event in crypto history.
And that matters.
Why? Because liquidations of this scale don’t happen in “normal” markets.
They occur when leverage builds up aggressively while liquidity thins out creating sudden air pockets in price.
What this tells us:
Excessive long leverage was flushedForced selling amplified downside volatilityEmotional positioning dominated risk management
Importantly, large liquidation events often mark inflection points, not trends by themselves.
They can occur:
Near panic lowsDuring mid-cycle resetsOr as final leverage purges before structure stabilizes
What happens after the liquidation is more important than the liquidation itself.
If price stabilizes and reclaims key levels → this becomes a reset, not a breakdown.
If volatility expands further with weak bounces → risk remains elevated.
Smart traders don’t react to headlines.
They watch post-liquidation behavior, liquidity return, and structure rebuild.
Extreme fear clears leverage.
Structure decides the next trend.
What do you think this liquidation event represents a local reset or the start of something bigger?
$BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Liquidations $SOL

The narrative today is noisy.
Iran. The Fed. Macro panic. Headlines everywhere.
But when you strip the emotion out and look at the flow data, the explanation is far simpler and far more actionable.
This move is not driven by new fundamental information.
It’s driven by liquidity failure.
What actually pushed Bitcoin below $79,000?
Over the last ~12 hours, the market absorbed three distinct liquidation waves, totaling roughly $1.3B in forced deleveraging.
In an environment where liquidity has already been thin and fragmented, that kind of leverage unwind doesn’t get absorbed smoothly it creates price air pockets.
When leverage builds faster than spot demand:
Stops cluster tightlyOrder books thin outLiquidations cascade instead of clearing
Price doesn’t “move” it falls through levels.
Why the swings feel extreme
This market is currently dominated by herd behavior, not conviction:
Sentiment flips from euphoria to fear in hoursPositioning becomes crowded on both sidesDerivatives, not spot, are driving most moves
That combination makes volatility self-reinforcing. Once a liquidation wave starts, it feeds on itself until leverage is flushed.
What this environment is really offering
These conditions are painful but they’re also opportunity-rich.
Markets at emotional extremes tend to misprice risk. When fear spikes faster than fundamentals deteriorate, polarity appears between price and value.
That’s where disciplined traders thrive:
Not chasing narrativesNot reacting to headlinesBut exploiting emotion-driven dislocations
Today’s crash is not a mystery and not a macro shock. It’s a leverage reset in a low-liquidity environment. Understand that, and the move stops looking chaotic and starts looking tradable.
$BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarket #liquidity #MarketCorrection $ETH

While the broader market has been breaking down short-term structures, $ETH (alongside $XRP ) stands out as one of the very few major assets still holding above a critical macro structural low. That alone is not bullish by default but it is informative.
From a market structure perspective, this tells us two things:
Downside pressure is being absorbed, not acceleratedETH has not lost its higher-timeframe support zone despite recent volatility. In past cycles, assets that refuse to break macro lows during market stress often become relative leaders once conditions stabilize.Timing alignment with Bitcoin is unusually clean
ETH’s current positioning lines up closely with Bitcoin’s expected next phase:BTC is flushing short-term excessETH is compressing, not collapsingThis kind of divergence typically appears late in corrective phases, not at the start of new bearish legs.
What this does not mean
It does not guarantee immediate upsideIt does not mean ETH is immune if BTC breaks key HTF support
But historically, when ETH holds structure while sentiment is deteriorating, it signals positioning, not panic.
As long as ETH continues to defend this macro base:
Risk remains asymmetric (limited downside vs potential upside)Any BTC stabilization increases the odds of ETH relative strength
If that level fails, the thesis is invalidated simple and objective.
Markets don’t telegraph reversals with excitement. They do it with quiet structural resilience. ETH is currently showing exactly that.
#Ethereum #MarketAnalysis #CryptoAnalysis $BTC

