btcpriceprediction

We are standing in the year 2026 – two years after the 4th Bitcoin Halving. According to the "textbook" of history, this is usually the stage where the market enters the most sensitive zone: Either the dazzling peak of a super cycle, or the beginning of a prolonged winter.
Will this time Bitcoin follow the old rules, or has the emergence of financial "giants" broken all precedents?
1. Looking back at history: The allure of numbers

Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Will It Rally?
Market Drop Ahead of FOMC Meeting
The market's sharp drop ahead of the FOMC meeting raises suspicions of manipulation. With the Fed expected to keep rates steady at 4.25%-4.5%, the CME FedWatch Tool shows a 97.3% probability of no change. However, if the Federal Reserve signals a dovish stance tomorrow, $BTC could see a significant rally.
Investors' Anticipation of Looser Monetary Policy
Investors are betting on the possibility of looser monetary policy, and if that’s the signal the Fed sends, crypto markets might respond positively. It’s a high-stakes moment, as traders closely watch for any clues on future rate hikes or cuts.

Looser Monetary Policy
Investors' Anticipation of Looser Monetary Policy
However, Analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that investors are withdrawing funds ahead of the FOMC meeting, with Bitcoin ETFs recently selling nearly 8,000 BTC, valued at $800 million. Market participants are adopting a cautious stance, awaiting U.S. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech today.

Investors' Anticipation of Looser Monetary Policy
TD Sequential Indicator Signals Potential Sell
As per Ali Martinez, the TD Sequential indicator is signaling a potential sell on the hourly chart, indicating that #Bitcoin ($BTC) could revisit recent lows near $99,000. However, a rebound might occur, bolstered by a dovish outlook from the Fed tomorrow.

TD Sequential Indicator Signals Potential Sell
Bitcoin's Market Structure and Potential Breakout
As per Rekt Capital, Bitcoin is currently forming an early-stage Higher Low while simultaneously experiencing short-term Lower Highs, creating a pennant-like market structure. This pattern is developing within the $101k-$106k range, a price zone where BTC has been consolidating for nearly two weeks.

Bitcoin's Market Structure
What’s Next For Bitcoin?
The four-hour Bitcoin price chart reveals that $103K is a crucial level to watch. Whether Bitcoin experiences a rejection or a bounce here will indicate its next move.
If BTC breaks above the descending trendline resistance, confirming a breakout, the next target will be $107,000. Should a 4-hour candle close above this level, the current all-time high of $110K will become the key resistance level.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to close above $103K, it could dip to the $100K to $98K range, where sidelined buyers might step in to accumulate. However, if selling pressure intensifies, Bitcoin could revisit the lower range around $92K.
However, In the last 24 hours, 132,959 traders were liquidated, totaling $291.68 million in liquidations. The largest single liquidation occurred on Binance with a BTCUSD_PERP order valued at $15.17M

Bitcoin Price Chart
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