BREAKING NEWS: While the CPI reached a total of 327,460 points at the end of February, the probability of a recession this year reached a record high of 36%.

🇺🇸 USA Inflation Rate (CPI)

🇺🇸 2010 – 📈 1.6%

🇺🇸 2011 – 📈 3.2%

🇺🇸 2012 – 📈 2.1%

🇺🇸 2013 – 📈 1.5%

🇺🇸 2014 – 📈 1.6%

🇺🇸 2015 – 📉 0.1%

🇺🇸 2016 – 📈 1.3%

🇺🇸 2017 – 📈 2.1%

🇺🇸 2018 – 📈 2.4%

🇺🇸 2019 – 📈 1.8%

🇺🇸 2020 – 📈 1.2%

🇺🇸 2021 – 📈 4.7%

🇺🇸 2022 – 📈 8.0%

🇺🇸 2023 – 📈 4.1%

🇺🇸 2024 – 📈 3.2%

🇺🇸 2025 – 📈 2.7%

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED® and Kalshi (2026).