Brothers, I just came across Pig Brother's post, and it made Mouse's scalp tingle—Pig Brother conducted a deep analysis (March 3) of the blood moon + six-star alignment + Lantern Festival overlap, deducing from a metaphysical perspective that the market might stage a 'big V-shaped reversal.'
Mouse's first reaction: Did I drink too much?
But then I thought, people with an accounting background don't believe in metaphysics, but they must respect probabilities. Pig Brother has been in the crypto space for so many years, and the things he is willing to spend time researching must be worth our calculation.
What exactly is happening tomorrow?
Pig Brother's core logic can be summed up in one sentence: The blood moon signifies 'bad luck,' while the Lantern Festival signifies 'good luck.' Both bad and good luck manifest, first a drop then a rise.
Mouse translates into human language:
· Blood Moon (Virgo) = collective anxiety magnified, easy to panic sell
· Lantern Festival = Yang energy rising, emotions naturally recover
· Six Stars in a Row = energy amplifier, making volatility more intense
Conclusion: Tomorrow may first drop sharply and then rise sharply, making a deep V.
Second, three questions of accounting thinking
First question: is the account clear?
Calculating metaphysics is the hardest because it can't be verified with numbers. But Pig Brother even considered 'the weakening of the power of Six Stars in a Row', indicating that it's not just mindless shouting, but serious deduction. Mouse respects this attitude.
Second question: is risk calculable?
If it really walks in a V shape, what are you most afraid of? Buying at the bottom on the left side of the V.
When the Blood Moon is dominant, you don't know how much it will drop. Buying at the bottom on the left side might directly bury you. Waiting for the right side to confirm a rebound before entering means less profit, but you save your life. This is the first lesson taught to me by accounting thinking: better to earn less than to suffer a big loss.
Third question: is profit calculable?
The moment profit starts on the right side—when the market is at its most pessimistic and suddenly reverses, this kind of rebound is often fast and fierce. But the prerequisite for reacting quickly is: you have to be alive to wait for that moment.
Three, Mouse's operational plan
Based on the assumption that 'what if Pig Brother really hit it right', Mouse set three iron rules for himself:
1. Only watch tomorrow, do not touch
Volatility is about to explode, don't touch things you can't calculate. Prepare a watermelon, move the stool, and be a bystander.
2. If you really want to play, use 'mosquito meat'
Use 10U, 20U like buying a lottery ticket, if you lose, it won't hurt, if you win, treat it as extra chicken legs. Don’t get too excited.
3. Focus on two time points
· Downward phase: see if there is panic with increased volume
· Rebound confirmation: wait until it stands above key levels before considering, do not catch flying knives
Four, Mouse's heartfelt words
Accounting background, usually only trusts numbers and not fate. But after spending these years in the crypto world, I've discovered one thing: the market sometimes really doesn't make sense.
When things don't make sense, emotions and collective subconscious will come into play. You can choose not to believe in metaphysics, but you can't ignore emotions.
If tomorrow really forms a V shape, don't regret not buying at the bottom—those who survive are the timid. If it doesn't form a V shape, don’t laugh at Pig Brother—those willing to spend time researching are at least better than those who rush in with their eyes closed.
Finally, let me say something to my brothers: if you can't win with calculations, just grab a stool and watch the show. Holding a watermelon, laughing at the clouds, is also a kind of win.
Do you believe in metaphysics or data? Let's discuss in the comments.
PS: If Pig Brother sees this, Mouse pays you a salute—borrowed your viewpoint to write a paper, after calculating for a long time, you see if it's correct.
#血月 #元宵节 #玄学观察 #鼠鼠瞎聊 $BTC $ETH
