$BTC has exited a 7-month downward trend, and the weekly MACD has also turned bullish. This could lead to a final rally toward the $77,000–$78,000 range. From there, BTC is expected to fall to fresh lows in the second quarter of 2026.
In my view, the new Federal Reserve chair will speed up rate cuts and liquidity measures in Q3, ahead of the midterm elections. That should mark the bottom for Bitcoin and trigger a V-shaped rebound, similar to March 2020 and April 2025.