The tension between Iran and America has once again reached a war-like level, but recent days have seen signed joint agreements and ongoing behind-the-scenes mediation processes suggesting that both countries are now shifting towards a political-military 'struggle-peace' rather than 'intense war'. ���

On what date did the war become intense?

The conflict between America and Iran entered a new phase in March 2026, when America intensified air and missile strikes on Iran, and Iran responded by increasing drone and missile attacks in the Gulf region.

This conflict has lasted for more than 20-25 days since the beginning of March, making the area around the Hormuz Strait particularly dangerous from a military perspective.

Military actions between America and Iran

America has claimed to have conducted modern air strikes on Iran's missile facilities, defense-industrial locations, naval forces, and air force technical capabilities, which the American government has referred to as 'Mission Iran'. ��

Meanwhile, drone and boat-missile attacks were carried out targeting oil vessels from Iran towards Gulf countries, leading nations like Bahrain, UAE, and Kuwait to declare a high alert status for missile and drone attacks. The American government has acknowledged that at least two fighter jets have crashed in the attacks launched by America, which is considered the first significant loss for America in this conflict's operations. �

The importance of the Hormuz Strait and its impact on the oil market

The Hormuz Strait currently accounts for nearly one-third of the world's oil supply; therefore, any blockage or investment in this area would directly affect oil prices and oil-related monarchies.

Iran has clearly warned that if America attacks Iran's energy facilities, it will close the Hormuz Strait, which America has strengthened its naval and air force units around to prevent as much as possible globally. ��

Modern diplomacy and resolution efforts

The current situation is such that it cannot be said that the war has completely stopped, but its intense phase has slowed down, and a line of partial ceasefire and dialogue has emerged. ��

More than direct talks between America and Iran, countries like Turkey, Egypt, and Pakistan are working as mediators behind the scenes, leading to a greater possibility of signed agreements by early April 2026. ��American President Donald Trump announced in April 2026 that 'Mission Iran' is nearing completion and now plans to gradually end military operations, which has resulted in a decrease in intense attacks. ��

After the two-week ceasefire and mediation, the path of the Iran-America conflict has developed as follows, largely based on mediation from countries like Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt, and global pressure agreements. ���

1. The purpose of the two-week ceasefire was to allow Pakistan's Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif to mediate two main requests: America should either slow down or suspend attacks for two weeks. Iran should keep the route open for oil tankers by not closing the Hormuz Strait. ��This two-week period was merely a temporary ceasefire aimed at halting military escalation to continue diplomacy. ��

2. The Connected Endgame Deal: When will the war end? During the two-week ceasefire process, mediating powers such as America, Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt prepared a structured final agreement: America officially announced that the war with Iran could be 'formally ended' on April 9, 2026, if Iran also agrees. ��Trump has made it clear over the 48 hours before and after this date that if a final agreement is not reached, America could intensify attacks on Iran's energy facilities and power plants. ���

3. Iran's Main Condition: Iran's post-war conditions have been very clear: The removal of all American economic and energy-related sanctions. ��The return of Iran's overseas frozen assets and the availability of some international funds for its limited reconstruction assistance. ��The reconstruction of Kharg Island and some critical energy facilities and reducing American control over them. ��Iran has made it clear that this is not a temporary ceasefire but a desire to respectfully conclude their security and capabilities. ��

4. Future Direction: After a two-week ceasefire and final agreements in the post-war Middle East, the following outcomes are possible: Direct military action between America and Iran will cease, but tension and caution will still be present. Countries like China, Russia, India, and Europe will continue to pressure Iran for partial or complete lifting of sanctions to improve the energy situation in the Middle East. Gulf countries near the Hormuz Strait are likely to maintain their defense capabilities and drone/missile defense, as Iran has repeatedly stated that it can 'close the Hormuz Strait again if necessary'. ��

5. Brief Conclusion: The two-week ceasefire was not just a break but a 'lifeline' for a final resolution. ��After that, work is ongoing on the timeline and conditions to formally end the war between America and Iran by April 9, 2026, which is still ongoing and has not been completely successful.