Polymarket odds that the Strait of Hormuz will return to normal by May 31 fell to 43%, down 12% in 24 hours. The contract resolves to YES if IMF Portwatch reports a 7-day moving average of daily vessel arrivals at 60 or more on any date before May 31. Pakistani media said an Iranian delegation arrived for talks, while U.S.-Iran negotiations in Pakistan are set for tomorrow and focus on reopening the strait and extending the ceasefire.
