fromdustwearise

The time has come, all time frames are in phase. I shorted before H1.
Entry 1: 6.31
Entry 2: 6.49
TP 1: 5.966
TP 2: 5.653

$VVV
#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

📊 Analysis of BTC before entering the new week
📅 Weekly frame (W)
If there are no major fluctuations by the end of Sunday, BTC will close the weekly candle in green with a somewhat long upper wick, RSI recovering from the oversold zone, average volume
➡️ If looking at the current W candle, it seems that the price will increase a bit more in line with the upward trend.
🔎 Looking back at a similar time when RSI was oversold on the latest weekly frame in June 2022: At that time, BTC had a slight recovery but it was not significant, then it still dropped to create a lower bottom and showed positive divergence, this point should be noted.

📅 Daily frame (D)
Moving to the daily candle, the series of small body candles indicates a lack of decisiveness from the buyers. Meanwhile, the sellers are waiting to sell ➡️ This shows a different picture from the long-bodied green W candle.

🔮 Scenario for next week
Due to the last 2 days of the weekend not having much volatility, currently, we can follow 2 scenarios:

📉 Bearish scenario (prioritized)
The price will recover to test the 74k zone and then drop to the 69k zone.

📈 Bullish scenario
The price will recover to test the 74k but will form a consolidation zone at this price mark to gain momentum for a breakout since it was previously strongly rejected.
➡️ If the price consolidates well in a smaller frame, opportunities for a long position can be sought 🚀

$BTC
#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

Market analysis on March 15
- $BTC The trend of the day is still increasing with a very narrow range, the price is still within the inside bar candle of March 11, along with the KC EMA50 right above, a high closing volume today will signal whether the price closes above or below the inside bar candle, if it closes above 71.4k a high volume BTC will continue to run strongly according to the scenario of BTC returning to 74-75k and successfully testing this zone will continue to 80-85k. If it closes below the inside bar candle, the view is a deep drop to 62-60k to test the local bottom again.
- $ETH The daily frame is trying to break the price range of 2100-2200, if the daily candle breaks out successfully and the weekly candle closes positively, a very high volume ETH will soon have a rebound to 2450-2550, further to 2850. If the breakout fails, it will continue to fall back to the range of 1750-2150.
- Watchlist: FET - observe the price returning to 0.30-0.318
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

Skin in the Game - 2026-03-15 at 11:11

$BTC
- BTCUSDT closed candle on 2026-03-14: 🟢 up 0.40% (70,930.00 → 71,211.95 compared to 2026-03-13). Volume is smaller by 2.77 times compared to the previous day (13,017 vs 35,997).
- BTC increased slightly over the weekend, with a rise of 0.4%, marking the 6th consecutive bullish candle of the week, BTC is still gradually moving sideways up. The range of 76-78k is a low liquidity area, which is also a relatively weak resistance.
- The 3D and 1W frames are showing a trend of increasing again, but it is still not clear.
- Prediction: BTC is likely to have 2 scenarios next week: breaking up to the 76-78k range and retesting this area. Or it may drop to retest the strong support range of 66-68.6k once again before rising strongly again.

Market overview:
- Current trend: The 24h average RSI is 48.2 indicating that the market is still holding a neutral level. The 12h and 4h RSI levels are also hovering around 50, further indicating that neutrality is predominant.
- TOTAL 1-3 also lost liquidity with very little difference of 0.35% compared to yesterday.
- Daily leaderboard: $COS , $APR

Actions:
- Rest, plan trading for next week
- Watchlist long: WIF, SARAHA, FIL

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

I still maintain the scenario that $BTC will fluctuate around the box and retest the 74k mark next week. There may be a spike creating FOMO up to the 76k area, but we need to consider the candle strength.

Looking at the larger 26D frame, it can also be seen that the market is trending down. However, according to my prediction, there will be a strong increase in the markets in May-June.

Market news, whether at the micro or macro level, such as war, oil, gold, blah blah blah, also has a prepared scenario, so I'm the same, practicing to draw the BTC scenario.

Once drawn, it's necessary to train seriousness, reduce laziness to follow the outlined plan.

Coins that can be added to the observation list: FET, TAO, VVV, ARIA, UMA, JASMY. Just to be in there, but still need to spend time analyzing again. This weekend I'm busy, so I haven't checked the chart much.

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

03/15/2026
$BTC
The H9 frame is at the end of wave 5. The price is likely to test the 72k5 area before decreasing.
The H1 frame is at about wave 4.
In terms of timing, it may increase from now until Monday morning, 03/16, and then switch to a decrease according to the larger frame.

Plan:
Currently, I am still following the scenario of shorting BTC and other coins.

