We are in a bull market. You may have a streak of winning trades and your analysis will work out so perfectly. But Remember that I'm not a genius, neither are you. We are just in easy conditions and eventually the market will turn around, You don't even have to be good at trading to nail these trades just go with the trend and you will make money.

If this is your first cycle, one thing I can tell you is you will have to pay your tuition to the market and it will be costly. Most of us will give back our bull market gains.
The best I can do is make educated guesses of where we are going. I still make mistakes daily. So take anything I say with a grain of salt. I just try to do the best I can and I will still mess up and hope I don't repeat them

At some point I'm going to get a lot wrong, like many others. Just try to learn as much as you can.

Enjoy the bull market until it lasts.