The market scenario that I currently consider the most likely:

1. Bitcoin falls to 85-90k
2. Altcoins drop in panic by 15-20% alongside
3. Everything is bought back within 1-3 days
4. Bitcoin consolidates around 100-102k and stays there until mid-January
5. With a stable Bitcoin, altcoins start to gradually recover (by 3-10% per day)
6. After January 20, a bubble begins to inflate, triggered by Trump's team
7. Bitcoin rises to 145k by May. Altcoins give 10-20% per day against this backdrop
8. Mid-May. A series of sharp declines of 20-30% and rises of 10-15%. A bear market begins
9. Sharp declines of 30-50% occur without recovery
10. The market enters a flat phase