$BTC is one of the only assets I’ve studied where the predictive signal gets stronger the further out you look.
90d OOS R²:
Power law: -0.97
CQSI: -0.99
365d:
Power law: +0.49
CQSI: +0.43
Spot: $73.8K
CQSI: $109K
Power law: $128K
10 years out:
p10 floor: $785,211
power-law trend: $1,716,131
Implies:
+26.68% CAGR to the floor
+36.98% CAGR to the trend
The closer you look, the noisier Bitcoin gets.
The further out you look, the more the structure takes over.
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