Elayes(@Elayes)'s insights

🚨Data indicates that the probability of NATO's dissolution or collapse before 2027 has risen to 8%, a 3% increase in a single day, approaching its all-time high.
🗣️Reason: US President Donald Trump's statements that Washington no longer needs the alliance's help in dealing with Iran after the success of US military operations.
📉Market concerns: The possibility of a gradual US withdrawal or escalating divisions within the alliance.
🌍 Trump had pressured NATO countries to participate in reopening the Strait of Hormuz, warning of a "very bad future" for the alliance. However, most European countries refused military intervention, considering it outside the alliance's mandate.
⚡Although 8% is still relatively low, its rapid rise reflects growing concern about a potential internal crisis within the alliance.
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.css-1iqe90x{box-sizing:border-box;margin:0;min-width:0;color:#EAECEF;}🚨Data indicates that the probability of NATO's dissolution or collapse before 2027 has risen to 8%, a 3% increase in a single day, approaching its all-time high.

🚨Data indicates that the probability of NATO's dissolution or collapse before 2027 has risen to 8%, a 3% increase in a single day, approaching its all-time high.