All those unexpected 'bull returns' and 'black swans' were actually written in the cycles long ago.
Each cycle, after a big bull market peaks and enters the first year of a bear market (2014, 2018, 2022, 2026), typically features a 'deceptive' monthly-level rebound.
2014 Bear: After experiencing a massive drop at the beginning of the year, we saw a volume-increasing green candlestick on the monthly chart, followed by a prolonged bear trend.
2018 Bear: The famous 'April rebound' led countless traders to believe the bull market had returned, only for the notable $6,000 support level to break.
2022 Bear: A brief pulse in March and April (the last party before the Luna crash), followed by the dual catastrophe of Luna and FTX.