姓赵不宣
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Bullish
🚨4-Year Cycle Simulation Highlights (Not Investment Advice)🚨
⚡️Short-Term Volatility
▫️Q3-Q4 may retest strong support at $68K-$73K (Miner Cost + CME Gap)
▫️Weekly TD9 Sequence is about to be reached
🚀Main Uptrend Logic
✅Dual Cycle Resonance: Halving Effect (May 2024) + Federal Reserve Liquidity (Q4 2024)
✅Whale Cost Anchor: Institutions building positions at $65K-$70K / Mining Machine Iteration Cost at $58K
✅Policy Catalyst: U.S. Crypto Legislation may accelerate
🎯Target Trajectory
▫️Conservative Target for H1 2025 at $114K (1.618 Fibonacci Level)
▫️Trump Cycle Exceeding Expectations Scenario $160K+ (Benchmarking Gold 5% Market Value)
⚠️Risk Warning
▫️Monthly RSI > 90 will trigger epic overbought conditions
▫️Whale Position Concentration has reached levels seen on the eve of the 2021 Bull Market
▫️Black Swan Monitoring: U.S. Treasury Liquidity / Middle East Situation
⚡️Short-Term Volatility
▫️Q3-Q4 may retest strong support at $68K-$73K (Miner Cost + CME Gap)
▫️Weekly TD9 Sequence is about to be reached
🚀Main Uptrend Logic
✅Dual Cycle Resonance: Halving Effect (May 2024) + Federal Reserve Liquidity (Q4 2024)
✅Whale Cost Anchor: Institutions building positions at $65K-$70K / Mining Machine Iteration Cost at $58K
✅Policy Catalyst: U.S. Crypto Legislation may accelerate
🎯Target Trajectory
▫️Conservative Target for H1 2025 at $114K (1.618 Fibonacci Level)
▫️Trump Cycle Exceeding Expectations Scenario $160K+ (Benchmarking Gold 5% Market Value)
⚠️Risk Warning
▫️Monthly RSI > 90 will trigger epic overbought conditions
▫️Whale Position Concentration has reached levels seen on the eve of the 2021 Bull Market
▫️Black Swan Monitoring: U.S. Treasury Liquidity / Middle East Situation
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