$BTC 24h Trend Projection
Current Price Reference: 71,704

Macroeconomic Aspect: There is currently no unilateral drive in the macro environment, and fluctuations are likely to amplify as the event window approaches; my conclusion is based on whether key price levels hold or break.

Multi-Timeframe Analysis:

4H: Bullish (structure determines the major direction)
1H: Bullish (determines today's main range)
15m: Range-bound (determines whether to follow the trend/retrace)
5m: Range-bound (determines entry trigger and false breakout)

Today I am only focusing on two price levels:

Upper Key Resistance R: 73,558 (if it holds and retests without breaking, bullish scenario is established)
Lower Key Support S: 71,180 (if it breaks and fails to retest, bearish scenario is established)

24h Two Scenarios (based on “confirmation”):

Bullish Scenario:
If it effectively holds above R and confirms on the retest → First target is around 73,914, if stronger then look for around 74,385, while paying attention to pullbacks.

Bearish Scenario:
If it effectively breaks below S and fails to retest → First target is around 70,964, if weakness continues then look for around 70,395, with a tendency for acceleration.

Invalid Condition: If the price oscillates between R and S, prioritize treating it as range-bound (do not chase highs and lows in the middle of the range).

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