Inflation hasn't ended with us yet 🚨 The latest update has just arrived - the core personal consumption expenditures index (the number closely monitored by the Federal Reserve) is at 3%. At first glance, nothing shocking. It landed exactly where experts expected. But here’s the part that really matters… this number tells a deeper story. Inflation is retreating, yes - we are no longer in panic territory. But it's also not dropping fast enough to give anyone real comfort. So where does that leave things now? Right now, the economy feels stuck in between. Not hot. And not slow enough either. And that’s exactly what keeps the pressure on the Federal Reserve. If inflation were retreating quickly, price cuts would already be on the table. If it rises again, we would be talking about more aggressive hikes. But 3%? That is the uncomfortable middle. It forces the Federal Reserve to stay cautious. To wait. To monitor every new data point like a hawk. For the markets, this creates tension. Traders don’t like uncertainty - and right now, there’s plenty of it. Will the Federal Reserve finally change its strategy? Will they pause longer than expected? Or will they remain hawkish just to ensure inflation doesn't return? No clear answer yet. But one thing is clear - clinging to 3% does not ease the pressure… it extends it.
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