Watchlist:
1/ Short swing: BTC, $HYPE , $TAO

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

Skin in the Game - 2026-03-14 at 13:16

$BTC
- BTCUSDT closed candle on 2026-03-13: 🟢 increased 0.55% (70,541.34 → 70,930.00 compared to 2026-03-12). The volume was 1.64 times larger than the previous day (35,997 vs 21,997).
- BTC yesterday saw a strong upward force pushing the price to 73.7k before suddenly reversing and decreasing until this morning, with volume twice the normal.
- Prediction: There is a possibility that today and tomorrow, over the weekend, there will be a slight downward adjustment or slight sideways movement to absorb the strong buying force from yesterday. Looking at next week, there is a chance it will retest 69k and then continue to rise.

Market overview:
- Current trend: The 24-hour average RSI is at 49.49, quite neutral, neither increasing nor decreasing. The market in general is sideways, watching long and short depending on the token, but pay attention to BTC.
- TOTAL 1-3 is up but has a long wick on top, similar to BTC; checking closely shows that TOTAL 3 > 1, indicating that BTC is making way for altcoins to rise over the last 1-2 days of this weekend.
- Daily leaderboard: BANANAS31, TRUMP, TAG

Actions:
- Watch long and short depending on the token, scalp remains the main
- Watchlist long: $WIF , $ZIL

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

📊 BTC Market Update

📅 Daily Frame (D)

BTC closed the daily candle with a very long pinbar candle as it touched the 74k mark, confirming a strong rejection price area 🔻
➡️ The buyers will temporarily not be able to overcome this frontline of the sellers.
After a day of strong volatility, the market is likely to cool down and may sideway lightly into the weekend.
📉 The RSI on the daily frame shows signs of peaking; it may take 1–2 days to intersect the moving average and provide the next trend signal.
⚠️ The worst-case scenario is that BTC will start to decline from this price mark, and the RSI will drop into the oversold region once again, creating a divergence signal, with the price falling below the 59k8 mark.

⏱️ Let's take a look at the 4h frame:
📉 The price has dropped to the EMA21 and is temporarily maintained at this mark.
Although strongly rejected, it has not completely shifted to a bearish structure; the sellers have also not temporarily increased their selling pressure.
➡️ Therefore, the price has a chance to rebound slightly to test the 72k to 74k area.
👉 If signs of a lower peak appear, then short to the 67k mark.

📈 Long Scenario
The buyers need to hold the 69k mark and accumulate momentum around this level.
➡️ If accumulation is good enough, there may be a force to test the 74k area 🚀

📊 Next week is likely to continue to be a week of high volatility.
$BTC
#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

NAORIS has reached a critical point and is quite volatile, characteristic of wave 5, let's pay attention to the entry, SL, TP levels as follows, currently we focus on H1 first:
Entry 1: 0.07325
Entry 2: 0.07706
Entry 3: 0.08513
TP 1: 0.06727
TP 2: 0.06082

$NAORIS
#FromDustWeArise
@chanchan147

$BANANAS31 Today the prices are a bit high so I slipped on a banana peel. I, Banana, didn't pick up, just a little bit more to go. The timing is okay, but since the prices are a bit high, I can't predict much.

$BTC All day today has been a bit unstable, the candle strength has weakened. It is expected that next week the trend will mainly be downward until March 19.

I went around the news so I note it here:
- In May, there is expected to be strong fluctuations when Mr. Powell ends his term. The volatility will affect not only the crypto market.
- In November, there will be results from the midterm elections in the US. It started from March 3.

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ Today I am busy cleaning the house so I’m a bit late by 40 minutes 😂

03/14/2026
$BTC
Yesterday, BTC reached the old local peak range of 73-74k and is showing signs of creating a peak in this area. The daily candle from now until Monday will determine whether BTC will continue to rise or not.
Currently, H9 has completed 5 upward waves and is shifting to a downward wave.
With the upward and downward candle forces being equal at present, the possibility of this being a peak or 78k being the peak remains equal. In the event that BTC continues to rise, before doing so, BTC will retrace to gather liquidity at 68-66k before increasing further.

Plan:
Wait for the H1 frame to pull back to the range of 72-74k to short again according to the D frame.
Pay attention to the 66-68k range as BTC may retrace to increase again under a low probability scenario.

