Searching for the Sword: The S&P and Nasdaq are expected to peak around March 20, 2025, and reach a bottom on April 8, 2025!\nCurrent indicators: The S&P's daily MACD is opening downwards below the water line, and the RSI is below the midline, also opening downwards. The technical outlook is undoubtedly bearish. If the situation in the Middle East does not improve in the short term, this time the decline is very likely to be deeper than in March 2025. Personally, I am relatively optimistic about a drop to the 6100/6200 range.\nThe Nasdaq's technical performance is stronger than the S&P, mainly benefiting from the capital clustering around AI technology leaders and the premium on growth attributes: the top 5 weights in the Nasdaq (NVIDIA, Microsoft, Google, etc.) account for over 50%, deeply tied to AI computing power and large model dividends, with growth stocks proving to be more resilient than the balanced structure of the S&P.\n\nAlthough it follows the S&P's pullback, the MACD and RSI's downward slope is more gradual, with stronger buying support for core tech stocks. The expected decline will significantly narrow, primarily characterized by high-level fluctuations rather than a deep plunge like that of the S&P.\nNote: The strength of the Nasdaq essentially reflects the market's pricing of the "future growth story," which is essentially the speculative sentiment surrounding AI. Therefore, when trading the Nasdaq, one only needs to focus on one thing: the capital heat and sentiment changes regarding AI. Once the enthusiasm wanes, its downward extent may be greater than that of the S&P.\n\nAs for how to link it with the crypto circle, research it yourself!
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