Trump, China and the Federal Reserve: the big game begins

Tariffs are falling — money is not yet.

Trump has expressed readiness to meet with Xi Jinping.

"He is my friend," says the US president.

But this comes against the backdrop of escalation: tariffs on Chinese goods have risen to 125%.

📉 China responds with tariffs.

📊 The US introduces a 90-day pause for other countries, but China is under fire.

💬 Hassett: "We are not at war with China" — the rhetoric is soft, actions are tough.

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🔍 What does this mean for the market?

- Trade tensions — a trigger for volatility.

- Tariffs are unstable, but for now — they are in effect.

- The Federal Reserve has not moved to QE, but expectations are rising.

- Money is scarce — the market awaits stimulation.

🕰️ Key timing:

- End of 2025 or March 2026 — a possible shift to QE, new head of the Federal Reserve.

- Cycle of changes — is near.

- Investors are preparing for a turnaround.

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💡 What to do?

- Keep focus on macro: rates, inflation, Federal Reserve rhetoric.

- Track signals: Trump’s statements, negotiations with China, changes in monetary policy.

- Prepare for spring: a turnaround may begin with a new head of the Federal Reserve.

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