maxpainzone

📊 Analysis of Options Expiry $ETH on Deribit Platform – September 19, 2025

– Current Price: $4,588 (+0.03%)
– Nominal Value of Options: $820 Million
– Maximum Pain: $4,500 – which is the price that market makers prefer the asset to expire at to minimize payouts to buyers

🔹 Sell/Buy Ratio: 0.98 – reflects a neutral state
🔹 Largest Buying Concentration: Between $4,600 and $5,000
🔹 Largest Selling Concentration: Between $3,600 and $4,100

📈 Open Interest Increased by 5% This Week, Resulting from Increased Buy Positions Above $4,500
📉 Sell Positions Decreased by 2% in the Range of $3,800–$4,200, Indicating Profit-Taking by Bears

🔍 Technical Reading:
– Rise in Call Options = Potential Short Squeeze if Price Rises Suddenly
– Drop in Put Options = Reduced Hedging, Reflecting Greater Confidence in Upward Trend
– Market Makers Will Often Push Price Towards $4,500–$4,600 Area as Expiry Approaches

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📉 Strange movement from $BTC today… and the reason? Options contracts!

Tomorrow, huge options contracts worth $22.6 billion expire, with a maximum pain level at 110K — this explains why the price is consolidating around this area now.

🧠 What is happening:
🔸 The market is temporarily restricting the movement of $BTC due to contract pressure
🔸 Settlements usually occur during the European session
🔸 The real movement starts after the opening of the American session
🔸 Once the contracts expire, Bitcoin is free to determine its next direction

⚠️ Historically, BTC tends to move towards the pain level before the contracts expire
📊 Currently, the contracts lean towards 107K–110K, with a clear dominance of puts
📈 However, the 112K area is considered the last line of defense for the bulls

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