no one cares what he says.. he's an idiot

What Did Elon Musk Say?

Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and SpaceX, recently warned via X (formerly Twitter) that “Japan will lose almost a million people this year,” referring to the rapid population decline unfolding in 2025 — a crisis decades in the making. He specified that artificial intelligence (AI did not cause this downturn), but stressed that AI could be the only hope for addressing the fallout.The Times of India+1
Why Japan Is Shrinking So Fast

1. Births vs. Deaths: An Ever-Worsening Gap

In 2024, Japan recorded approximately 720,988 births, the lowest number since record-keeping began in 1899, alongside 1.6 million deaths — resulting in a once-in-history net decline of nearly 900,000 people.Financial TimesNew York PostXinhuaJapan DailyYahoo News
Official figures show that this staggering drop indeed validates Musk’s warning. It marks the largest annual decline since post-war data collection started.The Times of India+1Squirrels

2. A Rapidly Aging Society
Around 30% of Japan’s population is over the age of 65, while the working-age group (15–64 years) constitutes just under 60%. This imbalance burdens the healthcare, pensions, and social services systems.New York PostJapan DailyWikipedia

3. Long-Term Structural Issues

The population has declined for over 13 to 16 consecutive years, depending on whether foreign residents are included. Estimates suggest the working-age population could shrink by 31% between now and 2060.New York PostXinhuaU.S. NewsWikipediaThe fertility rate dropped to around 1.20 children per woman, far below the replacement level of 2.1, deepening the crisis.The TimesTokyo WeekenderWikipedia

What Lies Behind the Collapse?

High costs of living, economic insecurity, and evolving social norms have dissuaded young people from marrying or having children.
While government incentives — like free childcare, boosted maternity support, four-day workweeks, and even matchmaking AI — are in place, they’ve had limited impact so far.New York PostFinancial TimesU.S. NewsCBS NewsThe Times
Can AI and Tech Help?

Musk suggests that AI could be pivotal in easing the demographic crunch — from enhancing productivity and automating healthcare to supporting elderly care services. While this offers a ray of hope, technology alone cannot fully counteract decades of demographic decay.The Times of India+1
Big Picture: Japan as a Harbinger

Japan’s demographic collapse is not an isolated phenomenon. Other developed nations — such as South Korea, Italy, and beyond — are facing similar fertility and aging challenges. Japan could serve as a global warning and a blueprint for tackling or mitigating these demographic hurdles.
Summary: The Urgent Reality

2024 saw the largest population drop in Japan's modern records — nearly 1 million fewer people.
Decades of declining birth rates and rising deaths, coupled with an aging populace, have created an existential crisis.AI may help, but structural policy changes — such as immigration reform, robust family support, and cultural shifts — are crucial for recovery.
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