federalbank

🚨 US producer inflation exploded suddenly… and the market is starting to fear a return to Fed tightening.

Yesterday's PPI data was shocking:
Monthly inflation jumped to 1.4% instead of the expected 0.5% 😳
Core inflation also surged to 1.0% compared to the expected 0.3%.

This means that price pressures are still very strong, especially with the continued rise in energy and oil prices.

While a large part of the jump came from airfares, which rose by +3%, the market quickly understood the message:

📌 The Fed can't easily talk about cutting interest rates right now.

That's why 10-year Treasury yields are approaching 4.50%, while 10-year inflation expectations have reached 2.5%.

The difference here is very important 👇

In 2025, rising yields were scaring the market with the prospect of a debt crisis, but now high yields are directly supporting the dollar because the reason is inflation and high interest rates.

At the same time, markets are awaiting Trump's visit to China, as any positive talk about trade or Chinese pressure on Iran could temporarily ease concerns and slightly weaken the dollar.

📌 My prediction:

As long as bond yields remain above 4.40% and inflation is high, the dollar will remain strong, and any decline will be limited for now.

$XAU
$BTC
$USDC

#dollar
#Inflation
#federalbank
#Gold
#oil

Despite the change in the Federal Reserve Chair, the market remains pessimistic about a sharp interest rate cut next year

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#IbrahimMarketIntelligence

Standard Chartered Bank expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, while the previous expectation was no rate cut.
#StandardCharted
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#IbrahimMarketIntelligence

#عاجل | Jerome Powell:

💬 It's hard to find a job

💬 Raising interest rates is not the optimal solution

💬 4.2% is the minimum estimate for the long-term sustainable unemployment rate

💬 I do not see any increasing slowdown in the labor market, except marginally

#USFederal
#FederalBank | #Federal

#عاجل | Federal Reserve Chairman Powell:
💬 We have achieved three months of positive inflation readings, and the news is welcome.

💬 Inflation in the core services sector is declining.

💬 We have seen a slight increase in goods price inflation, and we expect to see more of that in the summer.

💬 Tariffs will take some time to successfully protect consumers.

💬 Many companies expect that some or all of the impact of tariffs will eventually be passed on to consumers.

💬 It takes time for the effects of tariffs on goods to reach consumers.
$SUI $XRP $BCH
#USFederal
#FederalBank | #Federal

#عاجل | Federal Reserve:

💬 The vote in favor of the policy was unanimous
💬 The unemployment rate remains low, and labor market conditions remain strong
💬 Recent indicators suggest that economic activity continued to expand at a strong pace
💬 Officials still expect a 50 basis point rate cut in 2025, but only 25 basis points in 2026, compared to 50 basis points in previous forecasts
$BTC $SOL $XRP
#USFederal
#FederalBank | #Federal

What is the impact of maintaining the federal interest rate on cryptocurrencies?

The U.S. Federal Reserve has decided to keep interest rates unchanged, a decision that is expected to affect the cryptocurrency market in several ways. In the short term, this decision may reduce sharp volatility, but it keeps pressure on liquidity due to the high cost of borrowing.

If the decision is accompanied by signals of a potential cut later, it may support investor confidence and boost demand for cryptocurrencies. However, if the Fed continues its tightening policy, it may drive investors toward safe havens, weakening the performance of Bitcoin and other digital assets.

Historically, low interest rates have been associated with strong speculative trades in cryptocurrencies, while high interest rates have led to sharp declines. Therefore, market expectations remain tied to the Fed's future trends and the strength of the U.S. economy.
$BTC
#federalbank

#عاجل | Gold prices have decreased by 12 dollars per ounce since the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at 3377 dollars
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#CRYPTO_YEMEN
#USFederal
#FederalBank | #Federal

#عاجل | Federal Reserve Chair Powell:

💬Avoiding persistent inflation ultimately depends on keeping long-term inflation expectations stable

💬Without price stability, long periods of low unemployment cannot be achieved

💬The forecasts of policymakers at the Federal Reserve are not a plan

💬For now, it is better to wait to learn more before considering policy adjustments

💬The forecasts of policymakers at the U.S. central bank are subject to uncertainty, which is unusually high
$BTC $ETH $BNB

#USFederal
#FederalBank | #Federal

#عاجل | The US dollar index falls after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 0.3% to 98.5

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#FederalBank | #Federal

The U.S. Federal Reserve challenges Trump and maintains interest rates between 4.25% and 4.5%

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#FederalBank | #Federal

#عاجل | Federal Reserve Chairman Powell:

💬The central bank is restructuring employment, and 10% of employees will be able to do something else.
💬Reducing the number of employees will not affect critical tasks, but it will require a lot of planning.
💬Of course, the Federal Reserve is monitoring the Israeli-Iranian conflict, and we are likely to see an increase in energy prices, but this generally tends not to have lasting effects on inflation.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#CRYPTO_YEMEN

#USFederal
#FederalBank | #Federal

The betting odds in the prediction market have indicated that the Chairman of the U.S. National Economic Council, Hassett, is likely to become the next Chair of the Federal Reserve again by a large margin, as they rose to 54% on Polymarket and 51% on Kalshi, while Trump's odds of nomination by Walsh and Waller ranked second and third respectively.
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#IbrahimMarketIntelligence

According to CME "FedWatch" data released on December 7,
the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in
December is 86.2%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 13.8%.
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on December 10 at 3:00 PM Beijing time on December 11 (Thursday), with expectations at 3.75% compared to 4.00% previously; at 3:30, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference on monetary policy.
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#IbrahimMarketIntelligence

#عاجل | Federal Reserve Chairman Powell:

💬 "Perhaps" we will see a continued slowdown in the labor market, but nothing to be concerned about.

💬 The housing situation is a long-term issue.

💬 Sentiment has risen from very low levels, though it remains low.

💬 We expect to learn a lot over the summer.

💬 As long as our labor market is doing well and inflation is

declining, the right thing to do is to keep interest rates unchanged.

💬 We need to know that the time will come when we have more confidence.

💬 I don't know where tariffs will settle; the situation is very uncertain.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
#USFederal
#FederalBank | #Federal

🚨 BREAKING

The FED printed $30 billion in just 2 days.

This is the biggest money printing event of the last 5 years.

The crypto market is about to go parabolic.

#federalbank $BTC

"Federal Reserve Speaker": The reduction of interest rates next year will primarily depend on three paths, and Trump will continue to challenge the independence of the Federal Reserve
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#IbrahimMarketIntelligence

Williams from the Federal Reserve: We support a 25 basis point rate cut last week, but it is difficult to judge the next step
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#IbrahimMarketIntelligence

"The spokesperson for the Federal Reserve": Reasons for lowering interest rates again in January are still insufficient
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#IbrahimMarketIntelligence

Federal Reserve Board member Waller said that job growth in the United States is approaching zero. It is still unclear how artificial intelligence will affect the labor market. Employment may be better in 2026 due to productivity growth.

Inflation is not expected to accelerate again. The labor market indicates that the Federal Reserve should continue to lower interest rates. The Federal Reserve can move at a moderate pace without having to take drastic measures. (Jin Shi)
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#IbrahimMarketIntelligence