Bitcoin: After the capitulation at $60,000, an expert predicts a new shock
Although analysts agree that the capitulation of Bitcoin at $60,000 has ended, Michael Terpin, CEO of Transform Ventures, raises the alarm. According to him, BTC could plummet to $40,000 before a sustained recovery. Between optimism and fear, what will happen to Bitcoin in 2026?
Michael Terpin believes that Bitcoin could test $40,000 or $50,000 again before a sustained recovery, despite the capitulation signals at $60,000.
Historical Bitcoin halving cycles suggest a final "critical point" before a significant increase, as seen in 2012, 2016, and 2020.
Recent analyses suggest that Bitcoin has completed its capitulation phase around $60,000. However, Michael Terpin, in his speech at Consensus Hong Kong 2026, expressed a dissenting opinion. He believes that the market remains fragile and that a final critical point could occur before a true recovery. In this sense, he suggests a possible drop of BTC towards $40,000 or $50,000.
This divergence of opinions generates uncertainty among investors, who are torn between the hope for a rebound and the fear of a new correction. Therefore, predictions vary between $60,000 as a minimum and $40,000 as a critical level to watch. Each scenario carries distinct risks, making decision-making difficult for market participants.
Bitcoin's halving plays a fundamental role in the dynamics of the market cycle. Historically, this mechanism has preceded periods of significant growth, such as those in 2012, 2016, and 2020. In fact, after each halving, BTC experiences a gradual increase in value, reaching its maximum approximately one year later.
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