Taro Kaiso dares to dissolve the House of Representatives election in advance, relying entirely on that outrageous support rate: 78.1% among the public, with the younger generation exceeding 90%, far surpassing the Liberal Democratic Party's 30% support rate. The core of this support is surprisingly her extreme anti-China stance. When a politician gains such high recognition through anti-China sentiment, the current atmosphere in Japan has already made people sense the taste of the eve of the Marco Polo Bridge Incident in 1937.
Today's Japan has experienced 30 years of economic stagnation, with wages not increasing for over 30 years, barely maintaining the facade of a developed country relying on the legacy of the 1980s and 1990s. However, this facade is being completely torn apart by the encirclement of industries from China and South Korea, as well as China's dual-use item regulations. China's recent regulations cover over 900 items, directly hitting the foundation of Japan's 'hiding the military in the civilian' strategy—this country, which relies on civilian industries to support the military industry, has its lifeline in high-end manufacturing firmly grasped, with core industries like automobiles and semiconductors suffering heavy blows, GDP dropping from 62 trillion to 40 trillion USD, and new tracks yielding no results, becoming a developing country is just a matter of time.
Such a predicament leaves Japanese youth with no hope. They know that in terms of conventional industrial competition, Japan is simply not China's opponent, and the future may only hold low-level jobs like washing dishes or working as caregivers. This despair is reminiscent of Japan before the February 26 Incident in 1936. Back then, after the Great Depression, Japanese companies went bankrupt, banks closed, and the youth unemployment rate soared to 32%. The lower class saw no way out, and the younger generation initiated a coup. However, the solution from Japan's elite was not to improve people's livelihoods, but to shift the conflict—accelerating the full-scale invasion of China and seeking an 'outlet' for young people through external expansion.
History is repeating itself, just in a different form. Today's Japan, the logic of suppressing the right has long been ineffective: in the past, economic prosperity allowed the people to live well, and naturally, no one wanted to tread the old path of aggression. But now, the industry has collapsed, hope is gone, and the right has risen to take advantage of the situation. What is even more concerning is that the Japanese Self-Defense Forces have long been taken over by the far-right; descendants of war criminals from the invasion of China have been promoted to key positions in the Unified Command Headquarters specifically for operations against China, their intentions are obvious.
From economic decline and despair among young people to the far-right controlling the military and politics, contemporary Japan has almost gathered all the core risk factors from 1937. This country, which loves to gamble on its national fortune, has once again reached a crossroads of 'taking a gamble,' and the high approval rating of Kishi Matsumoto is merely a manifestation of this madness.
But Japan has forgotten, and China is no longer the China of 1937. The high approval rating of Kishi Matsumoto is not a bad thing for us; it completely shatters unrealistic fantasies and allows us to see Japan's true intentions. The lessons of history have never strayed far, and today's China has enough strength and confidence to maintain peace and uphold its bottom line.
