⏰ Update at 16:23 on 08/08/2025
$TON has accelerated strongly, reaching a peak of 3.3846 before slowing down in the 3.36 – 3.37 range. Everything at this moment resembles the calm before the storm – peaceful but harboring enormous energy. The question posed: will the next wave push the price further or pull it back to a deeper support zone?
🕓 4-hour frame – A recovery trend is forming
After the drop from 3.7484 to a low of 3.1394, TON has bounced back and maintained above both EMA7 (3.3323) and EMA25 (3.3372). This is quite a positive signal for the short-term trend.
MACD has crossed above the signal line and the histogram is slightly positive, indicating that buying pressure is returning.
RSI(6) is around ~67, not yet in the overbought zone but showing good momentum.
➡️ Assessment: The 4-hour frame leans towards an uptrend, as long as TON maintains above the support range of 3.33 – 3.34.
⏱️ 1-hour frame – Buying pressure is overwhelming, price closely follows EMA7
In the 1-hour frame, TON had a strong upward movement from 3.2939 to 3.3846, followed by a slight correction and then bounced back. The price is currently above EMA7 (3.3486) and EMA25 (3.3226), indicating that the uptrend is still being maintained.
MACD has just crossed into positive territory, green histogram is expanding – clear buying force.
RSI(6) around 72, slightly high so there may be short-term fluctuations before further increases.
➡️ Assessment: The 1-hour frame is currently 'strong', but it is necessary to pay attention to a short pause to reduce RSI.
🕒 15-minute frame – Short-term upward movement is ongoing
The 15-minute chart shows that TON has broken out of the sideways range of 3.316 – 3.34, surged to 3.3846 and is currently holding a good price. EMA7 (3.3616) is supporting the price.
MACD is positive and expanding, RSI(6) is around ~77 – signaling strong momentum but also warning of potential slight corrections for balance.
➡️ Assessment: The 15-minute frame still shows strong buying pressure, but there may be a few red candles to 'catch breath' before testing 3.38 again.
📌 Summary of personal view:
TON is giving positive signals in all 3 frames, especially the 4-hour frame shows a clear recovery trend. The smaller frames (1h, 15m) are slightly overbought but show no signs of large distribution. The 3.33 – 3.34 range is an important short-term support.
🎯 Personal setup (Long):
Entry: 3.34 – 3.36
Stop Loss: 3.31 (below EMA25 in the 4-hour frame)
Take Profit 1: 3.38
Take Profit 2: 3.42
Take Profit 3: 3.48 if there’s a strong breakout
📌 Order management: When TP1 is reached, move SL to break even to reduce risk.
🚀 Monitoring scenario:
🔸 Bull case: Stay above 3.34 and break 3.38 → targeting 3.42 – 3.48.
🔸 Bear case: Losing 3.31 → deep correction to 3.27.
👇 How do you guys feel about holding TON? Should we wait for a break at 3.38 to buy more or take short-term profits?
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