On October 1, Iran launched a surprising offensive by firing nearly 200 missiles, including hypersonic missiles, toward Israel. This unprecedented move suggested an intensification of tensions between the two countries, a climate already weakened by Israeli threats to destroy Iran's nuclear and oil infrastructure.
In the first hours after the attack, the famous Iron Dome, Israel's anti-missile defense system, showed its limits. Several missiles hit their targets, causing significant damage on Israeli soil. At the same time, the immediate reaction of America, Israel's main ally, was an apparent disengagement, raising questions about the overall strategy of the United States in the region.
A measured Israeli response
Faced with this escalation, Israel responded on October 26, but in a surprisingly moderate manner. Although Israel targeted military centers in Iran, it avoided an all-out offensive, anxious not to plunge the Middle East into open conflict. Was this decision motivated by a recognition of Iran's retaliatory power, which could, if it wished, develop a formidable nuclear capability?
Far from responding with the expected ardor, Iranian authorities have also surprised by adopting a less bellicose tone. State media have downplayed the Israeli strikes, arguing that Iran has the right to defend itself while denouncing the attacks as provocations. Official statements suggest a desire to defuse tensions, even as the country remains vigilant against any aggression.
An uncertain future
The modulation of the response of the two countries raises crucial questions: Are we witnessing a change of tactics by both Israel and Iran? Have these key players in Middle Eastern geopolitics understood that the pure military option could lead to catastrophic consequences?
Stock markets, which are particularly sensitive to regional instability, have seen significant fluctuations in response to these events, illustrating investors' anxiety about a possible escalation of conflicts.
Faced with this complex situation, observers are wondering: will Iran be able to maintain this moderate tone, or will it feel the need to respond to each provocation with violence? Will Israel, for its part, choose to continue to act with restraint, or will it end up intensifying its attacks in response to a possible Iranian escalation?
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