#TrenddingTopic #WhaleActivity
Bitcoin is trading in the range of 67,000 – 68,000. This is a stabilization after a very volatile week: from a low of ~60,000 dollars (beginning of February) through a rebound to ~71,500–72,000 dollars (February 6–7) and subsequent pullback.
Dynamics over the last few days (approximately February 5–12, 2026)
February 5–6: sharp drop to ~60,000–62,700 dollars (capitulation, massive liquidations, outflows from ETFs).
February 6–7: powerful bounce +15–18% from the minimum to ~71,000–72,000 dollars (inflows into ETFs, liquidation of short positions, buying at lows).
February 8–10: consolidation/small pullback to 68,000–70,000 dollars (volumes are high, but momentum is fading).
February 11–12: price fluctuates around 66,000–69,000 dollars with attempts to bounce (today +1–2% from yesterday's close ~67,000), but without a confident breakout upwards. Over the last 24 hours minimum ~66,650, maximum ~68,000–68,900.
Overall weekly summary: price in a range of 65,000–72,000 dollars after deep stress. Trading volumes remain elevated (40–50+ billion dollars per day), indicating a continuing struggle between buyers and sellers.
Trends (on-chain and market data)
Accumulation of large holders: one of the strongest trends. Wallets >1,000 BTC accumulated ~53,000 BTC over the last 7 days (the most aggressive increase since November 2025, ~3.6–4.7 billion dollars at current prices). Accumulating addresses received a record 66,940 BTC in one day (February 6). This is a classic signal of confidence from long-term players in value at current levels.
ETF flows: mixed. January–early February — strong outflows (~1.9–2.8 billion dollars over periods). But from February 6–10 inflows resumed: +371 million (Friday), +145–167 million (Monday), total over several days ~500+ million. This is stabilization, but not aggressive inflow.
Other on-chain signals:
Realized losses reached a historical maximum last week (~3.2 billion dollars per day).
Exchange outflows are rising (average 30-day outflow ~3.2%), coins are moving to cold wallets (long-term storage).
RSI on the weekly chart is at extremely low levels (similar to 2015 and 2022 — often precedes bottom formation).
Macro and sentiment: strong employment data in the US (NFP above expectations) reduce Fed easing expectations → risk-off remains. Correlation with stocks is high, but crypto lags (divergence).
Forecast of further movement
Short-term (next days–1–2 weeks):
Base scenario (~55–60%): range of 65,000–72,000 dollars with attempts to test 70,000+. The bounce may continue if ETF inflows stabilize >200 million/day and mega-whales do not stop buying. But without a strong catalyst (Fed easing, macro turnaround) the upward momentum is weak — a retest of 65,000–66,000 or lower is possible.
Bullish scenario (~25–30%): breakout above 70,000–72,000 towards 75,000–80,000, if inflows accelerate and short liquidations increase.
Bearish scenario (~15–20%): resumption of decline to 60,000–62,000 (or below 58,000 in a panic), if ETF outflows return and macro worsens.
Medium-term (February–March 2026):
The market looks like a deep correction in the post-halving cycle (2024), rather than a new bear market. Accumulation by mega-whales is earlier and more aggressive than in similar phases of 2022 — this lowers the likelihood of a decline of 70%+. If ETF inflows stabilize and macro does not worsen significantly — a return to 80,000–100,000+ by the end of the quarter is likely. The risk of a scenario with a bottom around 40,000–50,000 remains low (~20–25%), but is possible in a strong risk-off.
Critical levels:
Support: 66,000–65,000 → 62,000–60,000 (key February low).
Resistance: 70,000 → 72,000–75,000.
Watch daily ETF flows (Farside/SoSoValue), liquidations, and on-chain accumulation (>1,000 BTC). As long as large holders continue to buy — this is the main bullish factor in the current phase.#btc #accumulating #Whale.Alert $BTC