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transitionpolitique

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Iran: leadership transition and responses to strikes, does the regime still hold?After the confirmed death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei during the American-Israeli strikes on 28/02/2026, Tehran claims to be managing the situation and continuing its strategic response, both militarily and politically 🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 as confirmed by L'Orient-Le Jour. As a result, to ensure the continuity of the State and to avoid a power vacuum, an interim steering council has been established in accordance with the Constitution. It notably includes the current president, the head of the judiciary, and Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, appointed interim supreme leader to oversee this critical phase, claims News.az.

Iran: leadership transition and responses to strikes, does the regime still hold?

After the confirmed death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei during the American-Israeli strikes on 28/02/2026, Tehran claims to be managing the situation and continuing its strategic response, both militarily and politically 🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 as confirmed by L'Orient-Le Jour.
As a result, to ensure the continuity of the State and to avoid a power vacuum, an interim steering council has been established in accordance with the Constitution. It notably includes the current president, the head of the judiciary, and Ayatollah Alireza Arafi, appointed interim supreme leader to oversee this critical phase, claims News.az.
🔎 IRAN: Realistic scenarios after the theocracy. Four credible trajectories are emerging: a transition towards a post-theocratic republic, the most likely scenario; a sudden and empty collapse of power, a high-risk regional scenario; a constitutional monarchy by referendum, a possible but minority scenario; an authoritarian hardening of the current regime. It should be noted that in no scenario is the return of the Pahlavis guaranteed. Nevertheless, in only one scenario does it become conceivable, provided there is a clear popular vote. In short, the resolution of the Iranian nightmare is not a name but legitimacy. $BTC $BNB $SOL {spot}(SOLUSDT) {spot}(BNBUSDT) {spot}(BTCUSDT) #Iran2026 #TransitionPolitique #Geopolitics #binanceWrite2Earn #Pahlavi
🔎 IRAN: Realistic scenarios after the theocracy.

Four credible trajectories are emerging: a transition towards a post-theocratic republic, the most likely scenario; a sudden and empty collapse of power, a high-risk regional scenario; a constitutional monarchy by referendum, a possible but minority scenario; an authoritarian hardening of the current regime.

It should be noted that in no scenario is the return of the Pahlavis guaranteed.
Nevertheless, in only one scenario does it become conceivable, provided there is a clear popular vote.

In short, the resolution of the Iranian nightmare is not a name but legitimacy. $BTC $BNB $SOL

#Iran2026 #TransitionPolitique #Geopolitics #binanceWrite2Earn #Pahlavi
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