$BTC #复盘 The original expected orange box (oscillating upward) logic has failed, and has instead entered the red box (breaking downward) 新批次已开启战法全新升级,尽早加入保持做单同步,聊天室内有提示注意点
1. The "cause of death" of the turning point: Why did the orange box collapse?
The marked black circle (key turning point) actually experienced a triple-dimensional "resonance collapse":
The pattern of "multiple kills": The price attempted multiple rebounds at $0.5$ Fibonacci midline ($69,208$) within the orange box, but each successive high point was lower (Lower High). This formed a micro "descending triangle" in shape, with that node being the end of the triangle. When the price broke below the gray diagonal trend line you drew, the long positions' stop-loss orders within the orange box were instantly triggered, resulting in a "vacuum drop" within the red box.
The technical indicator's "false breakout": Before the node, the price had attempted to touch the $70,000$ whole number level. For AI algorithms and quantitative robots, this is a "false breakout" signal for enticing longs. Once it is confirmed that it cannot stabilize, programmed sell-offs will increase exponentially.
The high-level "fateful gravity": This is the power of the previous 月线级别分析图. The monthly level has entered the strong bow's end of the "bullish month". This small-level "turning point" is actually the first signal of a downward reversal beginning at a large-level cycle.
2. The "actual line" in the red box: deeper detail information
Since we have now entered the red box, we need to dig into the secrets conveyed by these "lower shadow lines" within the red box.
The price precisely touched the $0.618$ life-and-death line at the bottom of the red box. Notice that there is a significant decrease in volume here. This indicates that the main force is not in a hurry to "bottom fish" here, but is "testing the waters". If this is the true bottom, there should be a volume increase in the rebound. The current weak recovery suggests that $0.618$ may just be a temporary "resting station", and there may be a "deep red box (liquidation vacuum area)" below the red box.
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