1. Market Overview
The crypto market is in a recovery phase but has not yet confirmed a new uptrend.
BTC ~73,000–74,000 USD
ETH ~2,200 USD
Total crypto market capitalization is approximately 2.3–2.4T USD
The main factors influencing the market:
1️⃣ Institutional inflows returning
Bitcoin ETFs are seeing strong inflows again, supporting BTC prices.
2️⃣ Geopolitical tensions (Iran – Middle East)
Crypto is being viewed as a defensive asset in economic instability.
3️⃣ Altcoin has not entered the rising season
BTC dominance ~58%
Altcoin Season Index is still low.
➡️ Conclusion:
It is still a mild 'Bitcoin Season' – altcoin only increases selectively.
2. Notable coin group in the old list
Layer 1 / Infrastructure
APT
ALGO
XTZ
EOS
FIL
Characteristics:
Money flow returns to Layer 1 and blockchain infrastructure
but no major breakout yet
➡️ Strategy: buy at support – sell at resistance
DeFi
UNI
GRT
This is the group that is seeing money flow back to DeFi.
For example: UNI increased ~19% in the past week.
➡️ DeFi usually increases significantly when altcoin season begins
Layer 2
ARB
OP
Points to note:
token unlock this month
easily causes short-term selling pressure.
➡️ More suitable for short trading than holding
Payment / Old Cycle Group
LTC
XLM
BCH
DASH
This group:
good liquidity
often pumps with BTC
➡️ suitable for short-term futures trading
New narrative group
WLD
ENA
HYPE
Characteristics:
high volatility
easily has short squeeze
3. Overall technical trend analysis
BTC
Strong support: 68k
Medium-term support: 63k
Resistance: 75k – 78k
If BTC stays above 70k
→ altcoin will slightly recover.
If BTC breaks 68k
→ altcoin drops significantly.
⚠️ Important note:
BTC volatility may invalidate altcoin analysis.
4. Short-term trading strategy
Spot strategy (medium-term)
Only buy when the price reaches support.
Strategy: DCA when the market corrects
5. Futures strategy (short-term)
Scenario 1 – Market continues to recover
Long when retesting support.
Scenario 2 – BTC corrects
Prioritize Short
6. List of coins with the highest potential waves (short-term)
Current money flow:
Tier 1 – easy to trade
UNI
APT
FIL
ARB
OP
Tier 2 – high volatility
WLD
ENA
HYPE
Tier 3 – trade according to BTC
LTC
BCH
XLM
7. Risk warning
1️⃣ BTC dominance is still high (~58%) → altcoin has not entered a strong uptrend.
2️⃣ Fear & Greed is still in the Fear zone → the market is likely to be highly volatile.
3️⃣ If BTC drops sharply
→ altcoin may drop 2–3 times BTC
Conclusion
Current best strategy:
Spot
buy when altcoin corrects to support
do not FOMO when pumping
Futures
trade according to BTC waves
prioritize Short when altcoin pumps strongly
The current market is in the accumulation phase before altcoin season.
Wishing everyone prosperity
