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Predicted Price Trajectory for $HMSTR

At its launch, $HMSTR will have an initial circulating supply representing 64.38% of the total 100 billion tokens. Key components of the distribution include:

Player Season Rewards: 60% of the initial supply will be distributed to players, promoting engagement within the ecosystem.

Binance Launchpool: 3% of the initial supply will be made available through Binance Launchpool, encouraging early participation and staking.

For the first six months after the launch, no additional tokens will be released into circulation. This restricted release schedule aims to reduce initial selling pressure, as only existing token holders will be able to sell.

Post-Launch Token Release Schedule

From July 25, 2025, the token release schedule will accelerate, with the start of Season 2 player distributions and strategic allocations to partnerships and grants. Although the circulating supply will increase, these allocations are expected to be managed carefully to avoid excessive selling pressure. The team's tokens will not be unlocked until October 2025, and this allocation (0.16% of total supply) is small enough to minimize its impact on the price.

Comparison to Notcoin

A similar project, Notcoin, launched with an initial market cap of $1 billion, dropped briefly to $600 million, and then surged to a $2.69 billion market cap within a month—a nearly 3x increase from its lowest point. Given the similarities between Notcoin and Hamster Kombat, a comparable trajectory could be anticipated for $HMSTR.

Predicted Price Action for $HMSTR

Initial Launch Phase: $HMSTR is expected to launch with a market cap of approximately $1.3 billion. Initial selling pressure may be balanced by strong buying interest from those who missed the initial distribution and are motivated by FOMO (fear of missing out).

Price Dip and Recovery: After launch, $HMSTR could experience a brief dip to a market cap of around $1 billion, mirroring Notcoin’s early performance. However, within about two months, it is predicted to rebound to around $3 billion as more players engage with the Hamster Kombat ecosystem.

Downward Trend and Future Announcements: After reaching its peak, a downward trend is expected until new announcements from the Hamster Kombat roadmap rekindle interest. Key updates and features anticipated in late 2024 and beyond could trigger periodic price rallies.
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If you're debating whether to hold or sell your HAMSTR tokens after its listing on Binance, consider the following factors that could heavily influence your portfolio:
Excessive Supply Concerns
With 120 billion HAMSTR tokens in circulation, "Phase 2" reserves may be positioned as a way to retain holders, but it could also signal a potential exit by the team.
Eroding Community Confidence
Legitimate users are being banned for alleged violations, leading to a decline in community trust. This dissatisfaction may trigger sell-offs, pushing the token's value even lower.
Low Pre-Launch Enthusiasm = Uncertain Future
The muted excitement before HAMSTR’s launch is a red flag. With little attention, the token’s initial price could disappoint, causing many holders to dump their assets as soon as trading starts.
Limited Use Cases
HAMSTR lacks real-world utility, has an anonymous team, and a vague roadmap. This pales in comparison to projects like FLIP and BONE, which have clear use cases and active, supportive communities.
My Perspective: Exercise Caution
I’ve already sold 85% of my HAMSTR tokens because holding feels more like gambling than a sound investment. It's crucial to reevaluate your position and avoid emotional decisions, especially when a price drop seems likely.
Stay informed—don’t let emotions dictate your investment strategy.
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