1/ Usual ($USUAL ) - @usualmoney
(Important note: The article is purely informational, very useful for a brief assessment, not investment advice according to NQ05CPVN)
Marketcap: 25 million USD (ranked #766, +11.9% 24h)
FDV: 25.4 million USD
Volume 24h: 6.9 million USD (Volume/MC ratio ~27.6% – good liquidity, with a recent spike >100M)
Price Drop: Decreased about 99.1% from ATH $1.61 (date 20/12/2024)
Lowest Price: ATL $0.01049 (date 10/10/2025)
Upcoming important events:
Gasless swaps (Delta) have live with intent-based execution (@VeloraDEX)
Expand stablecoin USD0 issuance multi-chain & RWA yield
Governance proposals & utility updates for token $USUAL
Potential institutional RWA partnerships Q2/2026
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2/ Coin Unlock Schedule: Ongoing periodic linear vesting (no major cliffs in the next 6-12 months). Daily small unlocks from Community Incentives allocation, DAO/Ecosystem, Team, Investors & Advisors. Emission is gradually distributed, selling pressure is not sudden but still exists long-term until 2028.
MoneyFlow - Onchain: Strong protocol TVL $107.61M (Ethereum), stablecoin USD0 ~$560M backed by RWA (tokenized Treasuries). Annualized revenue ~$27M from RWA yield + fees, stable holder revenue. Positive netflow thanks to stablecoin adoption, whale/smart money activity increased in the recent pump, realized profit has started to appear after ATL.
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3/ Professional Technical Analysis for the Crypto market:
Multi-timeframe analysis (4H, Daily, Weekly):
Market Structure: Long-term downtrend but forming potential reversal after ATL. Price pumped strongly +11.9% 24h from the consolidation bottom.
Key Support/Resistance: Strong support: $0.012 – $0.0105 (ATL). Resistance: $0.016 – $0.018 – $0.022.
EMA/SMA: Price is crossing above short-term EMA50 (bullish crossover forming on 4H/Daily), still below long-term EMA200.
RSI/MACD: RSI ~65+ (bullish momentum, not strongly overbought), positive MACD histogram is expanding.
Volume Profile: Clear volume spike → high buying conviction.
Fibonacci/Order Block/Liquidity Grab: Price is retracing Fibonacci from ATL; strong order block around $0.012-0.013; liquidity grab occurred at ATL.
Chart Pattern:Typical falling wedge reversal pattern on Daily/4H.
Scenario:
Bullish (probability ~55%): Break & close above $0.016 with sustained volume → target $0.022-0.028 (supported by RWA narrative + macro).
Bearish (probability ~45%): Pullback loses $0.012 → retest ATL (risk of profit-taking after pump).
Chart Drawing: The current trend is short-term bullish momentum after a strong pump, price broke out of the consolidation area around $0.012-0.013 to $0.0145 with a volume spike. The professional candlestick chart (Daily + 4H) has been fully drawn with important support/resistance lines, EMA 50-200, RSI, MACD, Volume, Order Block, and Liquidity Grab.
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4/ HYPE level on X and call groups: The hype level has increased sharply in the short term due to the update of gasless swaps live + price action pump +11.9% 24h. The number of mentions and engagement is higher than usual, positive sentiment (KOL DeFi/RWA is paying attention to utility stablecoin USD0). On X officially @usualmoney active activity. In Telegram/Discord call/signal groups (VN & global), there is short-term discussion momentum about the RWA narrative.
Overall assessment: Usual is a notable RWA stablecoin issuer with strong TVL USD0, actual revenue from yield and clear utility (gasless swaps, intent-based). The token is showing improving technical momentum after ATL but is still deeply discounted from ATH and under linear vesting pressure. Risk: High average (small-cap volatility + long-term dilution).
Disclaimer: This article is purely informational, not investment advice, data provided from various sources at the time of writing, compliant with NQ05 and Circular of CP VN. #USUAL #RWA #PTKT #CryptoVN