Bitcoin just experienced a sharp >9% overnight sell-off, decisively breaking all nearby short-term support levels. This was not a random wick or a simple stop-hunt price moved through support cleanly and with momentum, signaling a real shift in short-term market structure.
What the price action is telling us
Multiple supports failed without meaningful buyer reaction, showing weak defensive demand.The sell-off was accompanied by expanding volume, pointing to active distribution rather than passive liquidation.Bounce attempts during the dump were shallow and short-lived classic characteristics of a trend-continuation move, not a local bottom.
This is typically how markets behave after prolonged chop and repeated failed recoveries. Confidence erodes, positioning becomes crowded, and the resolution comes in the form of a fast, emotional flush. Leverage gets cleaned, late longs are forced out, and liquidity resets.
Importantly:
A support break does not automatically mean a full trend collapse.But it does confirm that short-term bias has flipped bearish, and premature bottom-fishing carries elevated risk.Post-dump phases are usually defined by high volatility and re-accumulation, not immediate V-shaped reversals.
A constructive scenario requires:
Price to stabilize and build a new baseSelling pressure to compressClear evidence of spot absorption rather than derivatives-led bounces.
Any sharp rebound that fails to reclaim broken levels should be treated cautiously those are often relief rallies, not trend reversals.
This is a phase where patience and risk management outperform prediction. Markets always reveal their next direction through structure first.
The real opportunity comes after emotions have been fully washed out.
$BTC #Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis #crypto

Put the fear, frustration, and noise aside for a moment and zoom out.
From a higher-timeframe perspective, the altcoin market is quietly sending a message that feels almost illegal to say out loud right now: the long-term outlook is improving, even as sentiment sits near the floor.
Since the 2021 peak, altcoins have endured nearly five years of sustained decline and compression. That kind of time-based drawdown isn’t just about price it’s about exhausting participants. And that’s exactly what we’re seeing now.
Momentum has died, narratives have collapsed, and participation has thinned out. Historically, that combination doesn’t mark the middle of a move it marks the late stages.
For those familiar with tools like the Remora indicator and who’ve tracked it across multiple cycles and assets, the current structure is hard to ignore. The behavior resembles accumulation, not distribution slow, grinding, and deeply uncomfortable.
The tragedy is where we are emotionally as a market. There are still countless bag holders hanging on by a thread, many of them close to capitulating or having already done so at what may be the worst possible location in the last half decade.
Forced selling due to fear, fatigue, or necessity almost always happens after the damage is done, not before opportunity appears.
That said, this is not a blanket endorsement of all altcoins.
This is a selective environment. The next expansion won’t lift everything equally. The real opportunity lies in:
Individual chartsClear accumulation rangesAssets that have already flushed excess leverage and weak hands.
If you’re not trapped in heavy red positions, and you’re patient enough to DCA, build slowly, and let time work for you this is the zone where long-term positioning starts to make sense.
It doesn’t feel good. It doesn’t feel obvious. And that’s exactly the point.
Markets don’t turn when the crowd feels confident they turn when conviction is gone.
#altcoins #MarketAnalysis #TrendingTopic $ETH $SOL

Everyone panics when Bitcoin does a liquidity sweep.
Zoom out.
Every major $BTC expansion cycle has followed the exact same script:
– A brutal flush that wipes out late longs
– Confidence completely shattered
– Silence… then quiet, relentless accumulation
That pain isn’t accidental. It’s structural.
Markets don’t reward certainty they reward positioning when conviction is gone. Liquidity needs to be taken, leverage needs to be cleared, narratives need to die. Only then does real upside become possible.
Bitcoin isn’t “breaking down.” It isn’t “failing the cycle.” It’s doing what it has always done before its strongest moves.
If it feels uncomfortable, confusing, even wrong you’re probably closer to the opportunity than you think.
Same playbook.
Different actors.
Same outcome.
The launchpad is built in pain.
#BTC #FedHoldsRates #TrendingTopic

Bitcoin is now deep into its 4-year cycle and the structure deserves respect.
We are currently in month 38 out of an average 48-month cycle. Historically, this is the phase where momentum fades, sentiment deteriorates, and price action becomes unforgiving.
Right now, Bitcoin is closing its third consecutive month below the 10-month moving average, and is on track to print a fourth red monthly candle in a row something we haven’t seen since 2018.
That alone doesn’t guarantee anything. But context matters. The recent move toward $98,000 increasingly looks like a counter-trend rally, not the start of a new expansion phase.
More importantly, Bitcoin is showing a clear divergence from other asset classes, a behavior that has historically appeared during cyclical transitions rather than during sustained bull legs.
I don’t enjoy being bearish especially on Bitcoin.
I rarely short markets, and I fundamentally believe that high-quality asset classes do not stay suppressed forever. My default stance is bullish. Always has been. But markets are not driven by belief alone.
They are driven by cycles, liquidity, and sentiment and Bitcoin has respected its 4-year rhythm with remarkable consistency across every prior cycle.
This is the uncomfortable truth many prefer to ignore:
You can be very bullish on fundamentals while still acknowledging that timing matters.
Every cycle has a phase where optimism overstays its welcome. Where narratives stretch to defend price. Where hope replaces confirmation. And right now, a large portion of bullish discourse on X is less about objective analysis and more about incentives selling services, funds, access, or clout. That doesn’t make people malicious. It makes them human.
Cycle declines are not about fundamentals breaking. They are about sentiment being reset.
And on that front, Bitcoin has already done a lot of work. Repeated sentiment kills tend to accelerate the decline phase, which raises the probability that the eventual cycle low arrives earlier than average perhaps closer to month 44 instead of 48.
That’s the constructive part of this picture. If this historical structure were to truly change, the signal would be clear:
A monthly close back above the 10-month moving average. If that happens, I would be more than willing to shift focus aggressively back to the bullish side.
A structural break of that magnitude would likely signal something massive unfolding beneath the surface. I’ll never claim that can’t happen strong convictions only matter if you constantly challenge them.
Until then, being defensive is not failure.
Even if Bitcoin were to reverse tomorrow and go on to make new highs, adopting a risk-aware stance here likely costs only some upside not long-term opportunity. Survival and capital preservation always come first.
And for most investors, the simplest strategy still holds true.
Ignore the noise.Ignore the volatility.Ignore the emotional swings.
Accumulate Bitcoin patiently during long drawdown periods and let time do the heavy lifting.
Cycles come and go.
#BTC #BTC走势分析 #MarketCorrection $BTC

