🚨 BREAKING ANALYSIS 🇮🇱🇱🇧

The Lebanon ceasefire looks good on paper, but it’s far more fragile behind the scenes.$LAB

Israel and Lebanon just met in Washington for the first time in 40 years—huge step forward.

But the real key? Hezbollah is the silent pivot, holding the fate of the ceasefire.

As Rami Khouri from AUB said: “Hezbollah is at the center, but behind a curtain.”

The Lebanese government can’t openly engage—too much risk, too many divides. Instead, delicate backchannels do the heavy lifting.$RAVE

Disarming Hezbollah is the quiet aim—Israel and the U.S. want it—but no one knows how to do it without shattering Lebanon’s fragile balance.$AERO

The ceasefire depends on a force that officially isn’t in the room.

(Source: Reuters)