Watchlist:
1/ Short swing: BTC, $SIREN ,... any altcoin

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

$ETH Today 13-14/3 let's discuss ETH:
- ETH frame W is currently sw in an upward price channel, the price has touched the lower edge of the channel and has signals to increase again as shown, if the price continues to burn according to previous scenarios, then it can be expected that ETH's W frame will have a decent rebound opportunity, observation range 3100-3300
- Frame D: selling pressure has shown a decreasing trend, however, the rebound force is still quite weak, so if it wants to increase immediately, it will be quite difficult, the important KC range 2200-2400 needs to be surpassed if it wants to go back to 3100-3300 (weekly frame), so during this period observe the interaction price range 2200-2400 break + expected volume will increase strongly, while a failed break will continue to sw in the price range 1800-2200.
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise
$ETH $BTC

$BTC going seems quite similar to my 74k scenario, just that I haven't fully imagined the volume.
Predicted on 11/3 but it was only on 13/3 that it approached the 74k level.
The force on the D-frame downwards seems weak. The candles have been moving in the box for over a month without actually breaking out upwards. The volume generally remains flat.
Accumulating for quite a while without rising means that 74k could be the maximum retracement point for March.
The scenario for the second half of March is sideways down for BTC. The top coins are also following BTC, which is currently swaying in the sideways accumulation zone.
The time points to observe are 19/3 and 26/3 which may see strong fluctuations.

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

The Phoenix TAO resurrects from the ashes.

Today, during the peaceful weekend days, we analyze TAO, a name that is gradually resurrecting from the ashes.

Looking at the D frame, since February 6, 2026, TAO has accumulated and entered a strong upward trend, most clearly reflected in recent days with green candles and a significant increase in trading volume. After experiencing 6 consecutive days of increase, the possibility of TAO adjusting this weekend is high.

The H4 frame is still showing a very strong upward trend; however, a pin bar candle has appeared with an upper wick, indicating an imminent pullback to start the adjustment trend.

In the H1 frame, the green candles with trading volume twice the average are dominating the red candles, indicating that the long position still holds an advantage over the short position. However, the short position is gradually gaining strength at the current price level as the red candles, accompanied by high trading volume, are becoming a significant counterweight.

In the M15 frame, TAO has entered an adjustment trend with red candles, and high trading volume is continuously appearing, pushing TAO into a downward trend in the smaller frame. Therefore, monitoring or allocating funds to short scalp is also a very worth considering option.

Conclusion:

From the H4 frame upwards, TAO will continue to maintain the upward wave from the H4 frame upwards, so it is necessary to have a suitable plan and capital management method.

However, in the smaller frame, TAO has shown a downward wave from H1 to M15, so it can be utilized for short scalp.

Note short entry: 245 with TP 223 or wait for long if you do not prefer scalp.

$TAO
#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

Skin in the Game - 2026-03-13 at 07:39

$BTC
- BTCUSDT closed candle on 2026-03-12: 🟢 up 0.50% (70,191.86 → 70,541.34 compared to 2026-03-11). The volume is less than 1.24 times compared to the previous day (21,997 vs 27,249).
- BTC today is trending upwards as checking smaller frames H4, H1 shows that at 7 AM today BTC had strong upward momentum with volume higher than MA20 on H4.
- Prediction: The possibility of BTC rising strongly today to 72.5-73k then by the weekend will have a slight pullback, next week will reverse downwards. Next week we will review again.

Market overview:
- Current trend: 24h average RSI is 49.24, indicating that the market is trending upwards again, BTC is the main driver pulling the market up. Positioning long with the trend.
- TOTAL 1-3 closed slightly sideways, but slightly higher is TOTAL 1 > TOTAL 3. Indicating that BTC is still being paid more attention than others.
- Daily leaderboard: LYN, UAI, COLLECT, RIVER, TURBO

Action:
- Watchlist long: $TRUMP , $WLD , HBAR, FIL, WIF
- Watchlist short: GTC, ZRO, ALPINE, TON

@Chan Chảnh Choẹ
#FromDustWeArise

03/13/2026
$BTC
Thus, BTC still chooses to follow the scenario of rising to 74k-78k as I have viewed in recent days.
The H9-D frame and the D frame are increasing in the middle of wave 3, likely to test the 74k area again. The H1 frame has also exited the accumulation zone of 71k-69k with convincing bullish candles.
RSI H1 and H4 have also risen to 57 for the first time in about a week, indicating that this could be a sign of an altcoin rally in the coming week.

Plan:
During the upward movement of BTC and altcoins like this, one can consider continuing to long BTC or major altcoins, most altcoins are experiencing upward momentum.

Watchlist:
1/ Long bias: BTC, DOT, NEAR
2/ Short swing: $SIREN , $HYPE
3/ Short scalp: NAORIS, CFX

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

📊 BTC — Market update
🚀 Thus, BTC has followed the upward scenario from the 69k area and consolidated close to the diagonal trend line, with a slight upward wave at the beginning of June 13.
If this setup is utilized in the 1H timeframe, a 3R profit could be achieved at the beginning of the day. 💰

📅 Daily overview (D)
BTC on the daily chart closed with a green hammer candle with lower volume than average, continuing to support the short-term upward trend. The next level to watch is 72k7, where the price was previously rejected.

