Russia just gave Germany less than 2 weeks' notice.
Germany stopped buying Russian oil in 2022 and replaced it with Kazakh oil. The oil still travels through a Russian pipeline, so Russia still decides if it flows.
On May 1st, it won't.
The refinery that receives that oil supplies 90% of the gasoline, kerosene, and heating fuel for Berlin, its airport, and the surrounding region. A complete shutdown cuts 17% of what it processes overnight. The last time this refinery lost its main supply, it dropped to 50-60% capacity and Berlin faced fuel shortages within weeks.
The only alternative route is through the port of Gdansk in Poland. Poland is already using that capacity for its own refinery.
With Hormuz closed, there's no excess supply anywhere in Europe ready to fill a gap this size.
Germany spent four years claiming it had ended its dependence on Russian energy. The oil it replaced it with has been flowing through a Russian pipeline every day since 2022. Russia just showed who really owns that oil.
$LTC $ZEN $WIN #alemania #rusia