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Fed Chair Powell Hints at Rate Cuts: What It Means for the Economy Jackson Hole, August 22, 2025 – Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled that interest rate cuts may be on the horizon as the U.S. faces tariff-driven inflation and a slowing labor market. While unemployment remains relatively low at 4.2%, job growth has weakened, creating pressure for policy adjustment. Powell stressed that any move will be data-driven and independent of politics. Markets rallied on the remarks: • Dow Jones surged nearly 900 points, hitting a record high. • S&P 500 rose 1.5%, Nasdaq nearly 2%, and small-cap stocks gained about 4%. • Bond yields and the dollar fell as traders raised bets of a September rate cut to almost 90%. Potential impacts of rate cuts: • Boost growth by lowering borrowing costs, encouraging spending and investment. • Support jobs by helping businesses retain or add workers. • Hurt savers and retirees, as returns on deposits and bonds decline. • Risk of inflation if demand overheats, though Powell pledged vigilance to keep it anchored at 2%. Bottom line: Powell’s shift signals a possible policy pivot in September. If managed carefully, lower rates could stabilize the economy, but the Fed faces a delicate balance between growth and inflation. ⸻
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