Are we at the bottom… or is this just where the real pain begins?
Right now, the market is pinned against the wall.
#total3 is sitting exactly on the Gann Angle resonance line drawn from the Covid crash bottom. That’s not a random level. It’s a structural growth trajectory that has defined this cycle.
The deviation we’ve seen since the October 10th crash already feels unnatural almost forced when viewed through the lens of long-term chart symmetry.
At the same time, the OTHERS macro symmetrical triangle that has been forming since 2020 has price pressing directly into the absolute floor of the structure. No mid-range. No buffer. Just the base.

Zoom out, and the picture gets even clearer.
Charts are at historical extremes.
Sentiment is at emotional exhaustion.
Confidence is gone. Conviction is gone. Hope is gone.
This is what markets look like when sellers are almost fully depleted.
There is very little room left to the downside without breaking multi-year structural symmetry and when markets are pushed this far, they don’t usually drift quietly lower. They either reverse violently… or something systemic breaks.
That’s the point most people miss. Major reversals don’t come when things feel safe. They come when continuation feels inevitable, when pain feels endless, and when participation is at its lowest. That’s exactly where we are now.
This doesn’t mean price can’t go lower. It means risk-to-reward is becoming asymmetrical in a way that rarely lasts long.
Now is as good a moment as any for a reversal. Because if this level fails… it won’t be another slow bleed it will be a regime shift.
And those are the moments that decide entire cycles.

#MarketAnalysis #MarketCorrection $ETH $SOL

The real story with gold is not that it dropped 9% yesterday. That’s noise. The actual story is far more uncomfortable and far more important.
Gold is down 99.987%.
That sounds absurd at first, until you frame it correctly.
If humanity had stopped mining gold in the year 500 AD if gold supply had truly been fixed the price of one ounce of gold today would not be a few thousand dollars.
It would be north of $40,000,000 per ounce. Not because demand would be wildly different, but because supply would be fundamentally constrained.
Instead, gold is merely scarce, not fixed. Every year, more is dug out of the ground. Slowly, predictably, relentlessly. Over centuries, that dilution compounds.
And when you zoom out far enough, the result is catastrophic underperformance relative to what a truly fixed-supply asset would have achieved.
This is why obsessing over a 9% daily move completely misses the point. The real drawdown happened over hundreds of years, not one trading session. Gold didn’t crash yesterday—it has been leaking value for millennia due to supply expansion.
The difference between scarce and fixed supply isn’t subtle. It’s not 10%. It’s not 2x. It’s not even 100x.
It’s 1,000x.
That single distinction explains why gold, despite thousands of years as money, has failed to preserve purchasing power in the way people assume it has.
And it explains why assets with truly fixed supply dynamics behave differently over long time horizons.
This isn’t an argument against gold. It’s an argument about monetary physics.
Scarcity slows dilution. Fixed supply eliminates it.
Once you see that difference clearly, you can’t unsee it.
#GOLD #XAU #USGovShutdown $XAU

