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Note that the
#BitcoinOG
just deposited another 40M
$USDC
into #Hyperliquid and is increasing his short position on
$BTC
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Bitcoin Faces Slide Towards $70K as Japan Rate Hike Odds Spike Bank of Japan rate hikes have consistently aligned with deep Bitcoin corrections: • March 2024: −23.06% • July 2024: −26.61% • January 2025: −31.89% On December 19, markets face a high probability of another rate hike from the Bank of Japan, a move that threatens to drain liquidity aggressively from global markets, especially high-risk assets. ⚠️ Pay attention: after the latest breakdown, market conditions are no longer healthy. $BTC
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ETFS ARE BUYING ETH AND BTC FASTER THAN NEW COINS ARE BEING CREATED Let’s look at the data. Last 7 days: Ethereum - ETFs bought 67,532 ETH - Network issued 18,577 ETH - ETFs bought 363.5% of weekly issuance Bitcoin - ETFs bought 3,170 BTC - Network issued 3,150 BTC - ETFs bought 100.6% of new supply So in both cases, ETF demand is matching or exceeding new supply. Yet prices have not moved much. When price does not react even after supply is absorbed, it usually means: - Some holders are still selling - Coins are moving from weak hands to stronger hands This is not a demand problem. Demand is already higher than new supply, but price is lagging. Now look at the size of these flows: - Ethereum ETFs bought roughly $208M worth of ETH - Bitcoin ETFs bought around $286M worth of BTC That’s a large amount of capital being absorbed without a major price reaction. In past cycles, this phase did not last very long. First flows showed up and then prices follower later. $BTC
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$BTC We are testing a daily trend line + Previous weekend lows. If we hold this area, we should see a bounce to the CME gap at 90.1K. Unable to hold on the other hand & we are going to 85-86K.
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$BTC approaches the lower boundary for yet another touch of the trend line. You can draw the pattern several ways (a bear flag or rising wedge in a downtrend) but they're all forms of bearish continuation patterns. This is due to the context (price *dropped* from over $106k down to $81k, forming the "flag pole"). Is the second image what we'll see? It is the more likely outcome due to the trend.
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This market is far more difficult than previous cycles, which is why there’s virtually no real edge or quality insight on this app. Many of the people who “won” in 2021 didn’t succeed because of skill, they succeeded because everything went up. It was easy mode. Beginner mode. The market rewarded participation, not competence. What you’re seeing now exposes a hard truth. Most people never understood the market in the first place. Instead of adapting and evolving, they’ve clung to the same methods that only worked in a vertical environment. To survive and make money in a market like this, you need traits that can’t be taught. Relentlessness. Obsession. Emotional detachment. Adaptability. Ruthless competitiveness. Without these traits, you will not beat the market consistently over a prolonged period of time. Be extremely selective about who you trust here. $BTC
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