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The probability of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December has officially fallen below 50%, triggering fresh waves of fear across global markets — especially crypto.
Just a week ago, expectations for a 25 bps cut were sitting comfortably at 67%. Today, they have sunk to 45.9%, reflecting rapidly declining investor confidence and tightening liquidity conditions.
This shift comes at a time when the crypto market is already bleeding, with Bitcoin sliding and altcoins showing deep red across the board. A December non-cut could become the next catalyst for further downside.
📉 Why the Odds Are Falling
According to CME FedWatch data, investors now believe the Fed may keep rates higher for longer due to:
Stubborn inflation signals
Tight labor market
Mixed economic indicators
Recent Fed statements signaling uncertainty
Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently said that a December rate cut is “far from a foregone conclusion”, adding that policy is not on a preset course. This single comment was enough to flip market sentiment.
💥 Impact on Crypto
Interest rate decisions hit crypto harder than most markets. Here’s why:
Rate Cut = Liquidity Inflow → Crypto Pumps
No Cut = Liquidity Drain → Crypto Dumps
The October rate cut was fully priced in — and yet the market continued to fall afterward.
This means traders are extremely sensitive right now, and any disappointment in December could trigger another round of panic selling.
⚠️ Experts Are Warning
Legendary investor Ray Dalio has warned that the Fed is “stimulating into a bubble,” calling the current environment historically abnormal.
He also suggested that excessive easing in a high-asset-price environment could push the economy toward hyperinflation risks.
🔍 What Happens Next?
If no December rate cut happens:
More crypto downside is likely
Fear & Greed Index could plunge
Bitcoin may retest lower support zones
Altcoins could experience deeper corrections
If a rate cut surprises the market:
Crypto may stage a sharp relief rally
Liquidity would return faster
$BTC and $ETH could rebound strongly
Altcoins might see explosive short-term pumps
🧩 Bottom Line
The Fed’s December decision has become the single most important event for the entire crypto market.
With odds slipping under 50%, traders must stay alert — because the next move from the Fed could define the market’s direction for months to come.
#CryptoNews s
#FederalReserve
#bitcoin
#MarketUpd

In a historic move, U.S. President Donald Trump has officially pardoned Changpeng Zhao (CZ) — the founder of Binance, one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges. 💥

According to reports, Trump signed the pardon after hearing claims that CZ faced unfair political pressure under the previous administration. The White House called it “the end of Biden’s war on crypto.” ⚡

CZ was sentenced to 4 months in 2023 after Binance’s $4B settlement over compliance issues. With this pardon, the U.S. government may now ease its scrutiny on Binance, potentially opening a new era for global crypto adoption. 🌍💎

Following the news, $BNB surged over 5%, hitting a new all-time high — and CZ’s net worth reportedly jumped to $87 billion! 📈

What are your thoughts on this massive development? 🤔💭
Is this the beginning of a new pro-crypto era under Trump? 🇺🇸🚀

#CZ #Binance #Trump #BNB #MarketUpd