The XRP army is on high alert. As of late January 2026, a prominent crypto analyst has sparked a firestorm of speculation by pointing to a shrinking 21-day window for XRP to reclaim its glory and push toward its All-Time High (ATH) and beyond.
With the XRP Community Day looming on February 11, 2026, the clock is officially ticking. Here is the breakdown of why the next three weeks could define XRP’s trajectory for the rest of the year.
The "Bird" Forecast: A Critical Breakout Zone
Crypto analyst Bird (@Bird_XRPL) recently highlighted a technical setup that has the community buzzing. According to the analysis:
The Resistance: XRP has been trapped under a descending resistance line since mid-2025.
The Price Point: Currently hovering around $1.90 – $1.95, XRP is knocking on the door of a major breakout zone.
The Deadline: The analyst suggests that if XRP doesn't break this trendline within the next 21 days, the momentum required for a "moon run" toward the $3.60+ ATH could evaporate, leading to further consolidation.
Fear vs. Fundamentals: The 2026 Landscape
The market sentiment is currently a "tale of two cities." While technicals show a squeeze, retail sentiment has dipped into Extreme Fear following a recent market-wide sell-off triggered by global macro tensions.
However, seasoned traders on Binance Square know that extreme fear is often a contrarian bullish signal. | Key Catalyst | Impact on XRP |
| :--- | :--- |
| ETF Inflows | Standard Chartered projects up to $10B in inflows for 2026, targeting an $8.00 price point. |
| Community Day | The Feb 11th event acts as a psychological magnet for buy pressure. |
| Regulatory Clarity | Post-CLARITY Act optimism continues to provide a structural floor for price. |
The Technical "Must-Hold" Levels
For the bulls to win this 21-day sprint, XRP needs to clear several hurdles:
$2.12 Resistance: Reclaiming the $2.00 psychological barrier and flipping $2.12 into support is the first step.
The EMA Cross: Watch the 100-day EMA near $2.22; a decisive close above this confirms the trend reversal.
The $1.85 Floor: If XRP slides below $1.85, analysts warn of a "final dump" toward $1.60 before any major recovery.
Final Verdict
Is XRP about to repeat its legendary 2017-style vertical climb? The next 21 days will tell. With the XRP Community Day acting as the finish line for this technical pattern, volatility is guaranteed.
Whether you are a long-term HODLer or a swing trader, keep your eyes on the volume. Without a spike in buying pressure, this 21-day window might just be another "fakeout."
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