What is happening right now:
• Hostile troops continue their offensive in Donbas, particularly around Pokrovsk and Donetsk, with fierce fighting.
• The Estonian intelligence says that Russia does not have the resources for a major strike against NATO this year but plans to strengthen its forces on the border and does not intend to accept defeat.
• Macron warns of a geopolitical rift in Europe and calls for dialogue with Russia, which sparks discussions in the EU.
• Hostile airstrikes on Ukraine continue — in Kramatorsk, residential areas were hit, people are dying; they are forcing preparations for a winter energy crisis.

Casualties and pressure on the “enemies”:
• According to various estimates, Ukrainian military forces inflict significant losses on Russian forces daily, both in personnel and equipment.

What this really means:
• The enemy has not broken — but has not turned the tide of the war in its favor either. Positional battles, artillery shelling, and missile strikes continue without pause.
• The strategic pressure from the enemy on Ukraine's energy and critical infrastructure remains a tool of war even in the midst of cold weather.
• Geopolitical contradictions within the West deepen uncertainty regarding future negotiations.