You can say whatever you want. I’m not here to win popularity contests. I’m here to read the market as objectively as possible and act accordingly.
Right now, the emotional response around Bitcoin feels eerily familiar. Not like Q4 2023, when optimism was loud and speculative.
It feels more like Q4 2022 when Bitcoin was hated, ignored, and written off as a failed experiment. That was when $BTC traded near $16,000 and calling for six-figure prices sounded insane to most people.
Back then, I said publicly that $100,000 Bitcoin within five years was likely, and that the following months would probably be the best buying opportunity of the next three years. In my mind, those were conservative statements.
To the outside world, they sounded delusional. Yet here we are years later, at a much higher price while the mainstream narrative is still negative or, at best, indifferent.
That disconnect matters. Today, Bitcoin is above key high-timeframe support, moving through a bottoming phase, with global liquidity quietly increasing in the background.
You can get angry about that. You can insult me. You can short the market. None of that changes the structure.
In fact, we are now closer in time to a >$400,000 Bitcoin than we are to a <$20,000 Bitcoin.
<$20,000 Bitcoin happened 1,112 days ago, on January 14, 2023. For Bitcoin to reach $400,000 by February 15, 2029 a prediction I’m comfortable making it would require a $320,000 move higher.
That sounds huge, until you remember that Bitcoin has repeatedly made larger percentage moves under far worse conditions.
The irony is that Bitcoin is cheaper now than it was three years ago measured in real terms. Over the last three years, most portfolios are down roughly 70% when priced in Bitcoin. That’s not because Bitcoin failed. It’s because everything else has been slowly repriced.
Nothing fundamental has changed:
– Interest rates are rolling over.
– Political pressure is building to weaken the DXY.
– Regulatory headwinds are turning into tailwinds with increasingly pro-Bitcoin policymakers.
– Banks, corporations, ETFs, and trust structures are already onboard.
– Gold is completing its longest and strongest run ever against Bitcoin, a pattern that historically precedes explosive BTC outperformance.
Every time Bitcoin breaks out against gold, it has historically doubled relative to it. If that pattern repeats, we’re talking about prices north of $400,000 per Bitcoin.
This is why I still believe:
$400,000 Bitcoin on or before February 15, 2029 is realistic.2026 will be remembered as one of the best years to buy Bitcoin in a 3–5 year window, regardless of whether the “major low” is $80k or $60k.When those two predictions play out, many of the same people who mocked Bitcoin at $16k and who dismiss it today at $80k will still be ignoring it.
The bigger picture is simple. The fiat system must originate trillions in new loans to survive. Almost every other asset stocks, bonds, real estate has already absorbed massive leverage. Bitcoin hasn’t.
The Cantillon playbook is obvious:
Print fiat.
Push it into Bitcoin.
Let BTC/USD do the rest.
Call it a ponzi if you want but fiat is the problem, not Bitcoin.
Stocks, bonds, real estate, and cash are all structurally vulnerable. Bitcoin isn’t. It’s still the escape valve.
This is the moment.
Bitcoin is cheap.
Don’t wait.
Get off zero.
#BTC #bitcoin #USGovShutdown

You can say whatever you want. I’m not here to argue narratives or trade emotions. I’m here to provide objective analysis of this market, regardless of whether it’s popular.
And objectively, Bitcoin is in a bottoming phase. Price is holding key high-timeframe support, while global liquidity is expanding, not contracting. Those two conditions have historically mattered far more than sentiment, headlines, or social media noise.
You’re free to be angry.
You’re free to dismiss the data.
You’re free to short the market if that’s your conviction.
I’m not doing that. Markets don’t reverse because people feel comfortable they reverse when positioning and liquidity shift while confidence is still broken.
I’ll continue to follow the structure, not the noise. If you believe this is distribution, you’re welcome to trade it that way.
I’m positioned for the opposite. Time will do the rest.
#BitcoinETFWatch #BTC #bitcoin

This is exactly why patience + structure > emotions. Less than 24 hours after the call, Gold ($XAU ) delivered one of the most aggressive dumps in recent history:
📉 5540 → 4940
That’s a ~600-point collapse in under a day.
🔴 Recap of the original setup
• Entry: 5540
• SL: 5557
• TP zones: 5500 → 5467
Not only were all targets cleanly smashed, price kept cascading lower with zero mercy.

What this move confirms
• Blow-off top + exhaustion at highs
• Liquidity grab above resistance before distribution
• When macro fear meets crowded longs → air pockets form fast
• Gold is not “safe” when positioning is wrong
This wasn’t luck. This was structure, timing, and risk management.
Markets don’t move to be fair. They move to hurt the most people possible.
If you chased longs near the highs the market collected. If you respected the setup the market paid.

Did you catch this move or watch it from the sidelines?
Drop your reaction below
Trade smart. Let the market do the heavy lifting.
#GOLD #TradingSignals #MarketCorrection