➡️ This will continue to be the next resistance level that may cause the price to continue consolidating in the smaller timeframe. For now, all indicators are showing signs of supporting the upward direction.

🌍 Macro indicators
📊 BTC.D is temporarily sideways with small candles, but in the 4h timeframe, it shows a picture supporting the upward trend with doji candles closing above EMA21.
📉 STABLE.D is similar to BTC but in the opposite direction, showing clearer signs of decline → supporting the upward trend on the daily timeframe.
📉 Others.D shows weak strength, sideways for many days, with indicators in a balanced area showing no clear trend.
➡️ The money has not yet flowed into altcoins, so a strong enough upward wave has not been created.

🔮 Scenario for today
🚀 Bullish scenario:
At the beginning of the Asian session, the price has risen significantly, and RSI is overbought in the 1h timeframe, so it may be wise to wait for the price to approach the nearest peak and create a consolidation area. If price action supports the upward direction 👉 It may be possible to long up and expect to reach the price range of 78k – 80k.

📉 Bearish scenario: If momentum weakens and signs of reversal appear. It may be possible to short down to the previous consolidation area at 70k.
$BTC
#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ

$LYN I feel like I'm facing the market more easily and lightly now.
LYN gives me a good TP, about 15% spot, and I anticipated that LYN would drop soon, but I forgot the wheel's momentum needed to slow down. However, LYN is slowing down the drift system, it flipped unexpectedly and hit me once, twice. The third time, oh WTH, the price slid past my set SL. Feeling a bit annoyed, I noticed myself getting a bit heated. It's quite different from last year, diving in again to see when it will go down, yesterday I felt some tension rising within me so I stopped to watch what it was trying to do. 3 hits means 3 days of monitoring, no longer rushing into 3 orders in an hour 😂 to see who outperforms whom.

But when it swept through, I was indeed busy at that moment but I glanced at the chart, I hesitated, had it swept through already? Or is it like the last time with $ZEC going up again? Is the structure really clear yet? Am I being fixated on the short position? Surely in a split second, my brain had to process too many questions :))).
The interesting thing is that even at that moment, some part of me also sees the self-justification for not entering the trade.

Over 2 weeks and $LYN have given me enough experiences, from full topping, stop loss bonus with slippage, to missing out on a good trade and reflecting on emotional behavior as if I were watching my own Inside Out movie. 😂

P/S: LYN fluctuates but is very precise with infinite fibo. :)))
#FromDustWeArise
@chanchan147

NAORIS, a roller coaster ride of emotions.

Today we will analyze a relatively new name in the crypto space: NAORIS from a technical analysis perspective.

Looking at the D timeframe, NAORIS has experienced 4 consecutive days of increases with long green candles and very high trading volume above MA20. Looking back, we can see a fairly common behavior pattern of NAORIS is to rise sharply, sweep the wicks to take liquidity, and then drop very deep. That is why I call this token a roller coaster ride of emotions, going from euphoria to the abyss.

On the H4 timeframe, after a very strong upward trend since 08/03, NAORIS has entered a sideways trend. This is the wave 5 region of this timeframe, so it promises to have many wicks that sweep liquidity before entering a corrective phase; we should pay close attention from tonight until 11 PM to wait for the wick-sweeping candle to finish before potentially entering a short position.

On the H1 timeframe, NAORIS is in a very tight and uncomfortable sideways range, seemingly testing the patience of both long and short players. Note, the wave starts from the area of frustration/loss of patience, which is why focus is needed to find a short entry to anticipate the H4 downward wave.

Conclusion:

After analyzing multiple timeframes, NAORIS is likely to enter a corrective wave from now until the end of the week according to the H4 timeframe.

Remember to set alerts at certain price levels like: 0.061, 0.062, 0.063 to wait for the price to come down here to consider shorting.

$NAORIS
#FromDustWeArise
@chanchan147

12/03/2026
$BTC
As observed yesterday, BTC is experiencing a rebound according to the H9-D frame.
H1 has formed a bottom around 68k and is continuing to approach the peak region of 71k with convincing candle strength, indicating the potential to break the local peak of 71k to reach 74k. Currently, I am still sticking to the scenario of BTC rebounding to the 78k region.
The RSI of most altcoins remains around the 50 region in various frames. It is possible to rely on the RSI signal starting to rise from the 50 to 60 region... to target those altcoins for a long position.

Plan:
Long BTC and major altcoins
Short the altcoins that have increased significantly (be patient as this is BTC's upward phase)

Watchlist:
1/ Long swing: BTC, $DOT
2/ Short swing: $SIREN

#FromDustWeArise
@Chan Chảnh Choẹ