Even if it drops to 30000, it is still a full two times the bottom of the last bear market.

Those still shouting to buy the dip now are either foolish or malicious. Recognize reality: this is a bear market; do not go against the trend. The main downtrend of Bitcoin has not yet begun; give up the fantasy, protect your capital, and surviving is the only answer.

What we need to consider now is not 'will it drop', but 'how much will it drop and how long will it last'!

On the night of the last bear market's liquidation, I learned three major lessons: do not let greed drive your trading.

That night, the numbers on the computer screen were red enough to cause anxiety—within just a quarter of an hour, half of the capital vanished. The eight thousand dollars in the account were almost wiped out due to an impulsive 'all in' and 100 times leverage.

At that moment, all I could hear was my own heartbeat.

Only today do I realize: it was not a coincidence, but the market's 'welcome gift' to every newcomer—telling you in the most direct way: here, greed and recklessness will pay a painful price.

Since then, I have kept three major lessons in mind:

The market does not appreciate intelligence, it only favors discipline.

In the past, I would be delighted with any profit, considering myself a trading genius. The leverage increased, operations became more frequent, until repeated liquidations brought me back to reality.

Real contract experts spend most of their time waiting for the right opportunity. They lie in wait like hunters, only striking when they are most confident, hitting the target and steadily making profits. They are not greedy, do not cling to battles, and take profits when they can.

Emotions are the most extravagant expenditure in trading.

I have witnessed too many people tossing and turning due to losses, staring at the screen until dawn, the more anxious they are, the more mistakes they make, forming a vicious cycle. Once emotions dominate decisions, they become blind victims of frustration.

Now, I trade no more than twice a day. Frequent trading disrupts the rhythm and leads to repeated mistakes.

Regard the principal's safety as life

My iron rule is: single transaction losses do not exceed 2%, stop loss at the set point, never hesitate. When floating profits reach 50%, immediately withdraw the principal and continue to gamble with the profits—even if there are losses, there are no regrets.

Last year's SOL market, I grasped it this way. While others were busy chasing news and K-lines, I focused only on one signal: the Bollinger Bands converging, ready to expand, and I entered the market when it opened wide. I built my position in batches at the lower band, setting my stop loss at the previous low, strictly implementing it, and made thirty times profit in three weeks.

It is not that I can predict the market, but discipline helps me withstand fluctuations. Contract trading is, in fact, the art of risk management.